Thoroughbred Village Home Page. Free horse racing tips at Villagebet.com.au. Contact The Mayor by email: Click Here.
Forum Home Forum Home > All Sports - Public Forums > Joffs All Sports Bar
  New Posts New Posts RSS Feed - Herald Sun Form Guides
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Events   Register Register  Login Login


OldGill.com.au

Herald Sun Form Guides

 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <12345>
Author
Message
Fiddlesticks View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 31 Dec 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 55063
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Fiddlesticks Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Jan 2023 at 10:13pm
sometimes as little as $7 but the average is around $40 the later it gets the less money..
Back to Top
Baghdad Bob View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 10 Feb 2010
Location: Victoria
Status: Offline
Points: 13981
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Jan 2023 at 10:30pm
Originally posted by Fiddlesticks Fiddlesticks wrote:

sometimes as little as $7 but the average is around $40 the later it gets the less money..
Is there any chance you can get set with a corporate bookie at tote odds ? Then it would be a goer.
Back to Top
Baghdad Bob View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 10 Feb 2010
Location: Victoria
Status: Offline
Points: 13981
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Jan 2023 at 10:33pm
Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by Fiddlesticks Fiddlesticks wrote:

sometimes as little as $7 but the average is around $40 the later it gets the less money..
Is there any chance you can get set with a corporate bookie at tote odds ? Then it would be a goer.
Especially if you could throw $50 on a no hoper and then back the first and second favourite at tote odds with decent bets.
Back to Top
rusty nails View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 20 Mar 2013
Location: Sydney
Status: Offline
Points: 14506
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Jan 2023 at 10:42pm
Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by rusty nails rusty nails wrote:

Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by Fiddlesticks Fiddlesticks wrote:

I think you should share your bets for one day right here so we can see what you do, examples of, and before the race meeting not after. I doubt anyone is going to ruin your market or prices, but you should show up, put up what you do and how much $ instead of all this cloak and dagger I'm a pro stuff.
Bit hard to share any bets as I bet in the last 2 minutes before a race start, taking advantage of the latest possible  bookies' odds. Prior to betting on a race I have only a rough idea on what horses I will place my bets, just as it was the days of the commission rooms for high value punters back in the 1980s and 1990s.
How about tomorrow, you post your bets, and an explanation of the strategy behind each one.

Doesn’t have to be before the first leg jumps.but shortly after would be good.

No one expects a 100% success rate.
So, don’t be shy.ble
What is the point of me telling you what daily doubles I have going alive, you cannot benefit by that information.
If I am fortunate and I have got the first leg up in the daily double and you backed all the horses I had going in the second leg of the double that would be pointless as I cover most of the second leg chances in the betting .


You have made at least 100 posts, telling us you can spot overs without doing any form.
I’m asking you to demonstrate it.
Whilst explaining before it’s all over, how you identified the opportunities.
No one can pinch your market, no downside for you.
Back to Top
Baghdad Bob View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 10 Feb 2010
Location: Victoria
Status: Offline
Points: 13981
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Jan 2023 at 10:48pm
Paper shorteners for starters ...I will leave it that , but knowing how to couple them up with which runners in second legs of daily doubles is an in house secret. It took me years to work that out .
Back to Top
rusty nails View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 20 Mar 2013
Location: Sydney
Status: Offline
Points: 14506
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Jan 2023 at 11:43pm
Didn’t think so….

Zeljko can’t win without generous rebates.
Using a bank of computers an international bank would envy, and a floor filled with form experts.

But you outperform him, knowing absolutely nothing about form, raving/track bias,  without even blocking the tote window…..

Out of curiosity what is the doubles pool on a Saturday worth these days?

Back to Top
Afros View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 14 Jan 2009
Location: Ulaanbaatar
Status: Offline
Points: 19578
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Afros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 7:51am
Race 5 SWINDON Greyhounds Racing Betting & Odds - TAB.com.au

I find pools like this entertaining.

I'm guessing someone has had $0.50 each way on the 6, while $3.50 each way in total has been punted on the 2.  The quinella pool no doubt boosted by a jackpot from a previous race with a similar situation.  The $2.50 punted on the tri sees another pool get a $1.96 boost.

Surely the meagre profit the TAB gather from desperates punting on British dogs in the early hours are not covering the costs?
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 8:09am
What costs ?

And the "MPT" - which stands for "mixed pool technology" - facilitates small pool sixes to apportioned across the different Exotic Bet types . Its almost impossible to get your head around - & I'm sure the it increases take out rates too TAB. However you would never know as one they wont give up the individual pool sizes anymore - & two, Einstein is dead
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 8:11am
"sizes"
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 8:16am
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 8:18am
& if you can get your head around that you are better than me gunga din LOL
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
Baghdad Bob View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 10 Feb 2010
Location: Victoria
Status: Offline
Points: 13981
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:08am
Originally posted by rusty nails rusty nails wrote:

Didn’t think so….

Zeljko can’t win without generous rebates.
Using a bank of computers an international bank would envy, and a floor filled with form experts.

