One Nation

oneone, an example of a Kalshi market.

It is not owned by mobsters and it is bigger than Polymarket

Only the best people.

South Australian One Nation candidate Aoi(formerly Trent) Baxter has a warrant for his arrest in the UK after he failed to show up to court to face a charge of sexually touching a woman without consent.

Changed his name from Trent to Aoi. Is an Aoi some carp of carp? Confused

One Nation preselections must be a right royal battle of the kooks.

Manners are of more importance than laws

Edmund Burke

ABC tv commentator reckons there are 15 SA state seats where libs are currently polling at under 10%

Primary Vote Share

Party	2026 Primary Vote (%)	Change from 2022
Labor (ALP)	~38% – 39%	-1.0%
One Nation (ONP)	~21.6%	+19.0%
Liberal (LIB)	~18.7%	-17.0%
Greens	~11%	+2.0%

Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.

The worlds oldest fossil was discovered in Australia, they named it Rupert Murdoch.

Yet, had PHON won a half dozen or more seats in this SA election, we would have no doubt seen you in here harping on about the message the SA electorate was sending to Canberra and how Albo should be worried for his future prospects.

Can't have it both ways champion.

The worlds oldest fossil was discovered in Australia, they named it Rupert Murdoch.

very true Afros

and one one judges a place by the standard of its casino LOL

I haven't been inside a casino for 20 years. They are just too depressing.

I love visiting SA, great place for food and wine. Hentley farm estate does a magnificent lunch

Can't agree Marble....Adelaide used to be my favourite city....& i don't even like churches.

Visited a few years back & could not believe how grubby it was....esp down that Rundle Mall side of town

Homeless, scumbags, AFL supporters everywhere !

And The Boys Light Up.... !

Afros wrote:

Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.

Not quite. A 2% positive swing for ON/LNP from the table posted above.

Given the demographics older right wing voters dying off and younger left wing voters coming up it could be more a 3% or 4% swing from the pool of 2022 voters.

HarnessGuru wrote:

Afros wrote:

Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.

Not quite. A 2% positive swing for ON/LNP from the table posted above.

Given the demographics older right wing voters dying off and younger left wing voters coming up it could be more a 3% or 4% swing from the pool of 2022 voters.

The table also shows the Libs have lost 17% and PHON gained 19% and this is where you focus?

The worlds oldest fossil was discovered in Australia, they named it Rupert Murdoch.

Afros wrote:

HarnessGuru wrote:

Afros wrote:

Seems like the SA election has played out as most sensible judges have called this surge in support for PHON, simply voters on the right shuffling the deck chairs.

Not quite. A 2% positive swing for ON/LNP from the table posted above.

Given the demographics older right wing voters dying off and younger left wing voters coming up it could be more a 3% or 4% swing from the pool of 2022 voters.

The table also shows the Libs have lost 17% and PHON gained 19% and this is where you focus?

Where do you think I calculated the 2% swing from.

I'm not disputing where the 2% came from, I'm pointing out that it really isn't as important as you think it is.

I'd suggest that the extra 2% you're getting all excited about has more likely come across to PHON from the minor right wing Family First (down 1.87%) and SA Nationals (down 0.4%) Parties rather than moved across from the ALP.

As an aside, the Greens and the ALP have picked up a combined 3% increase, further supporting the above.

The worlds oldest fossil was discovered in Australia, they named it Rupert Murdoch.

Green/Labor is combined 1% growth not 3% also. Gee whiz.