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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Sep 2021 at 4:33pm
Sorry guys I forgot about Wyong today, and missed the Mona Lisa Plate

Friday

Wyong Cup

1. No.4 - 80
2. No.5 - 78
3. No.9 - 77
4. No.1 - 75
5. No.3 - 73
6. No.2 - 70
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.4 Laure Me In
Precedent: No.1 Taikomochi
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Okay we have a huge weekend of racing coming up so here we go.

Belmont

Farnley Stakes

1. No.5 - 82
2. No.1 - 80
3. No.6 - 78
4. No.4 - 75
5. No.7 - 73
6. No.4 - 73
Add ins for a scratching is No.3
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.5 Tellem Were Comin
Precedent: No.1 Trap For Fools

Kembla

Dulcify Quality

1. No.3 - 84
2. No.5 - 82
3. No.1 - 81
4. No.2 - 78
5. No.7 - 77
6. No.4 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.8 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Royalzel
                               $10 each way No.5 Military Expert
Precedent: No.5 Military Expert

Sheraco Stakes

1. No.1 - 85
2. No.4 - 82
3. No.7 - 79
4. No.10-76
5. No.5  -75
6. No.12- 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.6 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Forbidden Love
                              $10 each way No.7 Seasons
Precedent: No.12 Vangelic

Theo Marks Stakes

1. No.2 - 85
2. No.6 - 84
3. No.5 - 82
4. No.11-78
5. No.10-77
6. No.1  - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.12 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.6 Private Eye
                              $20 win No.10 Big Parade
Precedent: No.5 Nimalee

Run To The Rose Stakes

1. No.7 - 87
2. No.8 - 83
3. No.2 - 80
4. No.4 - 78
5. No.3 - 76
6. No.9 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.5
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.7 In The Congo
                             $20 win No.8 Remarque
Precedent: No.2 Anamoe

Flemington

Exford Plate

1. No.1 - 90
2. No.2 - 84
3. No.3 - 84
4. No.5 - 78
5. No.6 - 75
6. No.7 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.10
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Artorius
Precedent: No.2 Lightsaber

Poseidon Stakes

1. No.2 - 100
2. No.3 - 88
3. No.4 - 78
4. No.5 - 75
5. No.1 - 75
6. No.8 - 73
Add ins for any scratchings are No.7 & No.6
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.2 Ingratiating
Precedent: No.3 Finance Tycoon

Cap D'Antibes Stakes

1. No.1 - 90
2. No.5 - 83
3. No.8 - 83
4. No.11-78
5. No.4 - 78
6. No.2 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.7 & No.3
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.5 Crystal Bound
                              $10 each way No.11 Pretty Woman
Precedent: No.8 Ashema

The Sofitel

1. No.2 - 88
2. No.7 - 85
3. No.8 - 82
4. No.1 - 78
5. No.13-76
6. No.5 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $10 win + $40 place No.13 Butter Chicken
Precedent: No.5 Cherry Tortoni

Let's Elope Stakes

1. No.5 - 86
2. No.1 - 83
3. No.14- 81
4. No.17- 80
5. No.13- 77
6. No.15- 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.7
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.5 Still A Star
                              $10 each way No.17 Butter Chicken
Precedent: No.3 Quantum Mechanic

Bobbie Lewis Quality

1. No.1 - 100
2. No.5 - 80
3. No.11-80
4. No.15-77
5. No.12-76
6. No.2 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.3
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Zoutori
                              $10 each way No.15 Front Page
Precedent: No.2 Jonker

 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Sep 2021 at 4:40pm
Alright here we go with a very intriguing group 1.

Makybe Diva Stakes.

