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The Rough as Gutz thread

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Racing Carrot View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Racing Carrot Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Apr 2014 at 1:22pm
Originally posted by Dr E Dr E wrote:


Rodway - half to The Diva, up against the "B" grade staying 3 yo's - we know what she did when she got to 2000 m - $101/$26 
I also thought that was an interesting one.  He didn't seem to get the easiest of times early at MV last start and only got run over late. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stayer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Apr 2014 at 2:36pm
Won't put much on but wondering if Risen from Doubt might be a smokey. Has been very disappointing but has had some excuses and may like the wet. Aimed at the slipper ages ago and has at least won a trial on slow.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote room for a slew Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Apr 2014 at 9:51am
In syd

Missovin at 61s
All my loving at 71s

In melb

Mystery black 61s
Cyrstallised 31s

Hastings

Opium 26s

Good punting
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bcwins Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Apr 2014 at 10:18am
Mountain view will run well at 30's
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kingy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Apr 2014 at 11:16am
$50 win and $150 place on Alzora in race 4 at $51/$8

Has pretty decent 1st up form and will have no problems getting through the ground

No match for Catkins IMO but hopefully can sneak a place. Had an exacta and one of them duets with Alzora and Catkins.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote There off! Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Apr 2014 at 11:27am
Syd R1 Spicy Sure $71/$18
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote scamanda Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Apr 2014 at 11:33am
I missed the triple figures on Betfair for Memorial but $81 with IASBet was good enough.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ecair Issoire Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Apr 2014 at 11:56am
syd

maluckyday
believe yourself
kaypers

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kingy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Apr 2014 at 3:25pm
Originally posted by Kingy Kingy wrote:

Couple at Rosehill I've had a crack at;

Race 7. Forever Loved $51/$12
Race 9. Wazn $81/$21 and The Great Snowman $26/$7


BOOOOYAAAAAAA

$250 each way and still in the quaddie!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kingy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 8:46am
Caulfield R3. Boys on Tour $41/$7.50
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Pardon_My_Dust Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 8:47am
Ninth Legion in the Doncaster around 80/1.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bcwins Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 9:03am
See the world in the slop will start overs currently 61
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote goldey Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 10:36am
Hana's Goal to handle the heavy 51/1 , Brant Snedicker in the Masters 34/1 might be shorter now though, plays well at Augusta .
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Bonfield Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 10:42am
With a heavy track at Randwick it's a good day to take longshots.  I'm on the following:
 
R2: Casino Dancer @$101, Cast In Stone @$51
R3: Scatcat @$67
R6: Koroibete @$101, Surge Ahead @$67, Crime Fighter @$41, Cadillac Mountain @$41
R7: Shamexpress @$31, Sessions @$51
R8: Mouro @$301, Lidari @$61, Malavio @$81
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote room for a slew Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 11:34am
These may not be real roughies but some if them are good overs.

Newcastle
R1 our little miracle at 12s
R8 sensing at 16s

Melb
R2 kohindi at 21s
R3 white universe at 81s

Ellerslie
R6 Emily monk at 21s

Good punting all.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Downby the palms Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 12:25pm
Ar4 No8 Silent Man $31
Sr6 No's 10 & 11 Best Case $31 and Crime Fighter $26
johnny Hunt
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kingy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 12:40pm
Got $250 each way on O'Reilly's Revenge for Bede in the 2nd at Randwick. Hopefully runs as good as Bede thinks he is
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Louie Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 12:44pm
Just been out all morning with the "boss" - o should have an interruption free arvo to enjoy the races + study now LOL

SR3 N12 Flight Academy. Blinkers first time, has form around them, hope it steps away better, has Magic Moreria, 20-1+
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote room for a slew Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 1:14pm
Woohooo
Emily monk huge win on debut.

Gotta love Oreillys.

If orion can win the the last at Ellerslie ut will be a ripping double.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dr E Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 2:09pm
Randwick 

R2 # 12 Casino Dancer - $101 - last 2 starts better than they look - has form around Forever Loved (3rd Storm Queen)

R4 # 2 Permit - $51 - hates wet, loves mile and a half 
R4 # 8 Desert Jeuney - $34 - promising stayer who is better than a lot of these.

R6 # 14 Cadillac Mountain - $26 - too far back last time, but finished off again, will run the trip
R6 # 16 Mountain View - $81 - 4th or better 9 of 10 (Sportsbet paying 4th), High Chap who keeps grinding, J.MOREIRA - lets see how good he is!

