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Kings Will Dream

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Lord Hybrow View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Lord Hybrow Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 6:11pm
Just a gut feeling but I’d be worried if Gad already backed him in the Caulfield Cup.

Is he going too well, too early in his campaign at 1400m to still be at his top come late October in a Caulfield Cup over 2400m?

And if he stands up as a genuine WFA contender in his next few starts, do connections shift their focus to a Cox Plate?
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JudgeHolden View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 6:17pm
Thinking the same thing. Going to be very hard to beat in the Makybe, Underwood etc, it the CC is away away. No spoil the odds right now.
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Tlazolteotl View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tlazolteotl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 6:24pm
Originally posted by Lord Hybrow Lord Hybrow wrote:

Just a gut feeling but I’d be worried if Gad already backed him in the Caulfield Cup.

Is he going too well, too early in his campaign at 1400m to still be at his top come late October in a Caulfield Cup over 2400m?

And if he stands up as a genuine WFA contender in his next few starts, do connections shift their focus to a Cox Plate?


What? You'd have to be off your rocker to switch from CC to Cox.
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Shawy38 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 6:46pm
He won’t get near Winx. They would be mad if they changed their minds.
Stick to the plan.
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djebel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 6:47pm
If we had proper handicapping this horses performances so far this winter spring would be pushing his handicap through the roof.
reductio ad absurdum
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Miami View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Miami Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 6:47pm
Weir won't bother sending anything to the Cox Plate unless they require the fitness.

Looks like Humidor is being steered down a different path.
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Shrunk in the Wash View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shrunk in the Wash Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 8:21pm
Surely Humidor goes to the Cox Plate
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VOYAGER View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 8:34pm
Originally posted by furious furious wrote:

Good run for a stayer to go so close in this race.<div id="UMS_TOOLTIP" style=": ; cursor: pointer; : 2147483647; : transparent; top: -100000px; left: -100000px;">


This horse is more than a stayer.

He is like Jamekha in her four yer old spring. She was a wfa group 1 horse at 2000m or longer, but they had a plan to run the Caulfield Cup, and stuck to it, and reaped the rewards.

She came back in the autumn and showed just how good she was in the BMW.

This guy is right at her level. Underwood, into Turnbull and then Caulfield.

NO COX PLATE!!!!!!!!
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
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JudgeHolden View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 8:37pm
Here are the winners of the CC since 2000. Can't see many here who were running these sorts of slashing 1400m races in August, which is what I think LH is referring to. But based on what he's doing here, he looks poison odds in the Cup for mine.

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Mug-Punter View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mug-Punter Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 9:07pm
I know nothing about breeding... what are his chances over 2 miles???
The Mugg
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James0330 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote James0330 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 10:32pm
Bred to be a gun over 1600-2400. Has enough in there to run 2miles but he looks too brilliant for that.
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ThreeBears View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ThreeBears Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 11:11pm
It's a real mix on the dam side with two mile winners, jumpers and sprinters. Interestingly Luca Cumani has a 2yo half sister ( Stormy Road ) for OTI that won over a mile at her second start. She should stay a trip next year but her sire side makes it a little doubtful. 

Sire side for KWD says beyond 2400m could be tricky. 
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Sunline View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Sunline Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Sep 2018 at 11:37pm
It's the most versatile breeding I've seen. Sire and dam have sprinters and stayers.
Sunline...simply supreme
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Dr E View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dr E Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 3:08am
If he was mine, he would not be winning a race before the CC, unless it is penalty exempt!

Just wins that, then a crack at the MCup.

No Cox Plate - happy to leave that till next year!
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Jamal View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 8:52am
[QUOTE=JudgeHolden] Here are the winners of the CC since 2000. Can't see many here who were running these sorts of slashing 1400m races in August, which is what I think LH is referring to. But based on what he's doing here, he looks poison odds in the Cup for mine.

ETA to remove mess!

In 1999 Sky Heights's campaign was:


2nd: G2 Liston Stakes (1400m wfa)

1st: G2 Craiglee Stakes (1600m wfa)

2nd: G1 Underwood Stakes (1800m wfa)

1st: G2 Turnbull Stakes (2000m swp)

1st: G1 Caulfield Cup (2400m hcp)


Edited by Gay3 - 02 Sep 2018 at 12:10pm
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Slammington View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Slammington Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:06am
From memory Mongolian Khan, Viewed and Ethereal ran some pretty good races at 1400m the years they won the CC and the likes of Paris Lane going back a few years. Can anyone post their spring records?
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Slammington View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Slammington Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:08am
Also Fawkner, elvstroem, Diatribe, northerly we’re running well over short trips early in their prep
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djebel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:09am
Most Caulfield Cup winners ran well when kicked off over 1400m, they would ALL step up in trip for their next start.

reductio ad absurdum
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djebel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:11am
Sky Heights campaign was and is a typical Aussie campaign. Sydeston did similar. Most did similar.
reductio ad absurdum
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Shawy38 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:14am
Originally posted by Slammington Slammington wrote:

From memory Mongolian Khan, Viewed and Ethereal ran some pretty good races at 1400m the years they won the CC and the likes of Paris Lane going back a few years. Can anyone post their spring records?