1. Sir Dragonet - 84. Has the class, and if we get a track with good give in it I can see him running well here. Maybe not a winning hope, but can run top four.
2. Fifty Stars - 100. I am right in one this fellow here. I can see speed early which will allow him to roll across from the wide gate and even if has to sit three deep with cover he gets his chance in the straight. Loves Flemington, his second up record is good and he can handle the softish conditions. I thought he was good enough first up. Except for Mo'unga and Sir Dragonet, the rest have to prove themselves at WFA at 1600m at group 1 level so for me the $31.00 is huge overs here.
3. Keiai Nautique - 80. I think he looks a nice type, but I am not sure I can back him here. This is a good strong field, but he is the improver and I am not sure how much improvement there will be from his fresh run. he can win and I might back him because I am a fan of his but the ratings say he can not win.
4. Imaging - 72. I have been on his back for 12 months, but as I said last start and I will continue to say, he needs to actually win one for me to back him. No surprise if he won but he can win without me.
5. Mount Poppa - 70. Not here, wait until he gets to 2000m and back to handicap class.
6. Incentivise - 78. Looks to be on the up, but he meets a quality field here. I know he has wet track form but for now I would prefer as dry as possible for him at this level. He can place, but for me he is not a winning hope.
7. Explosvie Jack - 78. Not yet. If he is to run at 1600m, 1800m and 2000m, it will take him four runs just to get warmed up. 
8. Johnny Get Angry - 78. Similar to Explosive Jack, and you can add back to handicap class.
9. Aegon - 81. Looks absolutely well placed. However his 1600m form here in Australia is not as good as Mo'unga's, so he does need to have improved. I think he is unders in the market, but he is drawn well, the track condition should suit and he can win here. 
10. Mo'unga - 100. Great run fresh! His 1600m form is good and his last start and his run behind Addeybb says he has the class to win here. His only Flemington run was a sensational effort behind Tagaloa when he got all the breaks on pace. The one to beat.
11. Colette - 83. As always the only thing she needs to win here, is a wet track and the wetter the better. If she gets those conditions she can win.
12. Tofane - 80. I am this ladies biggest fan, but seriously $4.80 for her first attempt at 1600m is a bit skinny (she should be double figures). Has the class to win, but this is a strong 1600m field and she will need to be at her very best to even get close here. Not for me, and I will watch her run!
13. Inspirational Girl - 84. I can not see any chinks here. 1600m is ideal, her second up record is faultless, she has drawn well to sit a little more forward than she was fresh and she handles dry and soft. Right in this.

Ratings

1. No.2 Fifty Stars - 100
2. No.10 Mo'unga - 100
3. No.13 Inspirational Girl - 84
4. No.1 Sir Dragonet - 84
5. No.11 Colette - 83 
6. No.9 Aegon - 81
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.10 Mo'unga
                              $10 each way No.2 Fifty Stars
Precedent: No.13 Inspirational Girl

Summary: This is a very intriguing race. I thought except for Mo'unga all the other favorites look untested at the 1600m at group 1 level or they have not met as good a field as this, and so I am taking on most of them. Mo'unga is the clear top rater, his only run at Flemington was very very good. Aegon and inspirational Girl have drawn to get every hope, but they are stepping up to the top class here. Incentivise is a interesting runner, but for me I want to see him perform at this level before I step in and for me the drier the better in this grade. Tofane is one of my favorites, but first time at 1600m is for me a concern. Keiai Nautique is for me the up and comer, but again he needs to win one of these to be a bet for me. I have no doubt that the overs in the race is Fifty Stars. He has a very good second up record (which has basically been in good class all the time), he loves Flemington, he loves 1600m and his fresh run was probably one of his better fresh runs. He has to be a chance especially at the $31.00 on offer. All in all a good race on the cards!

Punters Club Investments.

$200 win @$6.00 No.10 Mo'unga
$60 each way @$41.00 + $7.00 No.2 Fifty Stars
$80 win @$8.00 No.13 Inspirational Girl 
$50 Same race Multi No.3 Keiai Nautique to win + No.10 Mounga to run Top 4
$50 Same Race Multi No.9 Aegon to win + No.10 Mo'unga to run Top 4

Good luck and lots of success to all investors!       
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Second Chance Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Sep 2021 at 5:59pm
Always enjoy your assessments here Voyager.

And you've really come out big re Fifty Stars which is a huge call: particularly at $41 which is a quote I couldn't find anywhere.  But BOL.

FWIW I'm on Aegon at $9 and more particularly Inspirational Girl at $7, the latter featuring in your wagers.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Sep 2021 at 4:08pm
I am dead in the water SC with Fifty Stars as the track is favouring those in the first three pairs.

Oh well I have the bet and crossing my fingers they all go mad wanting the lead and put it on for a back marker. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Sep 2021 at 6:52pm
Alright we have some listed races during the week this week and we will start on Wednesday.

Balaklava.

Balaklava Cup.

