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The Trump Presidency cont.

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Passing Through View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 4:46pm
Yes herd immunity.
Voting rights, that's not our thing.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 4:49pm
Herd Mentality Twitter Trend : Most Popular Tweets | Worldwide
Voting rights, that's not our thing.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote maccamax Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 5:06pm
That's exactly how it works ....     They will never have to face that problem again.

   
GOD BLESS DONALD JOHN TRUMP and
      AMERICA ---
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote TJMitchell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 5:48pm
No wonder macca loves the great man. You're either trolling or not as smart as you think you are.

Herd mentality LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 6:20pm
Voting rights, that's not our thing.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote marble Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 6:21pm
Originally posted by TJMitchell TJMitchell wrote:

No wonder macca loves the great man. You're either trolling or not as smart as you think you are.

Herd mentality LOL

more like terd mentality TJ
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stayer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 6:54pm
Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Oh God we're back to this. The dreaded warped stats pic.Sleepy
"She's going through a growth phase." - GW
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 7:08pm
Why is it warped?

As an aside you hear the Florida Governor is hiding new infection rates?

How good!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stayer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 7:14pm
Always A for effort, Rusty.Thumbs Up
"She's going through a growth phase." - GW
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 7:35pm

. How our theory works to Trump’s advantage

In recent weeks, we’ve focused on what professional pollsters call the difference between an ‘intention’ given in response to a poll and an ‘expectation’ of the outcome. The intention identifies the particular candidate you intend to vote for. The expectation identifies the candidate you expect to win regardless of your personal vote.

Often, the two answers are the same. In 1984, most voters said they intended to vote for Ronald Reagan and most voters also said they expected Reagan to win. The same happened with Bill Clinton in 1996. Where things get interesting is when one candidate is ahead in the intention question, but a different candidate is ahead in the expectation question. In effect, many respondents to the poll are saying, ‘I’m voting for A, but I expect B to win.’

Biden is ahead among those who state an intention, but Trump is ahead when the same people are asked their expectation. We know from extensive research going back decades that the expectation question has much higher predictive value whenever the intention and expectation questions produce different results.

A comparison to 2016 is inappropriate because the intention to vote for Hillary Clinton and expectation that she would win were the same (even though both were wrong). It’s when they differ that you put more weight on expectation.

The reason the expectation question is more accurate at predicting elections is because the views of a much larger group than just the polling subjects are included. People answering the questions base their answer on the weight of opinion in their social networks (family, friends, neighbours and co-workers). Polls are more accurate when they include larger groups. That’s what happens when you ask subjects about expectations.

Also, this is a ‘national’ poll which means little since we don’t have national elections; we have state-by-state elections. You can only win California once, even if you get four million more votes. When you boil this down just to the battleground states, the Trump advantage is even more pronounced and is moving in Trump’s direction. As they say on Wall Street, ‘The trend is your friend’.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 7:39pm
That  was not my theory, but one I got in a newsletter.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote brokecell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 7:51pm
Obviously for a distance and we dont vote their but interesting

Australians' support for US plunges to record lows under Trump

For our free coronavirus pandemic coverage, learn more here.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:09pm
brokecell, that article was written by Matthew Knott who is the North American based correspondent for the Sydney Morning Herald. Wink How would he know what Australians back here in Australia think about Trump ? Secondly how many Australians would be putting their minds as to who wins the US election when we are all far more concerned with  COVID 19. The sampling for that assumption would be minuscule and of little to no relevance.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote maccamax Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:10pm
Trump has really achieved in the Middle East ...

Deserves the Worlds appreciation for what he has pulled off there.

Best POTUS of my recent times ... My no 1 was Roosevelt of course but Trump is by far the best since .
GOD BLESS DONALD JOHN TRUMP and
      AMERICA ---
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:15pm
Macca , I presume you mean FD Roosevelt not Teddy Roosevelt, you cannot be that old. Wink
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote brokecell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:18pm
Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

brokecell, that article was written by Matthew Knott who is the North American based correspondent for the Sydney Morning Herald. Wink How would he know what Australians back here in Australia think about Trump ? Secondly how many Australians would be putting their minds as to who wins the US election when we are all far more concerned with  COVID 19. The sampling for that assumption would be minuscule and of little to no relevance.

People the world over are thinking of the most powwerful leader in the world. Perrhaps even more with covid as they may have more time on there hands.


A major reason for the plunge in support for the US and its President appears to be the country's failure to contain the coronavirus, which has killed more than 194,000 Americans according to Johns Hopkins University.

The survey, conducted in June and July this year, found that just 33 per cent of Australians have a favourable view of the US, down from 50 per cent a year ago. This is the lowest favourability rating since Pew first polled Australians in 2003.

