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Tlazolteotl
Champion
Joined: 02 Oct 2012 Location: Elephant Butte Status: Online Points: 38926 |
Posted: 12 Apr 2022 at 6:27pm |
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Highland Reel - well found. I will give you that one.
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Manners are of more importance than laws
Edmund Burke |
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Afros
Champion
Joined: 14 Jan 2009 Location: Ulaanbaatar Status: Offline Points: 19578 |
Posted: 12 Apr 2022 at 7:13pm |
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The problem is Jamal wants to work on a simple Europe = Good, Australian = bad rule on horses over a distance, when the reality is it is a lot more complex than that.
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 12 Apr 2022 at 7:22pm |
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Grandera won a group 2 in Dubai after a good run behind Northerly.
Benbatl won 4 group 2 races after running well behind Winx, he was injured quite often. Addeybb won the Champion Stakes between his Queen Elizabeth victories. Cross Counter won The Dubai Gold Cup before running close up placings behind Stradivarius and subsequently losing all form.
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reductio ad absurdum
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JudgeHolden
Champion
Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11808 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 9:46am |
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“Zaaki was always considered high class by his stable they just could not get the best out of him They felt high enough about him to run him in Hong Kong”
And in AFL news, Hawthorn sent Tom Phillips back to Box Hill because they “felt high enough about him”. JFC Djebel…
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 11:36am |
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The idea of Earlswood being "an established A Grader" shows how wildly different the definition of these things can be to anyone. Earlswood had only start beyond Group 3 level, and got toweled up beaten 9L in the Irish Derby (running 3 would still have seen him beat 7). That is about as far form an established A-grader as you can get. Closest example I can see in our 3yos (looking quickly) would be calling Character an established A-grader.
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 11:38am |
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Mugatoo is another that can be added to the list of Avilius, Zaaki and Hartnell. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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Jamal
Champion
Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 9148 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:01pm |
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Djebel's kine of thinking/interpretation of horses isnt very good as he has shown on quite a few occasions. But yes I agree with you, Zaaki wasn't a good horse in Europe. Good to see you see it exactly how it is
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:05pm |
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You have not bought one original thought to a single discussion Jamal.
You are nothing but a troll.
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reductio ad absurdum
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:17pm |
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Just for clarity.
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reductio ad absurdum
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TJMitchell
Champion
Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 17268 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:20pm |
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Zaaki wasn't a good horse in Europe is such a weird comment
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Time is a flat circle
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:25pm |
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"He came to Australia with a steadily climbing official handicap mark of 112" Zaaki had an official rating of 112 on 1/6/2019, it remained either that or 113 for the next 10 starts. Including his HK run where he was sent out over 100/1. He'd capped out as a being a competitive/winning chance in the right Group 3 over there.
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:26pm |
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His peak Racing Post Rating came from his win 1/5/2019. Again not beaten in his next 10 starts.
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:32pm |
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And as you will well know, any horse rating 112 in fact over 100 is not considered a B grader..
And as I also said, the stable always believed he was high class but could not, for whatever reason, get it out of him on the track. He has clearly thrived down here and loved it and is racing genuinely. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:36pm |
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What is going on with Numerian and Maximal, I guess people will say they also are B graders ?
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reductio ad absurdum
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:40pm |
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I know nothing of the sort. You give weight to these official ratings, which is back to my point... your definition of A graders is very different to many peoples (mine included).
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:44pm |
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Maxmimal - Listed placed and a G1 fourth... hard to get to A grade off that. Numerian a listed winner. The eight runs prior to coming out was winless running in Group 3 races or lower. I don't think there can be any suggestion he was A grade over there, doubt B grade either.
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:50pm |
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If you have a horse running to a rating or a level consistently in black type races that horses is in the top 0.01% of the horse population. You have every right to consider your horse better than B grade.
The problem with the majority of people they think group 2 and 3 is low level racing. Think It Over was being beaten in BM88 races at start 16. If he is a B grader I am a monkeys uncle.
