Go to Villagebet.com.au for free horse racing tips - Click here now
Forum Home Forum Home > Horse Racing - Public Forums > Tipping and Wagering
  New Posts New Posts RSS Feed - Tip The Cards
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Events   Register Register  Login Login


Thoroughbred Village Home Page. For village news, follow @TBVillage on Twitter. For horseracing tips, follow @Villagebet on Twitter. To contact the Mayor by email: Click Here.

banner ad

Tip The Cards

 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <1 343536
Author
Message
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Oct 2021 at 7:32pm
Alright lets see where we are for tomorrows 1000 Guineas meeting.

Caulfield.

Coongy Cup

1. No.3 - 90
2. No.1 - 90
3. No.8 - 80
4. No.2 - 77
5. No.7 - 76
6. No.6 - 74
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.5
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.3 Floating Artist
Precedent: No precedent as this is the first time back on this day.

Blue Sapphire Stakes

1. No.8 - 83
2. No.2 - 81
3. No.1 - 80
4. No.4 - 80
5. No.9 - 78
6. No.6 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.10
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.8 Minsk Moment
                              $20 win No.4 Port Louis
Precedent: No.4 Port Louis

Ladies Day Vase

1. No.2 - 84
2. No.3 - 82
3. No.1 - 82
4. No.6 - 79
5. No.9 - 77
6. No.8 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.12 & No.4
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Only Words
                              $10 each way No.3 Ecumenical
Precedent: No.2 Starelle


Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
Sponsored Links
banner ad

Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Oct 2021 at 8:26pm
1000 Guineas.

1. Swift Witness - 83. Comes down after running well enough in the Flight Stakes. This field is probably lacking a little less in depth from Randwick, so she has to be a hope although you will know whether she will run well in the first 200m due to the early pressure.
2. Hinged - 87. Perfect prelude for this race last start where she did have all the breaks so she may have been flattered, but she comes here in fine group 1 form. Drawn to get a lovely run, she is as adept on dry and wet and she has the ability to use the gate and get the run right behind the speed. The one to beat!
3. Elusive Express - 84. Good strong effort last start. Going on that run and through Yearning she might have to improve to win, but for me she is a filly on the up and I can see her doing exactly what Anamoe did on Saturday, sit three wide with cover and then come late. 
4. Bons A Pearler - 85. I was really taken with her prelude win where she came over the top of them. For me she has two things against her in this particular race. One she looks to be a get back run on galloper, but that might be the better thing by this time of day if the rain comes and second her two poor runs have been on soft ground. If it stays dry and she can follow Elusive Express in the three wide line she has the last 400m sectional to win this. 
5. Literary Magnate - 78. She was good fresh but second up was a little disappointing. I think she has the ability to run well but only a top four hopeful at best.
6. Zouzarella - 87. I have no doubt she is the best of the locals, but I do think Prebble needs to put her into the race early, he can not afford to get three or four pairs back on the fence here (unless it is a heavy track and the fields are fanning by this time of day). Can win but I would prefer her drawn wider.
7. Heresy - 82. Racing well and I know she has a query about her at the 1600m but from the gate I can see her dominating from the front. Definite top four hope.
8. Queen Of Dubai - 84. Is hitting form at the right time. She has the speed to cross from the gate and she looked to be holding them okay last start. Probably needs to improve a little to win, but she has to be a live chance.
9. Yearning - 84. Again she looks to be hitting form at the right time. I thought she ran well last start and her two runs prior were good when winning with 61 kilos and then not far off the top Sydney filies in the Furious. Drawn to get a lovely run and I can not believe she is $26.00+. Good value hope.
10. Barb Raider - 84. Very very good win last start. No trouble with the 1600m here and I would expect Craig Wiliiams to be driving forward and making it a real strong mile. The runner up in the Oaks Trial was extremely unlucky last saturday in the Hill Smith at Morphettville and although she might be looking for 2000m now, she has to be a serious contender.
11. Cuban Link - 75. On the up and I am sure she can acquit herself well here, but for me she is more a Geelong Classic type.
12. Achira - 76. Good win at Goulburn last start. Not saying she can win, but I can see her giving a good account. She might be the Oaks filly coming out of this race.
13. Fortunate Kiss - 78. Maybe a little down on class in this field, but she looks a nice filly and no surprise to me if she ran top four.