Jump onto Racing Australia and look it up
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JudgeHolden View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:22am
KWD draws a better marble and/or has clear run and arguably wins. I thought the same thing about Hartnell a couple of years ago when everyone had him over the line in the MC- that is he was running TOO well over a shorter trip.

With the influx of imports/foreigners the Cups have changed in recent years, being won by more distance specialists. Not saying that KWD can’t win, but that he looks unders to me. And if he does win he’s a genuine star.
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Carioca View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:24am
Stepping horses up gradually in preps. for races of this nature has been part of oz training for over a century, Bart done it all his life and good trainers before him, the restricted way trainers have to work their horses on racetracks with a multitude of others means their horses are a little more tense when horses work up their arse, not like the downs, we shouldn't change imo just don't fall into too much media hype with o/s preps, the ones that are not duds maintain or improve when landed here.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:33am
Originally posted by Carioca Carioca wrote:

Stepping horses up gradually in preps. for races of this nature has been part of oz training for over a century, Bart done it all his life and good trainers before him, the restricted way trainers have to work their horses on racetracks with a multitude of others means their horses are a little more tense when horses work up their arse, not like the downs, we shouldn't change imo just don't fall into too much media hype with o/s preps, the ones that are not duds maintain or improve when landed here.


Not sure how much truth is in that ?

Particularly "over a century"

Plus it might have been fine when pur trainers where just playing amongst themselves, Australia is now open to the world.

reductio ad absurdum
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Carioca View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 10:55am
Originally posted by djebel djebel wrote:

Originally posted by Carioca Carioca wrote:

Stepping horses up gradually in preps. for races of this nature has been part of oz training for over a century, Bart done it all his life and good trainers before him, the restricted way trainers have to work their horses on racetracks with a multitude of others means their horses are a little more tense when horses work up their arse, not like the downs, we shouldn't change imo just don't fall into too much media hype with o/s preps, the ones that are not duds maintain or improve when landed here.


Not sure how much truth is in that ?

Particularly "over a century"

Plus it might have been fine when pur trainers where just playing amongst themselves, Australia is now open to the world.


There's a lot of things you dis believe unless it's written in the racing post or some other racing pommy paper, but you may like to look up Nightmarch winner of the 29/ MC, it's all there his racing profile as with another fifty or so , horsesof the years, Tontanon's site.
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Carioca View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 11:21am
Patrobis, Rogilla, Heroic, similar pattern all through the champs careers fwiw.
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djebel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 11:49am
It does not particularly matter what they did or any example you throw up, We are in the big world now, We are not a insular racing nation anymore.

If we want to be competitive our trainers and their facilities are going to have to improve.

For all your examples you can throw up horses that had unconventional campaigns as well.
reductio ad absurdum
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ThreeBears Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 12:09pm
Without having the race records to hand I think Ethereal ran first up over 1600m in NZ and ran third in her Cups double year. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 12:19pm
Originally posted by djebel djebel wrote:

It does not particularly matter what they did or any example you throw up, We are in the big world now, We are not a insular racing nation anymore.

If we want to be competitive our trainers and their facilities are going to have to improve.

For all your examples you can throw up horses that had unconventional campaigns as well.

We don't have to change anything, if they want to come here ( and may well with carpenter inducements) that's their prerogative, there's everything here ( but no top ups this time) including huge prize money, good weather and good tracks , if they are not happy with that go to the US or stay home and freeze.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 12:41pm
Different horses are coming here. Horses like Dunaden, Americain and Protectionist wouldn’t have gotten warm over 1400m. The latter two were given to our trainers and given typical Aussie preps with predictable results.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Sep 2018 at 12:51pm
Originally posted by Carioca Carioca wrote:

Originally posted by djebel djebel wrote:

It does not particularly matter what they did or any example you throw up, We are in the big world now, We are not a insular racing nation anymore.

If we want to be competitive our trainers and their facilities are going to have to improve.

For all your examples you can throw up horses that had unconventional campaigns as well.

We don't have to change anything, if they want to come here ( and may well with carpenter inducements) that's their prerogative, there's everything here ( but no top ups this time) including huge prize money, good weather and good tracks , if they are not happy with that go to the US or stay home and freeze.

Why cant our trainers no longer develop stayers ?

Sure one or two come through the cracks but we have absolutely no depth in our staying ranks despite breeding ample stamina.


reductio ad absurdum
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