Australians' support for the US peaked in 2013, the start of Barack Obama's second term, with 66 per cent of respondents saying they had a favourable perception of our most important military ally.

This trend was repeated around the world, with favourable perceptions of the US falling by 27 percentage points over the past year in Japan, 16 per cent in the United Kingdom and 13 points in Germany.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:22pm
The survey, conducted in June and July this year, found that just 33 per cent of Australians have a favourable view of the US, down from 50 per cent a year ago.

Meaningless , 33% of those surveyed. How many of Australia's population were surveyed ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote brokecell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:29pm
watever BB, you just keep rationallising any unfavorable news as false, incommplete, whatever. Life for you is more comffortable that way Wink
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote TJMitchell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:31pm
Roosevelt one of the greats. Truman, his successor, wasn't too bad himself. They did take over from a few real bad ones though lol.

Trump...I'd probably rank him just above Buchanan.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:42pm
bc, I have to call out failings on all sides of politics. As an examples, if the Democrats had put up a better candidate I believe they would beat Trump. Morrison has yet to take the initiative over state  premiers over COVID 19, and appears weak IMO. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:46pm
Originally posted by TJMitchell TJMitchell wrote:

Roosevelt one of the greats. Truman, his successor, wasn't too bad himself. They did take over from a few real bad ones though lol.

Trump...I'd probably rank him just above Buchanan.

Buchanan he was president before the Civil War....your opinion could only be based on what you have read of US history.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shrunk in the Wash Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 8:53pm
Originally posted by brokecell brokecell wrote:

Obviously for a distance and we dont vote their but interesting

Australians' support for US plunges to record lows under Trump

For our free coronavirus pandemic coverage, learn more here.


Wow, that’s vital info. Hope it doesn’t sway the election LOL

“It's only a bit of flu isn't it, not the worst one we have had? And you have to die from something. AIDS will kill more”
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote TJMitchell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 10:10pm
Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by TJMitchell TJMitchell wrote:

Roosevelt one of the greats. Truman, his successor, wasn't too bad himself. They did take over from a few real bad ones though lol.

Trump...I'd probably rank him just above Buchanan.

Buchanan he was president before the Civil War....your opinion could only be based on what you have read of US history.

You really need a sense of humour BB LOL

I wish I had a sig
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote maccamax Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 10:17pm
I just heard Jim Molan say , The World has never needed Strong American Leadership and Power any more than NOW and if Trump fails in this coming election we won't get it.

    Can you TDS lot ,look past yr nose.
GOD BLESS DONALD JOHN TRUMP and
      AMERICA ---
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 10:38pm
Jim Molan?

fiddlesticks 
He’s as mad as a rabid dog.

In terms of world domination, the orange idiot has literally made it his business to weaken American alliances.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote maccamax Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Sep 2020 at 11:29pm
I can't believe that Rusty ...   Not a nice way to speak of a man with his Service record.
   Does not read well for you Rusty.
GOD BLESS DONALD JOHN TRUMP and
      AMERICA ---
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shammy Davis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Sep 2020 at 12:25am
Originally posted by stayer stayer wrote:

I just saw footage of Joe's Hispanic Heritage event and thought it must surely be a spoof. You should post it, PT. Let the TBV people see the whole thing. I dare you. LOL
LOLI guess we'll have to revise Joe’s nickname.   Creepy Slowly Joe is now making the rounds.  And now it is the Harris-Biden ticket.Shocked  Cringe worthy stuff.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Sep 2020 at 12:39am
Cringe worthy is reducing your policy to primary school name calling.....

Shame you can’t afford to advertise Anything.......

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote maccamax Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Sep 2020 at 12:56am
Primary School Name calling Rusty ......      Did you forget what you called Jim Molan .......     In case you didn't know Rusty ... and SHAME on you.
------------------------------
During his military career, Jim Molan was commanding officer of the 6th Battalion, Royal Australian Regiment, commander of the 1st Brigade, commander of the 1st Division and its Deployable Joint Force Headquarters, and commander of the Australian Defence College. In April 2004, he deployed for a year to Iraq to serve as Chief of Operations for the new Headquarters Multinational Force in Iraq. He has been awarded the Distinguished Service Cross, as well as the Legion of Merit by the U.S. government. He retired from the Australian Army in 2008,
GOD BLESS DONALD JOHN TRUMP and
      AMERICA ---
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Sep 2020 at 1:17am
I know who he is.

He’s the nutbag that was posting anti Muslim rubbish that he lifted from far right wackos in UK.

Then when he didn’t like his ranking on the senate at the last election, he tried to blow the joint up, ran amok and ran as an independent.

And then the stoopid pr1cks let him back in,when a vacancy occurred shortly after.
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