Ratings

1. No.2 Hinged - 87
2. No.6 Zouzarella - 87
3. No.4 Bons A Pearler - 85
4. No.3 Elusive Express - 84
5. No.10 Barb Raider - 84
6. No.9 Yearning - 84
Add ins for any scratchings are No.8 & No.1
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.2 Hinged
                              $10 Each Way No.9 Yearning
Precedent: No.1 Swift Witness

Summary: This is a good little field, I should say it is an even field with a few winning hopes. Down the page, Swift Witness ran well enough in the Flight to run well here, but the 1600m for me is still doubtful. Hinged was the perfect trial for this in the Flight and she looks like one who is peaking at the right time, the one to beat. Elusive Express was very good at Flemington, but the second filly was not  in the better fillies in Sydney so she has to improve. Bons A Pearler was fantastic in the prelude but she can not give them that sort of start here, however she has a very good last 400m so if she gets the breaks she can win. For me Literary Magnate and the bottom three can not win, but Global Link and Achira look like fillies who can improve when they step out to 2000m+ so watch them from a Oaks point of view. Zouzarella for me is the best of the locals but to get her best hope to win Prebble needs to use the gate to sit closer in the run. Heresy is a good filly but can she get the 1600m? I can not see why Queen Of Dubai can not run well again. Yearning was very good late at Flemington and she is peaking at the right time she for me is the value in the race while Barb Raider looked very good over the 1800m last start, and if dropping the 200m does not hinder which it should not if Williams uses the gate and makes it a strong speed, she is a winning hope. 

Punters Club Investments

$140 win @ $6.00 No.2 Hinged
$140 win @ $6.00 No.6 Zouzarella
$100 win @ $7.00 No.10 Barb Raider
$20 win + $50 place @ $36.00 + $6.50 No.9 Yearning
$50 win @ $14.00 No.3 Elusive Express

Good luck with all your investments!            
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Oct 2021 at 8:38pm
Sorry for those keeping score.

The balance of our Punters Club Investments before tomorrows 1000 Guineas is -$3473.00 
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13 Oct 2021 at 6:47pm
Alright lets see where we sit for Saturday and one of the five majors.

Ascot.

R.S.Crawford Stakes

1. No.2 - 85
2. No.3 - 82
3. No.1 - 79
4. No.4 - 78
5. No.7 - 76
6. No.5 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.6
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.2 Indian Pacific
Precedent: No.4 Stageman

Northerly Stakes

1. No.4 - 83
2. No.2 - 81
3. No.11- 78
4. No.8 - 77
5. No.1 - 76
6. No.7 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.10
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.4 Western Empire
                              $10 each way No.8 Uni Time
Precedent: No.11 Dance Music

Randwick

Reginald Allen Quality

1. No.5 - 84
2. No.1 - 82
3. No.4 - 78
4. No.6 - 74
5. No.7 - 72
6. No.10-70
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Decent Reine
Precedent: None applicable.

The Kosciuszko

1. No.1 - 100
2. No.3 - 90
3. No.6 - 84
4. No.13- 79
5. No.5 - 77
6. No.9 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.15 & No.14
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Handle The Truth
                              $10 each way No.9 Island Bay Boy
Precedent: No.1 Handle The Truth

Sydney Stakes

1. No.3 - 90 (be aware this rating is for a dry track)
2. No.1 - 86
3. No.2 - 84
4. No.7 - 83
5. No.11-77
6. No.5 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $10 win + $20 place No.7 Rocketing By 
                              $20 win No.2 Signore Fox
Precedent: No.7 Rocketing By

Craven Plate

1. No.1 - 100
2. No.2 - 87
3. No.11-85 (again this is for a dry track only)
4. No.10-84
5. No.3 - 80
6. No.4 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.5 & No.6
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Think It Over
Precedent: No.11 Hungry Heart 

ATC St.Leger

1. No.8 - 84
2. No.1 - 83
3. No.6 - 80
4. No.9 - 78
5. No.3 - 76
6. No.5 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.14
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.8 Carif (come on boy win one for the true belivers)
Precedent: No.6 Great House


Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13 Oct 2021 at 7:35pm
Caulfield

Gothic Stakes

1. No.3 - 84
2. No.4 - 81
3. No.1 - 79
4. No.2 - 77
5. No.7 - 75
6. No.6 - 73
Add ins for any scratchings are No.10 & No.5
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.3 Extreme Flight
Precedent: No.1 Daily Bugle