But you outperform him, knowing absolutely nothing about form, raving/track bias,  without even blocking the tote window…..

Out of curiosity what is the doubles pool on a Saturday worth these days?

Doubting Thomas, who cares what the size of the pools are if a bookie will set you for the tote dividend.  What you seem to misunderstand Zeljko is betting huge money into tote pools and is cruelling his own dividend, if he bet a smaller amount, although he would make a lesser profit without that rebate, he would still make a profit.
BTW, my turnover today would be 40 times less than it was all those years ago, and if you allow for inflation more like 120 times less, so no bookie worth their own salt is too worried about me winning off them.



 
Back to Top
rusty nails View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 20 Mar 2013
Location: Sydney
Status: Offline
Points: 14506
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:11am
Huh?
Which bit confuses you?
Back to Top
rusty nails View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 20 Mar 2013
Location: Sydney
Status: Offline
Points: 14506
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:21am
Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by rusty nails rusty nails wrote:

Didn’t think so….

Zeljko can’t win without generous rebates.
Using a bank of computers an international bank would envy, and a floor filled with form experts.

But you outperform him, knowing absolutely nothing about form, raving/track bias,  without even blocking the tote window…..

Out of curiosity what is the doubles pool on a Saturday worth these days?

Doubting Thomas, who cares what the size of the pools are if a bookie will set you for the tote dividend.  What you seem to misunderstand Zeljko is betting huge money into tote pools and is cruelling his own dividend, if he bet a smaller amount, although he would make a lesser profit without that rebate, he would still make a profit.
BTW, my turnover today would be 40 times less than it was all those years ago, and if you allow for inflation more like 120 times less, so no bookie worth their own salt is too worried about me winning off them.



 
Hmmm, for someone who claims to have made a profit for decades, betting exclusively on tote pools, it’s hard to fathom how you could possibly state that pool size is of no consequence.
Even the most inexperienced punters understand that small pool sizes means dividends become a lucky dip.one bet at the death by anyone else,can turn your 4.00 pop into 1.80 or $10.

Your assessment on Zeljko is bizarre!
You tell us he’s doing it wrong, and if he did as you suggest, he’d make less moneyShocked.
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:25am
You need to understand MPT better Rusty.

It takes away that "lucky dip" LOL

For Exotics anyway
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:29am
This is a laymen's explanation - you rob Peter to pay Paul - but Pauls no worse off

And Jack (TAB) picks up a few coins that get dropped during the transfer - but neither Peter & Paul are any worse off for it. 
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:30am
Oops - & Peters no worse off either Embarrassed
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:32am
Bottom line - EVERYONES A WINNER Party
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:35am
So as I understand it - regardless of pool size - the TAB swipe money from one pool to put into another like pool. And this occurs even in pools that have differing take-out rates Confused
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
rusty nails View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 20 Mar 2013
Location: Sydney
Status: Offline
Points: 14506
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:40am
Originally posted by oneonesit oneonesit wrote:

You need to understand MPT better Rusty.

It takes away that "lucky dip" LOL

For Exotics anyway
Best you keep reading the TAB q & a, and let the grown ups bickerWink


Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:40am
When it was first introduced it got blocked by Racing NSW as they thought it could potentially diddle them out of some coin. Few changes made & all good. Ouch

The claim was also made that the technology had been purchased from the US - & was used routinely in the volatile Technology markets. I have absolutely no idea what any of that meant at the time - but it sure sounded good.
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:50am
I'll tell you what would be a bit of fun

If about 20 of us got onto the dopes in TAB customer service at the same time & asked for an explanation on what that little yellow "MPT" logo was down next to pool sizes - & could they explain how it worked.

Listening to JJ's & Redemptions' banter with the customer service representative would be gold LOL
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:54am
THIS CLIP HAS VERY BAD LANGUGE - but absolute corker LOL


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_OhyPE3eyE
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:54am
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
Baghdad Bob View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 10 Feb 2010
Location: Victoria
Status: Offline
Points: 13981
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:55am
Originally posted by rusty nails rusty nails wrote:

Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by rusty nails rusty nails wrote:

Didn’t think so….

Zeljko can’t win without generous rebates.
Using a bank of computers an international bank would envy, and a floor filled with form experts.

But you outperform him, knowing absolutely nothing about form, raving/track bias,  without even blocking the tote window…..

Out of curiosity what is the doubles pool on a Saturday worth these days?

Doubting Thomas, who cares what the size of the pools are if a bookie will set you for the tote dividend.  What you seem to misunderstand Zeljko is betting huge money into tote pools and is cruelling his own dividend, if he bet a smaller amount, although he would make a lesser profit without that rebate, he would still make a profit.
BTW, my turnover today would be 40 times less than it was all those years ago, and if you allow for inflation more like 120 times less, so no bookie worth their own salt is too worried about me winning off them.



 
Hmmm, for someone who claims to have made a profit for decades, betting exclusively on tote pools, it’s hard to fathom how you could possibly state that pool size is of no consequence.
Even the most inexperienced punters understand that small pool sizes means dividends become a lucky dip.one bet at the death by anyone else,can turn your 4.00 pop into 1.80 or $10.

