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Melbourne Cup Dosages 2025 |
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Progold
Champion
Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 3223 |
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Topic: Melbourne Cup Dosages 2025Posted: 03 Nov 2025 at 12:23pm |
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Melbourne Cup 2025 | Progold Thoroughbreds - Improving the breed
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Plastic letters
Champion
Joined: 21 Jan 2023 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 12925 |
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Posted: 03 Nov 2025 at 7:59pm |
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Can you elaborate?
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diomed
Champion
Joined: 16 Nov 2016 Location: Roscrea Status: Offline Points: 904 |
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Posted: 04 Nov 2025 at 1:13am |
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My guess is he forgot to put headings over the data
AL RIFFA (FR) [Centre Of Distribution -0.35 / Dosage Index 0.49] Points [Brilliant 1 - Intermediate 2 - Classic 11 - Solid 11 - Professional 1] Brilliant points from a sprinter sire in the first four generations of Al Riffa's pedigree; Classic from middle-distance 12f sires; Professional from 16f+ staying sires. (1+2+11/2) / (11/2+11+1) = 0.486 Dosage Index .... divide the sprint sire points by the stamina sire points and you get a number I am surprised the poster put the Centre Of Distribution number first (it is just another way of stating the dosage). ARAPAHO (FR) 2.69; PARCHMENT PARTY (USA) 4.33; ATHABASCAN (FR) 3.00; VALIANT KING (GB) 2.56 look the least likely to stay the distance. However, there are many ifs and buts ... The points for a few horses are low so the calculation is probably unreliable: PARCHMENT PARTY (USA) only 8 points (1+4+3); ATHABASCAN (FR) only 10 points (5+5). The Dosage Index does not tell you anything about the quality of the horse, e.g. you might think a horse with a high Dosage Index (> 4.0) would be a sprinter but he could be a very slow sprinter and a glacially slow stayer i.e. he is best at sprinting (but still terrible). I wrote a dosage index program in 1993 but abandoned the use of dosage shortly agterwards as it is not much of a selection weapon. It might put you off one or two in a race. |
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foalmare.com - my thoughts about pedigree
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