Ethereal Stakes

1. No.3 - 80
2. No.6 - 78
3. No.4 - 77
4. No.10-74
5. No.1 - 73
6. No.8 - 71
Add ins for any scratchings are No.7 & No.11
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Stalking
                              $20 win No.10 Kapalua Sunset
Precedent: No.3 Stalking

Caulfield Classic

1. No.2 - 80
2. No.13 - 78
3. No.6 - 77
4. No.1 - 76
5. No.4 - 74
6. No.7 - 74
Add ins for any scratchings are No.12 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.6 Gunstock
                              $20 win No.13 El Patroness
Precedent: No.1 Micro

Moonga Stakes

1. No.4 - 84
2. No.7 - 80
3. No.8 - 78
4. No.1 - 76
5. No.2 - 76
6. No.5 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.10 & No.6
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.4 Justacanta
Precedent: No.2 Morvada

Tristarc Stakes

1. No.3 - 85
2. No.2 - 83
3. No.4 - 83
4. No.8 - 80
5. No.1 - 79
6. No.6 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.5 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.3 Nimalee
Precedent: No.2 Collette

Alinghi Stakes

1. No.9 - 82
2. No.7 - 82
3. No.6 - 80
4. No.4 - 77
5. No.18-76
6. No.2 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.9 Emanate
                               $20 win No.6 Bless Her
Precedent: No.7 Bons Abroad

Caulfield Sprint

1. No.3 - 84
2. No.8 - 82
3. No.9 - 82
4. No.12- 80
5. No.11- 78
6. No.6 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.2
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.8 General Beau
                              $20 win No.9 Oxley Road
Precedent: No.6 He's A Balter 
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13 Oct 2021 at 11:00pm
Okay after the 1000 guineas and before we get to the two big ones for the weekend sees our the Punters Investment Club balance look this way -$3028.00

So lets get into these two big races.

Caulfield Cup.

1. Homesman - 84. In good form. Drops from the WFA weight to 55.5 kgs. His last run at 2400m was in this race in 2018 where he was just nosed out by Best Solution when he was coming in off a similar  run behind Benbatl. The draw has me worried but no surprise to see him run top four. Did I see him @ $51.00? That is just stupid, ridiculous odds.
2. Incentivise - 90. Ticks nearly all the boxes, except for the track, where he has not raced, and the barrier. Handles wet or dry, the 2400m is no worries, in sensational form and his jockey is flying. For me he can only win if  they charge forward from the gate and they can get three cheap 200m sections midrace. From the gate he needs everything to go right to win.
3. Explosive Jack - 85. As a classic winning 4yo this is the race he can win this spring. Weighted right up to his best but this race does not have the number or quality of internationals that Flemington will have. Good run last time out and he should sit three pairs back on the rail and do no work until the 1200m where John Allen should be looking to get out and roll forward. Not surprised he is in from $23.00 to $15.00.
4. The Chosen One - 100. The only draw back for me with him is if we get a slow 6 or worse. He loves Caulfield, is an adept 2400m+ performer, drawn to get a lovely run and his runs all this time in have been very good. Meets Delphi 1.5 kilos better from last week and has backed up well in the past. If the track is in his condition range, he can win.
5. Ocean Billy - 74. Not sure he has the speed in his legs to be competitive here at 2400m. He has form around Sound, but that is good enough for a top six finish at best.
6. Selino - 81. Excellent run last start, but that might prove to me he needs a big track. I will not back him here, but watch him for the first Tuesday's big dance. I suppose because he is at $91.00 I might be persuaded to have a coin each way.  
7. Persan - 83. Thought he fought on well last start. Has drawn to get forwad from midfield and with cover. Out to the 2400m is ideal, likes Caulfield and his jockey had a huge day at Caulfield today so she is in form. Not underestimating. 
8. Quick Thinker - 80. His form in this prep has been good on soft tracks. If we get those or worse conditions I could see him running top four.
9. Chapada - 78. Love this stable in staying events, and his last start was good but his 2400m runs for me have shown he is a 2000m horse at best. Not sure he has the quality to win here anyway.
10. Delphi - 94. I thought he was good last week, and his two runs before that were good. That barrier is a shocker, but as he showed last week with Anamoe, Oliver can sit wide with cover and find the right horse to take him into the home straight.
11. Master Of Wine - 77. Better last time out, but unless we get a bottomless heavy 10 I will bypass him winning here. His 2400m win was in a very weak race and his run in this last year while okay was not as good as The Chosen One's and others. As stated unless Noah needs his Ark, he can run without me.
12. Montefilia - 84. Ticked the distance query last start, yes in a weaker race, but I can only take that at face value. Drawn to do nothing early and can flash late. Not sure how she will go the Melbourne way as she was obviously not as good when she traveled for the Oaks last year. Has come into calculations with me.
13. Port Guilliaume - 72. Okay two starts ago, but his last run was a shocking lead in run. I am sorry but if you run that bad the start before a cup, you are not winning. 
14. She's Ideel - 82. Disappointing last start, but just got to far back. She needs to be able to use the gate and sit closer (which she has done) to have any hope here. Not sure she can win, but I can see her finishing on to fill a top four spot.
15. Young Werther - 84. Not sure about this guy. It always seems he is finding one better, however he does look to be hitting his peak maturity wise and he is hitting form at the right time. Drawn to do no work and his jockey is in good form so I can see him running well but not winning.
16. Nonconformist - 82. His last run would have been considered the best lead in run in the 1990's. Good win when beating Delphi in the Naturalism but he had everything go right and Delphi looked the genuine 2400m horse in that event. The barrier makes it harder and he can run without me but I will add him to the exotics.
17. Duais - 86. Loved her run today. She has backed up and performed well in the past and now she has shown she handles Caulfield and only has 51 kgs and has drawn to roll forward and sit right behind  a good speed she comes into calculations. She has also shown that when she hits form at 2000m+, she can be highly competitive. 
18. Charms Star - 77. Good run in the Metrop, but for me she has to improve to beat Montefilia and Duais home so not a winning hope for me.
19. Great House - 78. I thought he ran well in the Metrop, but he looks better suited in the ATC St.Leger
20. Constantinople - 65. Not if he has a 200m head start!