1. No.17 - 80
2. No.16 - 78
3. No.  6 - 76
4. No.  5 - 74
5. No.  1 - 74
6. No.  2 - 74
Add ins for any scratchings are No.8 & No.11.
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.5 Ritratto
                              $10 each way No.1 Sesar
Precedent: No.5 Ritratto 
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Friday.

Newcastle

Tibbie Plate

1. No.4 - 84
2. No.2 - 81
3. No.3 - 80
4. No.1 - 78
5. No.7 - 77
6. No.9 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.5 & No.17
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Bring The Ransom
                               $20 win No.4 Great News
Precedent: No.9 Le Lude

Newcastle Gold Cup This is a very weak field!

1. No.3 - 78
2. No.7 - 75
3. No.10-73
4. No.11-70
5. No.2 - 70
6. No.6 - 70
Add ins for any scratchings are No.8 & No.13
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.10 No Compromise
                              $10 each way No.8 Sweet Thomas
Precedent: No.8 Sweet Thomas

Cameron Handicap

1. No.3 - 80
2. No.5 - 77
3. No.10-75
4. No.12-74
5. No.4 - 74
6. No.6 - 72
Add ins for any scratchings are No.2 & No.11
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Rock
                              $10 each way No.10 Cepheus
Precedent: No.12 Soldier Of Love

 
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Saturday.

Caulfield.

Thousand Guineas Prelude.

1. No.1 - 85
2. No.3 - 81
3. No.5 - 75
4. No.4 - 73
5. No.2 - 72
6. No.7 - 70
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Heresy
Precedent: No.1 Heresy

Caulfield Guineas Prelude

1. No.1 - 82
2. No.6 - 79
3. No.2 - 79
4. No.3 - 76
5. No.5 - 75
6. No.4 - 74
Add ins for any scartchings are No.9 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Alpine Edge
                              $20 win No.6 Military Expert
Precedent: No.2 Lightsaber

Naturalism Stakes

1. No.15 - 84
2. No.  4 - 82
3. No.  2 - 80
4. No.  6 - 78
5. No.13 - 76
6. No.11 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.12 & No.14
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.15 Tralee Rose
                              $10 each way No.19 Zeyrek (if he is not running then make it $20 win No.4 Delphi)
Precedent: No.4 Delphi

How Now Stakes

1. No.3 - 85
2. No.6 - 83
3. No.9 - 81
4. No.11-78
5. No.13-77
6. No.4 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.8 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.9 Geist
                              $10 each way No.12 Malicorne
Precedent: No.11 Shaik

Morphettville

W.H.Wylie Hcp

1. No.1 - 100
2. No.8 - 80
3. No.12-79
4. No.7 - 77
5. No.10- 76
6. No.5  - 75
Add ins for any scartchings are No.3 & No.2
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Kemalpasa
                              $20 win No.8 He's A Balter
Precedent: No.12 Parlophone

Hastings

Gold Trail Stakes

1. No.1 - 84
2. No.2 - 83
3. No.10-80
4. No.6 - 78
5. No.3 - 77
6. No.5 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.11
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Imperatiz
Precedent: No precedent.

Tarzino Trophy

1. No.12 - 85
2. No.  2 - 84
3. No.  1 - 83
4. No.11 - 79
5. No.  8 - 78
6. No.  4 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.13 & No.10
Recommended Bet: $10 win + $40 place No.2 Prise De Fer
Precedent: No precedent.

Riccarton Park

Canterbury Belle Stakes

1. No.1 - 77
2. No.4 - 76
3. No.2 - 75
4. No.3 - 75
5. No.7 - 73
6. No.5 - 72
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Art De Triomphe
Precedent: No precedent.

NZ Cup Trial

1. No.5 - 80
2. No.6 - 78
3. No.12-76
4. No.13-75
5. No.9 - 74
6. No.7 - 74
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.10
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.5 Southern Ocean
                               $10 each way No.6 Diorissimo
Precedent: No precedent.