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reductio ad absurdum
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:50pm |
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"And as you will well know, any horse rating 112 in fact over 100 is not considered a B grader." There are about 350 horses in the UK with an official rating 101 or higher. All A-graders it seems.....
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oneonesit
Champion
Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 50286 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:52pm |
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And The Boys Light Up.... !
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:53pm |
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If you listen to their trainers, And I guess you would not, They like buying progeny out of mares rated 100 and above. Why is that ? Because it is a high grade.
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reductio ad absurdum
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:53pm |
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That is 350 out of 13000 runners with an official rating. So that is the top 3% if we include jumpers as part of the available flat population, which we shouldn't.
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:56pm |
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Let's readjust that number, Zaaki was 112, Numerian was 111-108, Maximal was a climbing 111.
So what percentage of horses rate above 108 ? |
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reductio ad absurdum
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 2:58pm |
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Knock yourself out
https://www.britishhorseracing.com/regulation/official-ratings/ratings-database/#!?sortby=ratingFlat:desc&page=1 |
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 3:04pm |
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No thanks.
I am more than happy for you to prove me wrong. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 3:11pm |
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Simple question. Is Polly Grey an A-grader?
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 3:13pm |
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YES.
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reductio ad absurdum
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 3:19pm |
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To take this debate to another level any horses rated in the top 3.846153846 percent of the population should be considered A grade.
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reductio ad absurdum
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 3:25pm |
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Iamt
Let's assume you and Jamal are correct and B and C graders are coming down here and plundering our group 1 races. Why is this so ? Why are our horses not up to the task ? Do you know my thoughts on this situation ? |
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reductio ad absurdum
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iamt
Champion
Joined: 06 Mar 2012 Status: Offline Points: 610 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 3:59pm |
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Everyone knows your thoughts on the cause... To the question that started this thread... it is pointless. We are arguing opinions that I doubt will ever change. I consider an A-grade horse to be a horse that would be considered a genuine winning chance when it turns up in Group 1 races. You consider an A grade horse to be listed performed or better. Hence any foreign trained horse that wins a Group 1 down here will be an A-grader as it wouldn't have gotten a a start otherwise. Why is it a horses like State of Rest and Adelaide can win the Cox Plate? There is a lack of depth in our middle distance and staying horses so we have few flag bearers, some of which probably don't make the race anyway. You harp on about training methods, but the reality is we do breed sprinter milers. If we had this well of staying talents they would be showing up somewhere, if only mid-week races, but they don't because we don't breed or focus on them. It leaves a very shallow top of the pool, which means we have to wait multiple seasons for something that would be competitive with the top international horses, and often don't have much to compete with the mid-tier runners they bring out. The Cox Plate particularly favours Europeans with the long sprint sustained sprint that they are used to running in, compared to the sit and sprint most of our WFA races to be, and that is near impossible to change domestically as any horse would be giving away so much in the lead up races settling back and not getting into it, that it won't happen. |
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djebel
Premium
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 56200 |
Posted: 13 Apr 2022 at 4:26pm |
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Let's be honest many of the group 1 races down here would not be group races up North let alone group 1. Knight's Order winning a Sydney Cup would not be group 1 up North would it. We have group 1 races here that are won by Australian horses that are not really group 1 standard here. We have seen group 1 winners from the North win group 1s down here with their European trainer and then falter when given to Waller or McEvoy. Fifty Stars was bread to stay every yard of 4000m yet never once saw 2400m. He is now a National Hunt stallion in Ireland. Dalasan is bred to stay 2400+ yet has only seen the trip once. The last two ATC Oaks winner are yet to see 2400m since their victories. I believe James Cummings is a perfect example of my issues with Australian trainers with his handling of Willowy, Vianello and Alegron. Obviously he has done a good enough job with Alegron and Willowy but neither are likely to be top class stayers. They are too slow. Vianello on the other hand has speed and as such she will not be asked to stay despite that being her best and most likely successful trait. There are so many examples of this it is not funny. This nation does breed stayers. It does not develop them. We have ample horses here bred to stay, If they show speed ( all classy stayers show speed ) they are not asked to stay. I believe the reason is simple - The trainers. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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