Ratings.

1. No.4 The Chosen One - 100
2. No.10 Delphi - 94
3. No.2 Incentivise - 90
4. No.17 Duais - 86
5. No.3 Explosive Jack - 85
6. No.1 Homesman - 84
Add ins for any scratchings are No.12 & No.15.
Recommended Bet: $20 win No.10 Delphi
                             $10 win No.4 The Chosen One
                              $10 win No.3 Explosive Jack
                              $5 each way No.1 Homesman
Precedent: No.16 Nonconformist

Summary: This is a very good betting race with at least ten hopes here, unless you think Incentivise is a good thing. From the top my winning hopes are No.1 Homesman, was just nutted in 2018 behind Best Solution and he drops a kilo into this race. No.2 Incentivise would have been a good bet, but that barrier is a huge concern. For me they can only win now if they go forward and make it a strong 2400m. No.3 Explosive Jack comes into this after a nice closing effort in the Turnbull and he will go close. No.4 The Chosen One can go two places better than last year and he might be in much better form coming into this years race. No.8 Quick Thinker can win, if the track is a slow 6 or worse. No.10 Delphi is for me the one to beat after his win last week. No.12 Montefilia is coming into this off a very nice win in the Metrop, but this is a step up in quality. No.14 She's Ideel can win if she races a litle closer from her good gate. No.16 Nonconformist can win if he can run the 2400m strongly, and No.17 Duais was very good in the Coongy and when she hits form at 2000m+ she can hold it for three or four starts, and she has backed up and ran well before. Back your own judgement.

Punters Club Investments

$80.00 win @ $27.00 No.3 Explosive Jack
$80.00 win @ $31.00 No.4 The Chosen One
$100.00 win @ $8.50 No.10 Delphi
$40.00 win @$23.00 No.17 Duais
$30.00 each way @ $61.00 + $12.00 No.1 Homesman
$30.00 each way @ $61.00 + $12.00 No.7 Persan
$40.00 Same Race Multi No.2 Incentivise to win + No.4 The Chosen One Top 4
$20.00 Same Race Multi No.2 Incentivise to win + No.1 Homesman Top 4
$20.00 Same Race Multi No.2 Incentivise to win + No.3 Explosive Jack Top 4
          
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13 Oct 2021 at 11:49pm
The Everest.