Randwick

Bill Ritchie Stakes

1. No.5 - 85
2. No.3 - 85
3. No.11- 82
4. No.6 - 82
5. No.8 - 78
6. No.12- 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.2
Recommended Bet: $30 win No3 Aramayo
                              $10 each way No.1 Archedemus
Precedent: No.3 Aramayo

Tea Rose Stakes

1. No.4 - 85
2. No.5 - 84
3. No.6 - 82
4. No.1 - 80
5. No.12-77
6. No.3 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.2 & No.7
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.4 Mallory
                              $20 win No.5 Robodira
Precedent: No.1 Four Moves Ahead

The Shorts

1. No.1 - 100
2. No.2 - 100
3. No.3 - 87
4. No.4 - 87
5. No.5 - 83
6. No.7 - 83
Add ins for any scratchings are No.6 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $50 place No.3 Gytrash
Precedent: No.2 Eduardo

Kingston Town Stakes

1. No.3 - 82
2. No.4 - 81
3. No.5 - 79
4. No.2 - 79
5. No.14-78
6. No.7 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.12 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.4 Spirit Ridge
                              $20 win No.14 She's Ideel
Precedent: No.5 Shared Ambition

  
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Alright after the Makybe Diva Stakes last week the Punters Club Balance is: -$730.00

So lets get started at Randwick.

George Main Stakes.

1. Kolding - 83. Did not get beaten far last start but he had every hope. He has good 1600m form including a win in this race a couple of years ago, but for me he is a better 1400m horse. If you like him you can back him but I need double figures at least.
2. Think It Over - 90. Great effort last start. He should get a similar run to that race and he will give a good sight. Clear winning chance.
3. Cascadian - 86. Going well enough and his rating drop second up was expected. he can bounce back but this is a quality field. Top four hope at best for mine.
4. Star Of The Seas - 81. He ran well last start behind a challenger for the best galloper in the country, but he has always been just short of beating these horses and that should continue here. Also the drier the better for him.  
5. Riodini - 82. Like last time, he should sit on pace with little challengers. Can see him running well, but not winning.
6. Lion's Roar - 80. Ran as expected fresh. Out to 1600m suits, his second up record is good and he loves Randwick. Not suited at WFA so I will let him run without me. 
7. Verry Elleegant - 100. She was just nosed out fresh behind a horse who ran well last week in Melbourne. Leading chance!
8. Shout The Bar - 80. Been a while since she showed her best, which for me is not good enough here anyway, so no bet here.
9. Hungry Heart - 82. Got going late after being held up at the top of the straight. I need to see her win at WFA before backing her but I can see her running well out to 1600m.

Ratings

1. No.7 Verry Elleegant - 100
2. No.2 Think it Over - 90
3. No.3 Cascadian - 86
4. No.1 Kolding - 83
5. No.9 Hungry Heart - 82
6. No.5 Riodini - 82
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.6
Reccomended Bet: $30 win No.7 Verry Elleegant
                             $20 win No.2 Think It Over
Precedent: No.2 Think It Over

Summary: Good strong field with a clear favorite. Verry Elleegant is the one to beat. Think It Over is a high class galloper and even though he needed the run last start he showed his class by winning. Personally I think the winner is in those two but Just about every other runner can run well and finish top four.

Punters Club Investment

$300 win @$2.60 No.7 Verry Elleegant
$200 win @$7.50 No.2 Think It Over 
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Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes.

1. Behemoth - 100. No knock here. Good weight carrier, loves the track and distance and he looks fit now, third up. Definite winning hope.
2. Probabeel - 100. One of the best mares in recent times and she looks well placed here. The only query will be if they get the forecast rain, but she can use the gate to position close to the speed and if she is within four lengths of them topping the straight she will go close.
3. Streets Of Avalon - 80. I thought her an well last run at 1600m. but he did that last year and came here and was shocking. I do not think he is racing as well as last year and his draw has me looking elsewhere.
4. Dalasan - 80. Has the quality to win but this is a track where he has not raced his best in the past. His previous form suggests he is one of the long priced horses who can run well here, but his racing style goes against him. No surprise if he won but not for me.
5. Beau Rossa - 90. This horse is in fantastic form. No trouble with the 1400m, drawn to sit right on the speed or right on its back and all he needs to get is the gaps in the straight. The drop in weight from the last start means he is the one to beat. 
6. Buffalo River - 78. Could not win this last year and he meets a far superior field this time. For me he is not well weighted and I have not seen many win this race first up, so I can bet around him. 
7. Sierra Sue - 84. She has drawn to get a similar run to that which she had when she won the Lawrence. Back to the 1400m suits and if she gets the gaps in the straight she can win.
8. Groundswell - 72. Good listed galloper, but outclassed here!
9. Aysar - 78. I do not like him, but he looks one of the horses in this race who has group 1 form, but will start at big odds and can place. Not a winning hope for me but can sneak a top four spot.
10. Irish Flame - 80. One of the best runs fresh all year last time out. I would be all over him if we were either at 1600m or Flemington, but unless he can sit closer from the gate, he will get lost in the ruck in the straight. On his form he is not a $46.00 hope, he should be about $19.00. so he is overs on form.
11. Romancer - 77. Can pull out a big run every now and then, but this might be too strong class wise.
12. Samizdat - 77. Has form around a couple of good gallopers in Perth, but he meets a genuine group 1 field here. No.
13. Amish boy - 87. I thought brilliant, everything is falling into place here, and he was looking a huge chance and then Tuesday we had the barrier draw. The good thing from the draw he has is that he has three horses immediately inside him who are genuine on pace runners, so if can come across and get three wide with cover he can still win. I have no doubt he will run top four.
14. Dice Roll - 75. Another who should roll forward. His form through the winter was good, but this is a huge rise in class. Not for me.
15. Regardsmaree - 79. Going well and if it was a small field where he could sit just behind the speed and get a soft run he would be a hope, but not in this race how it sets up for me.
16. Poland - 80. Not his type of race fresh. His 3yo form is okay but not at the highest level so I will take him on but I will have him in my Tri's and first 4's.
17. I'm Thunderstruck - 78. Improver but he was behind Poland and Amish Boy last season and I need to see him perform better than those two gallopers here. 

