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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Mar 2026 at 8:01pm
oneone, an example of a Kalshi market.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Mar 2026 at 8:03pm
Is that a poor mans Polybet wager ?
And The Boys Light Up.... !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Mar 2026 at 8:09pm
It is not owned by mobsters and it is bigger than Polymarket
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Mar 2026 at 8:11pm
Sounds Indian

Spot betting on the next no ball LOL
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Mar 2026 at 4:17pm
Only the best people.


South Australian One Nation candidate Aoi(formerly Trent) Baxter has a warrant for his arrest in the UK after he failed to show up to court to face a charge of sexually touching a woman without consent.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote HarnessGuru Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Mar 2026 at 4:25pm
Get him back there to face the consequences. 

If I was them I'd be deporting him straight back.

So probably an economic loss unless UK make him pay costs. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tlazolteotl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Mar 2026 at 4:29pm
Changed his name from Trent to Aoi. Is an Aoi some carp of carp?Confused

One Nation preselections must be a right royal battle of the kooks.
Manners are of more importance than laws

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tom Rolfe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Mar 2026 at 9:56pm
SA election per abc tv at 9.55pm

labor 31
liberal 4
one nation 0
undecided 12
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tom Rolfe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Mar 2026 at 10:28pm
ABC tv commentator reckons there are 15 SA state seats where libs are currently polling at under 10% 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 7:39am
Story of the night.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 8:32am

Primary Vote Share

Party2026 Primary Vote (%)Change from 2022
Labor (ALP)~38% – 39%-1.0%
One Nation (ONP)~21.6%+19.0%
Liberal (LIB)~18.7%-17.0%
Greens~11%+2.0%
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tom Rolfe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:00am
Of the 10 seats the ABC website still has as undecided ON are ahead in 2, libs ahead in 2, the rest between lab and independents. Independents likely to hold more than ON
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Afros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:02am
Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.
The worlds oldest fossil was discovered in Australia, they named it Rupert Murdoch.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:33am
South Australians have always been odd bods....live too close to the Victorians for starters

Very depressing living down that end of the country....so I take very little notice of their voting habits.

Ever been to the Adelaide Casino in recent times....Deary me - says it all....hardly MGM standard....more like the suburban Brisbane RSL's Afros tends to frequent Ouch
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Afros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:38am
Yet, had PHON won a half dozen or more seats in this SA election, we would have no doubt seen you in here harping on about the message the SA electorate was sending to Canberra and how Albo should be worried for his future prospects.

Can't have it both ways champion.
The worlds oldest fossil was discovered in Australia, they named it Rupert Murdoch.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:42am
Greens looming up on Libs fast...how embarrassment.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote marble Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:42am
very true Afros
and one one judges a place by the standard of its casinoLOL I haven't been inside a casino for 20 years. They are just too depressing.
I love visiting SA, great place for food and wine. Hentley farm estate does a magnificent lunch
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tlazolteotl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:45am
Cruella Credlin always looks like that when I've seen her. Has she got another facial expression?
Manners are of more importance than laws

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:46am
Can't agree Marble....Adelaide used to be my favourite city....& i don't even like churches.

Visited a few years back & could not believe how grubby it was....esp down that Rundle Mall side of town

Homeless, scumbags, AFL supporters everywhere !
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tlazolteotl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:46am
I've just noticed - Trump has copied Cruella's resting bitch face. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote HarnessGuru Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:48am
Originally posted by Afros Afros wrote:

Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.
Not quite. A 2% positive swing for ON/LNP from the table posted above.

Given the demographics older right wing voters dying off and younger left wing voters coming up it could be more a 3% or 4% swing from the pool of 2022 voters. 



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Afros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:49am
Credlin has been telling the Libs they need to go further right for years, now they've done that at the cost of their left flank while watching their right flank abandon the party for PHON.

We may see her sporting an orange shirt and hat soon.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Afros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:50am
Originally posted by HarnessGuru HarnessGuru wrote:

Originally posted by Afros Afros wrote:

Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.
Not quite. A 2% positive swing for ON/LNP from the table posted above.

Given the demographics older right wing voters dying off and younger left wing voters coming up it could be more a 3% or 4% swing from the pool of 2022 voters. 

The table also shows the Libs have lost 17% and PHON gained 19% and this is where you focus?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 9:55am
The last thing i wanted was a ON landslide....we need to keep them as underdogs for the main game thanks very much. Thumbs Up
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote HarnessGuru Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 10:30am
Originally posted by Afros Afros wrote:

Originally posted by HarnessGuru HarnessGuru wrote:

Originally posted by Afros Afros wrote:

Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.
Not quite. A 2% positive swing for ON/LNP from the table posted above.

Given the demographics older right wing voters dying off and younger left wing voters coming up it could be more a 3% or 4% swing from the pool of 2022 voters. 

The table also shows the Libs have lost 17% and PHON gained 19% and this is where you focus?
Where do you think I calculated the 2% swing from. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 11:26am
Watch out for rabbit holes Afros.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Afros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 11:28am
I'm not disputing where the 2% came from, I'm pointing out that it really isn't as important as you think it is.

I'd suggest that the extra 2% you're getting all excited about has more likely come across to PHON from the minor right wing Family First (down 1.87%) and SA Nationals (down 0.4%) Parties rather than moved across from the ALP.

As an aside, the Greens and the ALP have picked up a combined 3% increase, further supporting the above.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote HarnessGuru Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 11:51am
All it supports is old people died and 18-21yos are new to voting. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote HarnessGuru Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 11:54am
Green/Labor is combined 1% growth not 3% also. Gee whiz.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Mar 2026 at 11:54am
I thought you told me that was rubbish when I posted it several times.
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