1. Nature Strip - 100. No chinks in his armour. Can handle the wet and dry, 1200m is no trouble and he loves Randwick. This race has been an achilles heel for him in the last two runnings, but if I know Waller, he will have him primed to show the world how good he is. The barrier is awkward, but he can sit three deep with cover and win.
2. Classique Legend - 100. At his best he is the one to beat. I know his trainer is good, but I can not believe that he will be at his best here off three trials. For me he is unders and he is only the favorite because others have run and been beaten. Gets a lovely run and will be charging late. One of the winning hopes.
3. Eduardo - 90. The 1200m is his hurdle to overcome and I am betting against him. I think he can hang on for a top four spot, but for me he wont hold off all of his opponents. Place hope.
4. Gytrash - 100. If the rain comes he is just about a good bet. Absolutely brilliant draw, will sit right behind the speed and he will strong at the end. Fantastic fresh run and with the improvement he will gain from that he is the hardest to hold out.
5. Trekking - 90. Not sure he is racing as well as he has coming into this race in the last two years. The 1200m will suit and again he will get a lovely run. He can run well again.
6. Masked Crusader - 84. I have no doubt he is talented enough to win here, but this is the strongest race he has contested and he can not give them eight lengths at the 600m. Because he has no hope doing that, I would try and ride him closer, but that probably will not happen. Top four hope.
7. Wild Ruler - 80. Looked good winning last start, but on his ratings with me this is beyond him. 
8. The Inferno - 82. I think he is the value in the field @ $26.00. He does have to race closer, but he will strong at the end and no surprise if he was to place.
9. Embracer - 65. How has this horse made this field? Oh well good luck with that.
10. Lost And Running - 70. Not going well enough and will need the heavens to open for him to have any chance.
11. Libertini - 84. First up form is brilliant and if she can find that Premiere Stakes run from last year where she made Classique Legend look like a Broken Hi9ll maiden, she can win. Her trials have been a little ordinary and she hates any wet tarcks so keep the hoses and taps shut off and keep the water away.
12. Home Affairs - 80. He is the up and comer, and his last start win was awesome defeating a quality 3yo sprinter. Not sure there is a lot of depth to that form, but he he has the Waller/Boss/Coolmore treble that Yes Yes Yes had when he won. I think can get a lovely run from the gate right behind the speed and can come late. He is a winning hope.
13. Kementari - 76. Good win last start but he can not win in this grade at WFA.
14. Signore Fox - 77. Better off in the Sydney Stakes.
15. Standout - 78. Again like Libertini if there is one drop of rain, he is not good enough.
16. Chat - 65. No.

Ratings.

1. No.4 Gytrash - 100
2. No.1 Nature Strip - 100
3. No.2 Classique Legend - 100
4. No.3 Eduardo - 90
5. No.5 Trekking - 90
6. No.6 Masked Crusader - 84
Add ins for any scratchings are No.11 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $10 win + $40 place No.4 Gytrash
Precedent: No.1 Nature Strip

Summary: Well good luck here! If I knew he was as fit as possible then Classique Legend would be a good bet, and while I think he can win I will not be backing him. For me it comes down to three winning hopes and several place chances. No.1 Nature Strip has opne belmish in his CV and it is this race. I think if he was to win this race then the connections would not care whether he won another race ever, so he should be tuned right up here. No.2 Classique Legend is a winning hope. No.4 Gytrash is good value here. He will get a lovely run and he will be hard to hold out while No.12 Home Affairs does fit the bill of 3yo's running well here. Eduardo, Trekking and Masked Crusader are place hopes and The Inferno is capable of running well at long odds.

Punters Club Investments.

$110.00 win @$4.70 No.1 Nature Strip
$110.00 win @$5.50 No.2 Classique Legend
$100.00 win @$9.50 No.4 Gytrash           
$  60.00 win @$9.00 No.3 Eduardo
$  50.00 win @$13.00 No.12 Home Affairs
$20 win + $50 place @ $34.00 + $6.50 No.8 The Inferno

Good luck to all investors for the weekend!
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Oct 2021 at 3:51pm
Geelong

Geelong Classic

1. No.4 - 75
2. No.1 - 73
3. No.3 - 72
4. No.6 - 69
5. No.5 - 67
6. No.8 - 65
Add ins for any scratchings are No.2 & No.7
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.4 Character
                               $10 each way No.8 Daario
Precedent: No.1 Tutukaka