R7 # 8 Shamexpress - $21 - expecting them to be going wide, he's drawn well to get into the right place and finish hard.

How tough is the Doncaster!!!??

R8 # 2 My K of F - $101 - obviously been off the scene a long time, but form here is faultless in these conditions.
R8 # 8 Mouro - $81 - forgive 2nd up, 3rd up 3:2-1-0, this time last year was 2nd to Messesne, 1st, defeated Beaten Up and Speediness, then 2nd Speediness ... $15 chance paying $20 place.
R8 # 11 Dear Demi - $41 - G1 mare with G1 jockey, wet form and 2000m form
R8 # 14 Hana's Goal - $67 - Japanese Smokey! Backed into $9 last start, missed start forgive run - wet unknown. Japanese G1 form is very strong.
R8 # 21 Malavio - $81 - consistent form around the favourites - if Boban is scratched, he gets a run, and probably GSchofield - could lead and dictate. 

Caulfield

R1 # 3 Montgomery - $21 - quinella with Westsouthwest ($3.50 fav) twice over jumps last prep.

R3 # 4 Garud - $17 - 1st up 5:1-2-2

R6 # 14 Sir Fernando - $41 - had good 3 yo form, good form here, 2nd up and wet, drawn well.

R7 # 14 Caprossa - $15 - Canberra trained, normally races in Sydney (well), found something easier?

R8 # 5 Niblick - $81 - not sure if this is his race, but used to be good up to a mile at Flemington. Been everywhere lately including WA. Good effort in a handy Albury Cup last time and drops back in distance, handles all going and will possy forward.
R8 # 7 Vatuvei - $41 - was a promising 3 yo stayer, and mostly raced in better company. Best on heavy 3:2-0-1 and over more ground. Could sneak a place.
R8 # 20 Picture Editor - $81 - goes well 2nd up and wet, placed here. 

Doomben

R2 # 5 High Kin - $10 - not so rough, but good last start and now up to right distance. Would take $5.

R5 # 7 Theft - $34 - drawn to get good run on pace, 2nd up track and distance form good in this grade. 

R8 # 2 Noisy Ocean - $41 - has been freshened, has won and placed at 1400 fresh, gets a good track.
R8 # 13 Vacallo - $13 - was ok at big price last start. Drops in weight, but up in class, good track might help.

Newcastle

R8 # 3 Emperor Big Nose - $101 - has run some good races on wet tracks. #9 Kayjay's Joy is $1.65 fav. and looks too good, but, they do get beaten ....
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Superb Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 2:23pm
Unknown Destiny at any price.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Kingy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 2:24pm
Originally posted by Kingy Kingy wrote:

Caulfield R3. Boys on Tour $41/$7.50


4th
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Geraldo Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 2:36pm
Cornrow @ 42.

Nine of the eleven runners are within two lengths of one another.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dr E Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Apr 2014 at 3:24pm
Originally posted by Geraldo Geraldo wrote:

Cornrow @ 42.

Nine of the eleven runners are within two lengths of one another.
Thumbs Up
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dr E Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Apr 2014 at 1:52pm
Sydney

R2 - 2. Boss Lane (1) $26 - Dual acceptor, good form here around Shamalia, Sidestep, Dothraki, but dodging those ones. drawn to be on pace and could pinch this! 

R3 - 5. Never Can Tell (1) $51 - beat Whittington and Criterion at 2, last start good behind Platelet, then straight to Sydney. Gets run of the race behind Bounding, can place.

R6 - 8. Casino Dancer (10) $81 - just missed for us at $101 last week against "the bet of the carnival" - Gypsy Diamond goes up against the best females, in R4, so we get a free look at the form. Not sure this girl will get a strong 2400m, but then, maybe none of them will!
R6 - 7. Miss Selby (9) $26 - has the "other" Kiwi form line, comes to this direct from the NZ Oaks, so no gut buster on the heavy tracks out here (helps?). Never missed a place. 

R7 - 13. Desert Jeuney (1) - $41 - been honest but clearly not enjoying wet tacks. Another great draw ensures a good run in transit. Has "miles in the legs", better track might be able to quicken when it matters? 
R7 - 10. Opinion (14) - $26 - meets The Offer 3kg better for beating him home last time they met on dead ... not convinced he runs 2 miles, but, Waller factor.