Ratings.

1. No.2 - Probabeel - 100
2. No.1 - Behemoth - 100
3. No.5 - Beau Rossa - 90
4. No.13 - Amish Boy - 87
5. No.7 - Sierra Sue - 84
6. No.10 - Irish Flame - 80
Add ins for any scratchings are No.4 & No.3
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.5 Beau Rossa
                              $20 win No.2 Probabeel (if the track is in the soft range switch this bet to $10 each way No.13 Amish Boy)
Precedent: No.7 Sierra Sue

Summary: For me the top four raters are the wining hopes and with Amish Boy needing luck from his barrier the top three are clear of him. Beau Rossa gets everything needed to win here. The gate is ideal, the track condition looks ideal and he showed that with the weight drop he is as good as Behemoth. Behemoth has had a good last twelve months and the fact that he actually drops a kilo from last years winning effort shows that this field is a step up in grade so he will need his best to win. Probabeel is all class with a capital C and she will get a quality run and every hope. Amish Boy was mapping nicely in his prep until that barrier came up. he is a superior 1400m horse and I still think with his lightweight he can win here. Irish Flame was one of the best fresh runs of the year last time out and if this was 1600m or at Flemington I would be all over him but I am just worried the run he gets. If Matthew Cartwright can produce a special ride this horse fills the precedent of a country/provincial Victoria galloper with a lightweight doing well here. No surprise if Dalasan won, but I hate him at Caulfield. I will be adding Samizdat and both Aysar and Poland to my exotics. This is a good race, and as we say at the handicaps if you like one back your judgement!

Punters Club Investment

$150 win @$5.50 No.5 Beau Rossa
$130 win @$6.50 No.2 Probabeel
$60 each way @$15.00 + $4.20 No.13 Amish Boy
$94.50 trifecta 1-2-5-10-13/1-2-4-5-7-9-10-12-13-16/Field = 14%

Good luck and lots of luck to all investors!      
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Alright we have a huge weekend of racing so we will start at Moonee Valley.

Friday.

Bill Stutt Stakes.

1. No.3 - 84
2. No.4 - 80
3. No.1 - 79
4. No.2 - 77
5. No.5 - 75
6. No.7 - 72
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.3 Forgot You
Precedent: No.2 Daily Bugle

Scarborough Stakes.

1. No.6 - 78
2. No.4 - 76
3. No.2 - 75
4. No.5 - 75
5. No.1 - 74
6. No.7 - 73
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.10
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.6 Seradess
                               $10 each way No.1 Glistening
Precedent: No.9 Decent Raine

JRA Cup

1. No.1 - 85
2. No.3 - 83
3. No.8 - 80
4. No.11-78
5. No.4 - 77
6. No.2 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.6 & No.5
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Homesman
                              $10 each way No.11 Djukon
Precedent: No.2 Sound

Stock Stakes.