Geelong Cup

1. No.8 - 84
2. No.1 - 82
3. No.6 - 78
4. No.14-77
5. No.2 - 77
6. No.7 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.5
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.8 Tralee Rose
                              $10 each way No.3 Johnny Get Angry (hopefully the track is dry)
Precedent: No.2 Defibrillate

Black Pearl Stakes

1. No.8 - 80
2. No.3 - 78
3. No.10-76
4. No.5 - 75
5. No.13-74
6. No.7 - 71
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.8 Best Stone
Precedent: No.1 Night Raid

Good luck with all your investments!  
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Oct 2021 at 11:50pm
Okay before we get to the Manikato the Punters Club Investment balance is -$3144.00

Manikato Stakes

1. Streets Of Avalon - 82. Has group 1 WFA form but is he racing at his peak this prep? I can see him getting a good run, but place best for me.
2. Jonker - 83. The form from his last start stood up last Saturday when Masked crusader ran second and Lost And Running ran fourth and Standout was runner up in the Sydney Stakes. If he can sit right behind the speed he will get his chance, but does he run at his best the Melbourne way?
3. Despatch - 73. His fresh form is not great and on that alone he can not win here. I also think he is not a WFA group 1 sprint although this is not a genuine group 1 field.
4. Savatoxl - 87. The only negative for me is the track. If he handles MV he looks the winner on my ratings. Won the Schillaci fresh and this looks a lovely second up assignment.
5. Express Pass - 80. Loves MV but he is stepping up in grade here. I will take a pass here.
6. Lombardo - 85. Again he is stepping out of lesser grade to a group 1 level, but he looks the up and comer. He will be meeting horses here with more conviction near the winning post than Pandemic, but as long as he can get a couple of easy sections midrace he can win.
7. Away Game - 80. Not sure she gets the right run here and she has fallen short at the top level in the past although as I keep saying this is not the strongest group 1 field I have seen.
8. Bella Nipotina - 83. They need to use that gate to sit right behind the leader because if she gets two pairs behind the leaders she is history. I thought she ran okay behind Pippie in last years Moir Stakes, but she is racing far better now. I need the double figures, but she is not hopeless!
9. Swats That - 83. She is the one drawn wide who could be well suited if the track is playing for run ons. Just got to far back in the Moir and 1200m is more suitable. Not sure how she is a longer price than Bella Nipotina, but I can back her each way.
10. La Mexicana - 78. Not sure she is up to this but she is racing well and she will race forward. Not for me.
11. Ingratiating - 81. Is he a 1200m horse? That last run was a shocker and I am not sure he has come on from his fresh win. He is a winning hope but he will need everything to go right!
12. Sneaky Five - 84. Obviously stepping up in grade here, but that fresh win was awesome and she did carry 57kgs there and drops to 51 here which means she can finish off harder here. Not underselling her here.
13. Crystal Bound - 80. She has drawn to sit in the lead, but she was outpointed by a smart filly last start. 3yo fillies do not have a great record in this race and when they do they are usually in the top three or four sprinters of their age group, and she is not in that class so she can run without me.

Ratings.

1. No.4 Savatoxl - 87
2. No.6 Lombardo - 85
3. No.12 Sneaky Five - 84
4. No.2 Jonker - 83
5. No.9 Swats That - 83
6. No.8 Bella Nipotina - 83
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.11
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.4 Savatoxl
                             $20 win No.12 Sneaky Five
Precedent: No.8 Bella Nipotina

Summary: This is a very weak group 1 field and that is shown by the fact that Bella nipotina has a 83 rating. I like Savatoxl here. Good fresh win and better suited at 1200m. Has not run at Moonee Valley so that is a potential hurdle, but should get a lovely run and be hard to hold out. Sneaky Five was sensational fresh and while  3yo fillies do not win often, she has the ability to finish off hard and will be coming late. Lombardo can run time and he likes the track, but he steps up to WFA group 1 level and will get pressure from La Mexicana and Crystal Bound among others. Bella Nipotina looks to be in career best form and Streets Of Avalon is better suited here and he fits the older group 1 sprinter coming into this in fair but not great form at around $31.00. For me Ingratiating needs to win a group 1 1200m race before I back him in one. 