R8 - 7. My Kingdom Of Fife (10) - $101 - had a crack at the $101 last time, so we must go again! Won this race last time he was in work.
R8 - 8. Toydini (2) - $41 - drying track gives him a chance. Could he lead here and control the pace?
R8 - 12. Dear Demi (6) - $67 - was on her at $41 last start, but paddled in the heavy - drying track brings her closer to Royal Descent - overs.

Melbourne

R4 - 2. Za Moulin Rouge (Cool - $51 - solid 2 yo winner, pitched in against the cream as a spring 3 yo and done nothing - not a strong race outside odds on fav. First time 1400m helps(?)

R6 - 15. Garud (7) - $34 - scr last week - 1st up 5:1-2-2

R7 - 3. Julienas (16) - $34 Scared - Gets a chance to avoid a jumps career here! Trying to avoid the wet tracks, his form on dead or worse is 8:0-1-1, whilst 7 wins and 7 placings all on good tracks. Form at 1600 - 2400m last spring in Group and Listed races ALL ON GOOD TRACKS was 2,4,3,1,2 culminating in 18/18 in Caulfield Cup (too hard). He might be able to sneak a soft lead, and provided that he doesn't "give up meekly in the straight", he is massive overs!

R8 - 19. Sir Fernando (20) - $67 - Barrier no help, but 4 times 2nd up 3 x 2nd. 4 times at Caulfield for 3 x 2nd (behind Adamantium, Moment of Change, Amah Rock). That form was as a promising 3 yo and included a win over Jolie Blonde. Clearly had his issues, latest glimpse was head 2nd to Le Bonsir MV in August.

Brisbane

R2 - 6. Lee Ho Fook (5) - $16 - not that rough, and don't really think it can win - just like the name!Love 

R5 - 16. Natural Dancer (4) - $81 - draws to get a good run, honest, won or placed last 7 starts in easier. Beat the spruik horse here, Blackboard Special ($5), when winning her Grafton maiden.

R6 - 7. Quest For Peace (1) - $61 - another with the premium barrier. Best form includes; 2L 4th Kuroshio, Rockford (Listed). 3.5 L 4th Guelph (Blue D Prelude G3). 3.4L 4th Divine Calling, Orion (3yo Open) - that form wins this ... problem is 11:2-0-0 ... doesn't show her "best" too often!

R7 - 10. Celtic Dancer (1) - $126 - G2 QTC Cup winner here in his prime (2 yrs ago) with decisions over Riva de Lago, Belltone, Phelan Ready, Steel Zip, and most of these. May need it wet, but has class. 

Adelaide

R3 - 8. Ocsmepop (2) - $67 - Outside the top 3 in betting, no depth to this race, and he is fit and honest - F4 and tri special. drawn well too. 

R5 - 9. Wotzitworth (1) - $61 - done nothing in a year, since career best form which included 4th in G3 at Morphetville after consecutive 3rd placings from only 2 starts this t/d. One of those was this race (winner Tommy Two $16 backs up here as well). drawn well again!

R6 - 3. Rangatira (7) - $13 - not that rough, just gotta love a horse that has won at 6,400m ... time was 8 minutes 23.85 and won by 0.1L!!! 
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Fiddlesticks Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Apr 2014 at 2:54pm
Blue Eyes
my kingdom of fife
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R5 - 16. Natural Dancer (4) - $81 - draws to get a good run, honest, won or placed last 7 starts in easier. Beat the spruik horse here, Blackboard Special ($5), when winning her Grafton maiden.
 
Clap
 
 
That will nearly pay for all bets today mate!! Great effort
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Platinum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Apr 2014 at 3:00pm
Noice 1 with natural dancer, not sure if it was you that mentioned it yesterday in the blackboard speciak thread but great either way. Does anyone ride more bolters than j taylor?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dr E Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Apr 2014 at 3:05pm
Thanks Chaps ... had a good feeling, this was a bonus though!

Yep that was me PlatinumBig smile ... it was almost a Grafton maiden result!LOL

Had a nibble of the winner and the tri, so in front ... typical, I took Whiskey Allround in all my multis thoughUnhappy
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Platinum Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Apr 2014 at 3:40pm
Wow how close was the ruff as gutz running dub there for you dr e. Awesome drum the same
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