1. No.1 - 82
2. No.12-77
3. No.11-75
4. No.9 - 74
5. No.4 - 74
6. No.8 - 73
Add ins for any scratchings are No.2 & No.7
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.1 Quantum Mechanic
Precedent: No.1 Quantum Mechanic


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Okay the Punters Club Investments are sitting at -$950.00.

So we start with the Moir Stakes.

Moir Stakes

1. Trekking - 80. The 1000m is too short for him to win but his fresh run was good, so he is a top four hope.
2. Wild Ruler - 87. This looks his chance to win a group 1 this spring. 1000m is ideal, has drawn to lead or sit on pace and will take catching. I still feel his form lacks depth but he is a winning hope.
3. The Inferno - 100. Great win last start. Proved himself there at WFA and against group 1 quality. Looks suited at the 1000m and he has drawn to gain a lovely run sitting right behind the speed. The one to beat.
4. Portland Sky - 87. Just needed the run fresh. Always improves second up and he can go very close here. Danger.
5. September Run - 80. I thought she ran as well as she can fresh around a turn, by the way she does fly fresh. Stuck at 1000m does not help her and unless there is a hot bias towards the swoopers she can not win.
6. Swats That - 78. Has always been in September Run's shadow. She has settled close in the past and if she can jump and settle close from the gate, she can go close.
7. Brooklyn Hustle - 74. Not in this race for me.
8. Ballistic Lover - 79. Good win last start and like her here fresh. There is speed on both sides of her so i am just worried about how much energy she has to use early. If she can save a kick for the straight she can go close.
9. Miss Albania - 70. Outclassed here.
10. Shaquero - 76. His form lacks depth but I am extremely wary that his trainer has him in a group 1 fresh so to me that tells me he is doing well at home. At the current quote of $31.00 he is an each way bet.
11. Profiteer - 78. He needs to reserve some energy in this race, but his form is stronger than Shaquero's with his second to Anamoe at 1200m great  form for this. I am certain that $4.00 is unders, but no doubt he is a genuine contender here.

Ratings.

1. No.3 - 100
2. No.4 - 87
3. No.2 - 87
4. No.1 - 80
5. No.5 - 80
6. No.8 - 79
Add ins for any scratchings are No.11 & No.6
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 The Inferno
                              $20 win No.4 Portland Sky
Precedent: No.11 Profiteer

Summary: There is an abundance of speed here and that makes this race extremely hard to assess. I have ended up settling with The Inferno because I think he will get a lovely run right behind the speed. Portland Sky ran okay fresh, but he does improve off his fresh run. The two three year olds are both hopes but they are front running types and will need to absorb some huge pressure here. Wild Ruler can sit behind the speed here and he can finish off. Ballistic Lover only knows one way, but she is definitely on the up and no surprise to see her win. September Run and Swats that are good but for me both need a dead set back marker bias. Trekking is good enough but for me 1000m is below his optimum distance. Good field with an intriguing speed map which will be all important.

Punters Club Investment.

$125 win @$4.50 No.11 Profiteer
$200 win @$6.00 No.3 The Inferno
$75 win   @$14.00 No.4 Portland Sky
$50 each way $41.00 + $6.50 No.10 Shaquero     

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Saturday.

Belmont.

Black heart Bart Stakes.

1. No.2 - 87
2. No.1 - 85
3. No.4 - 81
4. No.6 - 80
5. No.5 - 77
6. No.3 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.7
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.2 Laverrod
Precedent: No.6 Vital Silver

Toowoomba Cup

1. No.8 - 84
2. No.11-82
3. No.2 - 80
4. No.1 - 78
5. No.6 - 77
6. No.4 - 77
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.7
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.4 Champagne Aunty
                              $20 win No.6 Zigallene
Precedent: No.2 Wapiti

Weetwood Handicap

1. No.3 - 87
2. No.2 - 85
3. No.6 - 80
4. No.7 - 79
5. No.10-77
6. No.12-75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.9 & No.5
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Apache Chase
                              $20 win No.6 You Make Me Smile
Precedent: No.2 Desert Lord

Sandown (please note that this meeting is usually run at Caulfield so there will be no precedent for these races.)

