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TJMitchell 
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Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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 Posted: 29 Oct 2020 at 3:13pm |
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She'd want to beat that field by 10 lengths to get anywhere near a race like the QE
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Time is a flat circle
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djebel
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Posted: 29 Oct 2020 at 3:30pm |
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I think she wins this with ease and goes 16 days into the 3200m Sandown Cup.
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reductio ad absurdum
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Second Chance
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Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Offline Points: 45811 |
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Posted: 29 Oct 2020 at 3:31pm |
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It's axiomatic that she'd need to win well to back up in the QE TJ.
However that said, given your current employment am quite sure you're aware that recent winners of the race have been (a) fresh into the race without a testing Spring behind them, and (b) fairly ordinary conveyances that could get a strong 2600. Others could examine the post-QE records of True Self, Jaameh and Vengeur Masque and form their own opinion. But still think they'll be thinking the Sandown meeting. Or a 2400m plus BM64 if she goes ordinary tomorrow night.  |
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TJMitchell
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Posted: 29 Oct 2020 at 5:21pm |
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I just can't see her getting anywhere near a stakes race. Beat goats in her maiden and that St Leger form so far looks a dumpster fire.
If she wants to even be competitive at the Sandown meeting she would want to put that field to the sword tomorrow.
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Time is a flat circle
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djebel
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Posted: 29 Oct 2020 at 5:32pm |
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Between the 14 runners there as only been 28 starts since the Leger and the vast majority of those starts have been in unsuitable races.
I think there is one win in amongst them and that was over 1400m plus a group 1 placing.
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reductio ad absurdum
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TJMitchell
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Posted: 29 Oct 2020 at 5:53pm |
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I'll see how she runs tomorrow. Win by at least 5 and I might be swayed.
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Time is a flat circle
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djebel
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Posted: 30 Oct 2020 at 5:07pm |
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Monumentally disappointing. Back to 64 grade for her.
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reductio ad absurdum
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Second Chance
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Posted: 30 Oct 2020 at 5:48pm |
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Just one-paced. Sandown Cup imo, because as a Stakes-place-getter there's no longer any real down-line advantage competing in restricted races during this prep.
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Lord Hybrow
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Posted: 30 Oct 2020 at 6:36pm |
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I thought she stuck on ok tonight.
Maybe not ready for any Listed races this time in, but she’s only a Spring 4yo so has plenty of maturing to do. Still think she might win a nice race down the track. Who knows, she could be the next Regina Coeli.
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Shawy38
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Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17414 |
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Posted: 30 Oct 2020 at 7:13pm |
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2021 Jericho horse
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Foxseal
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Joined: 06 Dec 2011 Status: Offline Points: 2706 |
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Posted: 18 Nov 2020 at 11:37am |
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Accepted for a BM78 at Ballarat on Sat over 2600m. Craig Williams takes the mount.
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djebel
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Posted: 18 Nov 2020 at 1:07pm |
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I was almost certain this was going to be an update on her gelding operation.
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reductio ad absurdum
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djebel
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 10:47am |
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I think she was Willowed.
Caught napping and then crowded. Willow at his brilliant best.
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reductio ad absurdum
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TJMitchell
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 10:49am |
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Maybe she's just not that good
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Time is a flat circle
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Brudder_A
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Joined: 01 Apr 2013 Location: Uzhhorod Status: Offline Points: 4262 |
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 10:53am |
Ride was strange. Went up towards the front early. Why? Di not go to the lead. Stayed in in 3rd and 4th. And the moves started to come and she was one paced and over taken. Coming in the straight she had just too much to catch up yet of all the finishers she plugged on and finished 4th. Other horses would of folded and finished near the tail. |
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Shawy38
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 10:54am |
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Wtf was the jockey doing?
Asleep at the wheel
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TJMitchell
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 10:55am |
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Not even talking about today specifically. Just not that good in general. Trial her over some jumps
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Time is a flat circle
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EnableMe
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Joined: 11 Aug 2020 Location: Creswick Status: Offline Points: 581 |
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 10:58am |
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Over rated and under priced for the race. D Moor did a lot worse than Willo on Brilliant Venture for mine. J Allen on the second horse also let the winner go past him and took too long to get serious ( yes I backed it e/w ).
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longevity does not equate to credibility
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Second Chance
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 11:17am |
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Wow, three senior jocks all stuffed up in the same race eh?
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EnableMe
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Posted: 21 Nov 2020 at 11:21am |
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Hardly a rare event is it? I'm sure it will happen again today
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longevity does not equate to credibility
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Foxseal
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Posted: 22 Nov 2020 at 7:10am |
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She got shuffled back at just the wrong time, but didn’t really pick up in the straight & just plugged away.
Still think theres a 3000m MV race for her this time in.
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Lord Hybrow
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Posted: 01 Aug 2021 at 5:39pm |
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Half sister to today’s GN Hurdle winner Wil John.
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Lord Hybrow
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Posted: 13 Jun 2022 at 4:06pm |
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Closed off well over 2000m today at her 2nd run from a long spell.
Definately black book her for a restricted 2400m+ race over the winter.
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Rhino
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Posted: 14 Jun 2022 at 9:36am |
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Had a decent place bet on her yesterday. Hit the line really well to miss in a photo. Typical of my luck at the moment.
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Lord Hybrow
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Posted: 27 Jul 2022 at 10:41am |
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She should be winning R2 at Sandown today - 4th up fitness & getting to her preferred 2400m trip.
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djebel
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Posted: 27 Jul 2022 at 11:11am |
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The heavy is a concern.
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reductio ad absurdum
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Second Chance
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Posted: 27 Jul 2022 at 1:05pm |
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Wonder why they elected to lead?
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Lord Hybrow
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Posted: 27 Jul 2022 at 1:55pm |
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I too was surprised to see her leading. She was fine in the heavy 10 two starts back when a narrow 4th behind Secret Palace at Mornington so I thought she’d handle it today.
But gave in pretty meekly, so I’ll find it hard to back her again next start. |
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djebel
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Posted: 27 Jul 2022 at 1:57pm |
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I dare say she will be visiting a stallion in the next 2 months or so.
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reductio ad absurdum
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Shawy38
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Posted: 27 Jul 2022 at 3:17pm |
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if she was in a different stable/silks she'd be double the price at most of her starts.
Tend to agree, time for the barn.
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Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing
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