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Martingale experiment this Saturday

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    Posted: 06 Aug 2020 at 10:35pm
Let's all try the Martingale betting system this Saturday at Flemington. 

The martingale system is a betting strategy made popular in 18th century France. 

In its simplest form, the punter doubles his bet until he wins, then he restarts with the original stake and so on.

We'll start at Flemington with an initial stake of $5 for the win.

Race 1. $5
Race 2. $10
Race 3. $20
Race 4. $40
Race 5. $80
Race 6. $160
Race 7. $320
Race 8. $640
Race 9. $1,280

That's if you lose all bets.

However, once you achieve a win, you reset to $5 again. For example, one might achieve the following bets:

Race 1. $5
Race 2. $10
Race 3. $20
Race 4. $40
Race 5. $80 WIN !!
Race 6. $5
Race 7. $10
Race 8. $20
Race 9. $40

Post your tips and results in this thread to compare how we went. For example;

Race 1. $5 Bet LOST. Bank -$5
Race 2. $10 Bet LOST. Bank -$15
Race 3. $20 Bet LOST. Bank -$35
Race 4. $40 Bet LOST. Bank -$75
Race 5. $80 Bet WIN $280. Bank +$205 
Race 6. $5 Bet LOST. Bank +$200
Race 7. $10 Bet LOST. Bank +$190
Race 8. $20 Bet LOST. Bank +$170
Race 9. $40 Bet LOST. Bank +$130




Edited by Mayor - 07 Aug 2020 at 1:40am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mayor Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Aug 2020 at 11:21am
My bets, see how I go..

R1: No.5 Exemplar 
R2: No.2 Galactic Fury
R3: No.1 Flinders River
R4: No.7 Winning Partner
R5: No.6 Laburnum
R6: No.2 Home Of The Brave
R7: No.5 Skyman
R8: No.11 Sword Of Mercy
R9: No.7 Savvy Lad

Starting off with $5 on Exemplar at odds around $7.00
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rhino Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Aug 2020 at 12:42pm
Race 1. $5 - 4
Race 2. $10 - 3
Race 3. $20 - 6
Race 4. $40 - 10
Race 5. $80 - 6
Race 6. $5 - 5
Race 7. $10 - 2
Race 8. $20 - 6
Race 9. $40 - 7
Will try and update stake later.
Not sure I'm a fan of the strategy. Chase mentality will kick in, and if you have not backed a winner heading to the last races, the temptation will be to load up on the favourite.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Rhino Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Aug 2020 at 9:33pm
Race 1. $5 - 4 x
Race 2. $10 - 3 @4.60
Race 3. $5 - 6 @4.00
Race 4. $5 - 10 @2.40
Race 5. $5 - 6 x 2nd
Race 6. $10 - 5 x 2nd
Race 7. $20 - 2 x 
Race 8. $40 - 6 @2.80
Race 9. $5 - 7 x

Out $105.00
In $190.00
Four winners - Probably not a system a would follow regularly. More chance of a massive lose than a good win,
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Mayor Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Aug 2020 at 3:22am
My results:

Race 1. $5 Bet WIN. Bank +34.50
Race 2. $5 Bet LOST. Bank +29.50
Race 3. $10 Bet LOST. Bank +$19.50
Race 4. $20 Bet LOST. Bank -$0.50
Race 5. $40 Bet LOST. Bank -$40.50
Race 6. $80 Bet WIN. Bank +$343.50
Race 7. $5 Bet WIN. Bank +$358.50
Race 8. $5 Bet LOST. Bank +$353.50
Race 9. $10 Bet LOST. Bank +$343.50

Made $343.50 successful day on the Martingale betting system, mainly from Home Of The Brave. Thanks Rhino for also having a go, and nice tipping! Interesting things to consider... I'll start writing an article on it for villagebet.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rhino Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Aug 2020 at 2:17pm
From my perspective, there is no real value to the system. For example, I marked Octane as the bet of the day, and was probably lucky my stake under the system was up to $40.00. However, had I backed the previous winner then a stake to $5 only on my best bet makes little sense. 

I used to like Big Al's way of staking. From memory he had four different staking plans - Big Bets and the like. As a losing punter, any edge helps I guess.
Thanks for sharing the system though, and hope you had real money bets!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mayor Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15 Aug 2020 at 12:19pm
Going again. Caulfield Martingale tips:

R1: No.6 Mrs O’malley
R2: No.6 The Closer
R3: No.3 Acting
R4: No.7 Red Alto
R5: No.3 Rulership
R6: No.7 Fresh
R7: No.8 Bumper Blast
R8: No.3 Streets Of Avalon
R9: No.3 Adelaide Ace


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mayor Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Aug 2020 at 1:59am
No wins today. WiIl have to chase my losses next week. Smile
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mayor Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Aug 2020 at 11:48am
Let's try this again..

R1: No.2 Miami Bound $11.00
R2: No.8 Sword Of Mercy $6.00
R3: No.7 Clean Machine $5.50
R4: No.8 Kentucky Tornado $3.80
R5: No.2 Winning Partner $3.70
R6: No.4 Flying Award $3.20
R7: No.3 Dexelation $9.50
R8: No.10 Brooklyn Hustle $2.90
R9: No.6 Polly Grey $3.50

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