Jim Moloney Stakes

1. No.2 - 80
2. No.3 - 77
3. No.5 - 75
4. No.1 - 75
5. No.4 - 70
6. No.7 - 70
Add ins for any scratchings are No.6 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.2 Zouzarella
                              $10 each way No.1 Biscayne Bay

Sandown Stakes

1. No.3 - 87
2. No.1 - 85
3. No.2 - 82
4. No.6 - 80
5. No.5 - 77
6. No.4 - 72
Add in for a scratching is No.7
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Harbour Views
                              $10 each way No.1 Lunar Fox

Testa Rossa Stakes

1. No.1 - 83
2. No.2 - 80
3. No.9 - 78
4. No.5 - 77
5. No.10-75
6. No.6 - 75
Add ins for any scratchings are No.3 & No.7
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 So Si Bon
                              $10 each way No.10 Justacanta

Rosehill.

Colin Stephen Quality.

1. No.6 - 84
2. No.3 - 79
3. No.2 - 77
4. No.1 - 77
5. No.7 - 75
6. No.9 - 74
Add ins for any scratchings are No.10 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.6 No Compromise
Precedent: No.3 Fun Fact

Heritage Stakes

1. No.3 - 84
2. No.4 - 82
3. No.10-79
4. No.1 - 77
5. No.6 - 76
6. No.5 - 76
Add ins for any scratchings are No.2 & No.8
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.3 Paulele
Precedent: No.3 Paulele

Shannon Stakes

1. No.4 - 80
2. No.10-78
3. No.1 - 77
4. No.3 - 76
5. No.7 - 75
6. No.2 - 73
Add ins for any scratchings are No.8 & No.9
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.1 Imaging
                              $10 each way No.3 Archedemus
Precedent: No.7 All Saints Eve

Golden Pendant

1. No.2 - 87
2. No.1 - 84
3. No.4 - 83
4. No.6 - 82
5. No.9 - 80
6. No.10-78
Add ins for any scratchings are No.5 & No.3.
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.2 Entriviere
                              $10 win No.1 Forbidden Love
                              $10 win No.4 Nimalee
Precedent: No.10 Vangelic

Gloaming Stakes

1. No.3 - 84
2. No.2 - 81
3. No.4 - 78
4. No.6 - 77
5. No.5 - 75
6. No.9 - 74
Add ins for any scratchings are No.1 & No.12
Recommended Bet: $30 win No.3 Arnaquer
                              $20 win No.6 Profondo
Precedent: No.4 Alegron

 
  
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Alright now on to our two group 1 races for Saturday.

Sandown

Underwood Stakes.

1. Fifty Stars - 75. I have his last start being his worst run of his career. Track should suit and out to 1800m might see improvement but if he wins I will dance naked at Goulburn railway station on Sunday.
2. Zaaki - 90. Only reason he is not on 100 is this is his first go in Melbourne. The long straight will suit and he looks a class above his rivals here.
3. The Chosen One - 80. As usual terrific run fresh. he does tend to drop his rating at his next start and while he can place in this small field he will not be winning.
4. Superstorm - 84. Strong win last start in the Feehan, but he did just beat a benchmark horse. The sixth horse behind him there did win the Sir Rupert Clarke last week and the fourth horse won the Naturalism. I do not think he can beat the favorite but he will keep him honest and if there is an upset he is it.
5. Probabeel - 82. She has the class but is she at her best at further than 1600m and what is the track condition, if it is wet she has buckleys.

Ratings

1. No.2 Zaaki - 90
2. No.4 Superstorm - 84
3. No.5 Probabeel - 82
4. No.3 The Chosen One - 80
5. No.1 Fifty Stars - 75
Recommended Bet: $50 win No.2 Zaaki

Summary: Not much to report here. If Zaaki is as good as we think he should win this by four. If the track was dry I could entertain Probabeel but the three main points for her are the 1800m, the possible wet track and is she racing at her best. Superstorm won a race last start which has already produced good form in handicaps, and the other two are not winning hopes although The Chosen One can run well.

Punters Club Investment

$400 win @$1.50 No.2 Zaaki  
$  50 win @$16.00 No.4 Superstorm
$  50 win @$34.00 No.3 The Chosen One 
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Rosehill

Golden Rose.

