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Martingale experiment this Saturday |
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Mayor
Admin Group Joined: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 3389 |
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Posted: 06 Aug 2020 at 10:35pm |
Let's all try the Martingale betting system this Saturday at Flemington.
The martingale system is a betting strategy made popular in 18th century France. In its simplest form, the punter doubles his bet until he wins, then he restarts with the original stake and so on. We'll start at Flemington with an initial stake of $5 for the win. Race 1. $5 Race 2. $10 Race 3. $20 Race 4. $40 Race 5. $80 Race 6. $160 Race 7. $320 Race 8. $640 Race 9. $1,280 That's if you lose all bets. However, once you achieve a win, you reset to $5 again. For example, one might achieve the following bets: Race 1. $5 Race 2. $10 Race 3. $20 Race 4. $40 Race 5. $80 WIN !! Race 6. $5 Race 7. $10 Race 8. $20 Race 9. $40 Post your tips and results in this thread to compare how we went. For example; Race 1. $5 Bet LOST. Bank -$5 Race 2. $10 Bet LOST. Bank -$15 Race 3. $20 Bet LOST. Bank -$35 Race 4. $40 Bet LOST. Bank -$75 Race 5. $80 Bet WIN $280. Bank +$205 Race 6. $5 Bet LOST. Bank +$200 Race 7. $10 Bet LOST. Bank +$190 Race 8. $20 Bet LOST. Bank +$170 Race 9. $40 Bet LOST. Bank +$130 Edited by Mayor - 07 Aug 2020 at 1:40am |
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Mayor
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Mayor
Admin Group Joined: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 3389 |
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My bets, see how I go..
R1: No.5 Exemplar R2: No.2 Galactic Fury R3: No.1 Flinders River R4: No.7 Winning Partner R5: No.6 Laburnum R6: No.2 Home Of The Brave R7: No.5 Skyman R8: No.11 Sword Of Mercy R9: No.7 Savvy Lad Starting off with $5 on Exemplar at odds around $7.00
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Mayor
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Rhino
Champion Joined: 21 Nov 2013 Status: Offline Points: 1857 |
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Race 1. $5 - 4 Race 2. $10 - 3 Race 3. $20 - 6 Race 4. $40 - 10 Race 5. $80 - 6 Race 6. $5 - 5 Race 7. $10 - 2 Race 8. $20 - 6 Race 9. $40 - 7 Will try and update stake later. Not sure I'm a fan of the strategy. Chase mentality will kick in, and if you have not backed a winner heading to the last races, the temptation will be to load up on the favourite. |
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Rhino
Champion Joined: 21 Nov 2013 Status: Offline Points: 1857 |
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Race 1. $5 - 4 x Race 2. $10 - 3 @4.60 Race 3. $5 - 6 @4.00 Race 4. $5 - 10 @2.40 Race 5. $5 - 6 x 2nd Race 6. $10 - 5 x 2nd Race 7. $20 - 2 x Race 8. $40 - 6 @2.80 Race 9. $5 - 7 x Out $105.00 In $190.00 Four winners - Probably not a system a would follow regularly. More chance of a massive lose than a good win, |
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Mayor
Admin Group Joined: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 3389 |
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My results: Race 1. $5 Bet WIN. Bank +34.50 Race 2. $5 Bet LOST. Bank +29.50 Race 3. $10 Bet LOST. Bank +$19.50 Race 4. $20 Bet LOST. Bank -$0.50 Race 5. $40 Bet LOST. Bank -$40.50 Race 6. $80 Bet WIN. Bank +$343.50 Race 7. $5 Bet WIN. Bank +$358.50 Race 8. $5 Bet LOST. Bank +$353.50 Race 9. $10 Bet LOST. Bank +$343.50 Made $343.50 successful day on the Martingale betting system, mainly from Home Of The Brave. Thanks Rhino for also having a go, and nice tipping! Interesting things to consider... I'll start writing an article on it for villagebet.
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Mayor
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Rhino
Champion Joined: 21 Nov 2013 Status: Offline Points: 1857 |
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From my perspective, there is no real value to the system. For example, I marked Octane as the bet of the day, and was probably lucky my stake under the system was up to $40.00. However, had I backed the previous winner then a stake to $5 only on my best bet makes little sense.
I used to like Big Al's way of staking. From memory he had four different staking plans - Big Bets and the like. As a losing punter, any edge helps I guess. Thanks for sharing the system though, and hope you had real money bets!
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Mayor
Admin Group Joined: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 3389 |
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Going again. Caulfield Martingale tips:
R1: No.6 Mrs O’malley R2: No.6 The Closer R3: No.3 Acting R4: No.7 Red Alto R5: No.3 Rulership R6: No.7 Fresh R7: No.8 Bumper Blast R8: No.3 Streets Of Avalon R9: No.3 Adelaide Ace |
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Mayor
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Mayor
Admin Group Joined: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 3389 |
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No wins today. WiIl have to chase my losses next week.
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Mayor
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Mayor
Admin Group Joined: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 3389 |
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Let's try this again..
R1: No.2 Miami Bound $11.00 R2: No.8 Sword Of Mercy $6.00 R3: No.7 Clean Machine $5.50 R4: No.8 Kentucky Tornado $3.80 R5: No.2 Winning Partner $3.70 R6: No.4 Flying Award $3.20 R7: No.3 Dexelation $9.50 R8: No.10 Brooklyn Hustle $2.90 R9: No.6 Polly Grey $3.50 Source; Villagebet.com.au
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Mayor
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