Punters Club Investments

$200 win @ $5.80 No.4 Savatoxl
$100 win @ $11.00 No.12 Sneaky Five
$  80 win @ $8.50  No.11 Ingratiating
$  50 win @ $12.00 No.2 Jonker
$  20 win + $50 Place @ $46.00 + $8.00 No.1 Streets Of Avalon

Good luck to all investors!    
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
VOYAGER View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 03 Aug 2007
Location: Australia
Status: Online
Points: 15273
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 7 hours 57 minutes ago at 4:56pm
Alright lets get onto the Saturday meetings.

Randwick

Brian Crowley Stakes.

1. No.7 - 80
2. No.1 - 78
3. No.4 - 77
4. No.8 - 75
5. No.2 - 74
6. No.5 - 74
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.3
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.7 Zarastro
Precedent: No.1 O'President

City Tatt's Cup

1. No.3 - 85
2. No.8 - 82
3. No.2 - 80
4. No.1 - 80
5. No.6 - 77
6. No.4 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.7 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.3 Zeyrek
Precedent: No.1 Carif

Bondi Stakes

1. No.1 - 85
2. No.2 - 82
3. No.3 - 80
4. No.4 - 78
5. No.6 - 75
6. No.7 - 72
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Hilal
Precedent: No.1 Hilal

The Invitation

1. No.7 - 100
2. No.6 - 80
3. No.10-78
4. No.12-77
5. No.8 - 76
6. No.4 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.11 & No.2
Recommended Bet: $20 win + $30 place No.4 Forbidden Love
Precedent: This is the first year of this race so no precedent available.

Moonee Valley

William Crockett Stakes

1. No.2 - 77
2. No.1 - 76
3. No.3 - 75
4. No.8 - 72
5. No.6 - 71
6. No.7 - 68
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.5
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.2 New York Baby
                              $20 win No.1 Robodira
Precedent: No.8 Our Heidi

Red Anchor Stakes

1. No.9 - 90
2. No.1 - 88
3. No.5 - 86
4. No.8 - 82
5. No.4 - 80
6. No.6 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.7 & No.2
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.9 Dosh
Precedent: No.1 He's Exceptional

Fillies Classic

1. No.3 - 82
2. No.4 - 79
3. No.2 - 77
4. No.1 - 76
5. No.5 - 75
6. No.7 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.8 & No.11
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Fortunate Kiss
                               $20 win No.7 Maracana
Precedent: No.3 Fortunate Kiss

Crystal Mile

1. No.5 - 85
2. No.4 - 81
3. No.6 - 79
4. No.8 - 77
5. No.1 - 76
6. No.10-75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.2
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.5 Elephant
                              $20 win No.6 Second Slip
Precedent: No.8 Embolism

Moonee Valley Vase

1. No.1 - 100
2. No.14-75
3. No.11-73
4. No.3 - 71
5. No.6 - 70
6. No.8 - 68
Add ins for any scratchings are No.13 & No.10
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Forgot You
                              $20 place No.11 Samarkand
Precedent: No.1 Forgot You

Moonee Valley Gold Cup

1. No.10 - 85
2. No.12 - 83
3. No.  5 - 80
4. No.  7 - 78
5. No.  1 - 76
6. No.  3 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.2 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.10 Pondus
                              $20 win No.12 Floating Artist
Precedent: No.7 Harpo Marx

Tesio Stakes

1. No.5 - 87
2. No.6 - 84
3. No.7 - 83
4. No.9 - 79
5. No.11-77
6. No.13- 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.3
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.5 Magna Belle
                              $20 win No.6 Starelle
Precedent: No.9 Grace And Harmony

Matamata

Soliloquy Stakes 

1. No.3 - 82
2. No.4 - 80
3. No.1 - 78
4. No.9 - 76
5. No.5 - 75
6. No.7 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.14 & No.15
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Ziegfeld
                              $20 win Eve Chiara
Precedent: No.3 Ziegfeld

Riccarton Park

War Decree Stakes

1. No.3 - 82
2. No.1 - 80
3. No.2 - 78
4. No.5 - 77
5. No.7 - 74
6. No.10-73
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.3 Noverre
Precedent: No.2 Mackenzie Lad

Spring Classic

1. No.3 - 81
2. No.2 - 78
3. No.7 - 76
4. No.9 - 75
5. No.13- 73
6. No.15- 72
Add ins for any scratchings are No.14 & No.11
Recommended Bet: $50 place No.5 Leaderboard

   
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <1 343536
  Share Topic   

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down



This page was generated in 0.063 seconds.





Click here to bet with our preferred online bookmaker, Unibet.