1. Anamoe - 100. No chinks in his armour. His only run at Rosehill was a sensational effort in the Slipper where he just got to far back, however he should settle close enough to be within a winning position at the turn from his gate here. The one to beat.
2. Artorius - 80. His only unplaced run was in the Slipper here, but it was a cracker of a run. I think he is going well enough to be a hope here, but at this level I want it as dry as we can get it. On a good track , and sitting closer wide with cover he can win.
3. Captivant - 78. They need to use the gate with this guy. If they get two or three pairs back on the fence he is not a winning hope. Just fell in rating off his huge fresh run last start, which follows his  rating path last prep, and maybe he will need this one as well. He might be the Caulfield Guineas one out of this race but he can finish top four here.
4. Hilal - 78. His last start back on a big track was passable. I understand he was only a half length off Artorius last start but he did get 2.5 kilos off him there and he has not shown me that he has improved into this prep, so for me from the gate he is a non bet here.
5. In The Congo - 82. I do not see why this horse continues to start at double figures. While this is a full field I do not see a huge amount of speed and he will lead and be hard to run down again. Maybe the 1400m is a concern, but not for me at Rosehill. 
6. Tiger Of Malay - 78. Going well but he needs to lift off his last start. The 1400m will suit and he wil get a lovely run so he has to be at least a top four hope.
7. Remarque - 80. Again he is racing well, but he has had his chance at his two starts this prep. He does look as though 1400m and 1600m will suit better so if he can sit closer in the run from the soft gate he can win.
8. Giannis - 84. I thought he was sensational last start, but for me he should be going to 1600m  and not back to 1400m. Despite this he is at a stupid price and so I will probably end up backing him.
9. Royalzel - 78. Again he is going well but he looks like 1600m+ is his go. Can run on but for me he wont be coming quick enough.
10. Coastwatch - 82. Here is your sleeper. Great win last start over a horse who went to Melbourne last week and ran well. He ran a cracker two back when just missing Tiger Of Malay, when he had to get around horses and come late. He goes up in weight here, but he is on the upward spiral and it looks like he will get to $31.00+ so for me is the longshot who can run very well.
11. Moridan - 70. This has come early, but he looks a promising type. Maybe more an autumn 3yo.
12. Jamaea - 80. From the good gate here she can sit forward of midfield. Personally I think she is the best 3yo filly in Sydney and while she might not be able to win she can place.
13. Startantes - 79. I am telling you all, do not sell her short here. Love the 1400m, she drops 2.4 kilos on her last start win at 1350m. Her win before that was against a leading Caulfield Guineas hope in Alpine Edge, who had no luck last week at Caulfield. With the lack of speed I can see her rolling forward and being close enough if good enough. 

Ratings

1. No.1 Anamoe - 100
2. No.8 Giannis  -   84
3. No.10 Coastwatch - 82
4. No.5  In The Congo - 82
5. No.12 Jamaea - 80  
6. No.2 Artorius - 80
Add ins for any scratchings are No.7 & No.13
Recommended Bet: $10 win No.2 Artorius
                              $10 each way No.8 Giannis
                              $10 each way No.12 Jamaea
Precedent: No.1 Anamoe

Summary: Anamoe looks a good bet, but if you ignore him, for me it is a wide open race. Down the page. Anamoe was good fresh and he showed he had come back, but he needs to improve his rating because that effort will not cut it here. Artorius needs to find a way to settle closer and from the gate he can might be bale to do that despite the lack of speed. Captivant's only hope is to roll forward and use the gate, Hilal improved last time out but he is a top four at best for me, I am still wondering why In The Congo always starts at double figures as he should get a nice lead here, Tiger Of Malay and Remarque have been racing well but they need to improve off those efforts and maybe the 1400m will assist with that. Giannis and Royalzel look Spring Champion horses but Giannis has the quality to win this, Coastwatch is not hopeless and he should get a lovely run from the gate with Rawiller aboard. Moridan looks promising but he looks more an autumn horse while I am no way selling the two fillies short. Jamaea on my ratings is the best filly in Sydney and Startantes is looking to go better for the Heathcote stable after Rothfire last year and she has put two sensational runs back to back in Queensland and trust me she has the ability to run really really well here. Very very intriguing race instore here.

Punters Club Investments.

$250 win @$2.20 No.1 Anamoe
$20 win + $30 place @$36.00 + $6.00 No.10 Coastwatch
$70 win @$11.25 No.2 Artorius
$50 win @$29.00 No.8 Giannis
Same race Multi $40 Top 4 No.12 Jamaea + No.8 Giannis
Same race Multi $40 Top 4 No.13 Startantes + No.8 Giannis 

Good luck investors and lots of success to you all!

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