Your assessment on Zeljko is bizarre!
You tell us he’s doing it wrong, and if he did as you suggest, he’d make less moneyShocked.
Do you understand I do not bet on the win tote anywhere, but only bet on daily doubles at obscure interstate race meetings where ,outside of the residents in that home state , nobody even knows the form / jockeys/ trainers or even where to town, let alone the track, maybe located eg Dalby (Qld ), is it somewhere in the outback or near Toowoomba ??? , Tuncurry (NSW) or Edenhope (Vic ) . The TAB pool on the Edenhope DD on the Qld  TAB would not be much more than $1000 and nobody in Qld, or for that matter in NSW,  is going to launch a plunge on that daily double, yet I have found a bookie who will bet me the best dividend of the 3 TABs. As I am able to capitalise on that loophole of the best dividend I can show a small profit.
Back to Top
oneonesit View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 06 Aug 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 50293
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 9:59am
Your biggest competitor Bob are the little old ladies that pick the same numbers every double  LOL
And The Boys Light Up.... !
Back to Top
Fiddlesticks View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 31 Dec 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 55063
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Fiddlesticks Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 10:10am
Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by Fiddlesticks Fiddlesticks wrote:

sometimes as little as $7 but the average is around $40 the later it gets the less money..
Is there any chance you can get set with a corporate bookie at tote odds ? Then it would be a goer.

The only way I know of this being done is if you have an account with one of those bookies, usually Malaysia or Singapore where they will take your bet and pay tote odds. Those pools are seriously dynamic, you could spend a hundred bucks and make that pool your own to swim in. Fixed odds go up very very late and they are usually super strange with nearly all dogs the same price. 
Back to Top
Fiddlesticks View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 31 Dec 2012
Status: Offline
Points: 55063
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Fiddlesticks Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 10:13am
Bob would you bet into a triple trio if they had that bet here ? or is it possible to bet into that hong kong tote offshore or not ? 
Back to Top
rusty nails View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 20 Mar 2013
Location: Sydney
Status: Offline
Points: 14506
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rusty nails Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 10:16am
Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by rusty nails rusty nails wrote:

Originally posted by Baghdad Bob Baghdad Bob wrote:

Originally posted by rusty nails rusty nails wrote:

Didn’t think so….

Zeljko can’t win without generous rebates.
Using a bank of computers an international bank would envy, and a floor filled with form experts.

But you outperform him, knowing absolutely nothing about form, raving/track bias,  without even blocking the tote window…..

Out of curiosity what is the doubles pool on a Saturday worth these days?

Doubting Thomas, who cares what the size of the pools are if a bookie will set you for the tote dividend.  What you seem to misunderstand Zeljko is betting huge money into tote pools and is cruelling his own dividend, if he bet a smaller amount, although he would make a lesser profit without that rebate, he would still make a profit.
BTW, my turnover today would be 40 times less than it was all those years ago, and if you allow for inflation more like 120 times less, so no bookie worth their own salt is too worried about me winning off them.



 
Hmmm, for someone who claims to have made a profit for decades, betting exclusively on tote pools, it’s hard to fathom how you could possibly state that pool size is of no consequence.
Even the most inexperienced punters understand that small pool sizes means dividends become a lucky dip.one bet at the death by anyone else,can turn your 4.00 pop into 1.80 or $10.

Your assessment on Zeljko is bizarre!
You tell us he’s doing it wrong, and if he did as you suggest, he’d make less moneyShocked.
Do you understand I do not bet on the win tote anywhere, but only bet on daily doubles at obscure interstate race meetings where ,outside of the residents in that home state , nobody even knows the form / jockeys/ trainers or even where to town, let alone the track, maybe located eg Dalby (Qld ), is it somewhere in the outback or near Toowoomba ??? , Tuncurry (NSW) or Edenhope (Vic ) . The TAB pool on the Edenhope DD on the Qld  TAB would not be much more than $1000 and nobody in Qld, or for that matter in NSW,  is going to launch a plunge on that daily double, yet I have found a bookie who will bet me the best dividend of the 3 TABs. As I am able to capitalise on that loophole of the best dividend I can show a small profit.
Your betting into pools of $1k, you reckon the dividends are stable, your a consistent winner, getting top tote, and the bookie hasn’t restricted you?
Pull the other one.




Back to Top
Baghdad Bob View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 10 Feb 2010
Location: Victoria
Status: Offline
Points: 13981
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baghdad Bob Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 21 Jan 2023 at 10:17am
Originally posted by oneonesit oneonesit wrote:

Your biggest competitor Bob are the little old ladies that pick the same numbers every double  LOL
Not wrong or those that take the same jockey or the two pre-post favourites in both legs, or even better those that take two outsiders, there would not be enough money in the pool to pay anything like an all-up bet. Sorry, I am giving too much away now Wink
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <12345>

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down

Forum Software by Web Wiz Forums® version 12.05
Copyright ©2001-2022 Web Wiz Ltd.

This page was generated in 0.086 seconds.