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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 20 Feb 2021 at 12:08pm |
Rosehill |
2 |
6 |
Praline |
Yarra Valley |
6 |
3 |
Ultimate Shock |
Orange |
6 |
6 |
Giselas Crown |
Ascot |
6 |
8 |
Weaponson |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 20 Feb 2021 at 12:30pm |
Baghdad Bob wrote:
Assuming SP is the correct odds of a horse, albeit 15 % under the odds ( the bookies or the tote’s margin) surely the only winning system is to beat SP odds by around 20% ( 15%+ 5%) to give you, as a punter, a 5% margin. Unless you can beat SP, even by that 15%, you must finish up a loser. To win at punting you must beat the odds, your methodology of selection is meaningless unless you beat the odds, why does a casino encourage people to bet on roulette ? Casinos know , regardless of what numbers gamblers select ( their methodology) , they cannot beat the casino’s margin against them. |
If SP is the "correct" price, minus the margin, then you cannot win. It is close to the "best guess", but is sometimes inaccurate, even wildly inaccurate. Otherwise winning is impossible today, because all markets ate convergent at the end of betting. Have a tiny little bit of faith BB, like the biblical mustard seed !
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 21 Feb 2021 at 10:51am |
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Scone |
7 |
12 |
Innervoice |
|
Goulburn |
7 |
6 |
Mystic Vein |
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Goulburn |
7 |
8 |
Sifu |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 22 Feb 2021 at 1:12pm |
Terang |
3 |
6 |
Dont Forget Dad |
Terang |
3 |
8 |
Mr Shelby |
Bathurst |
4 |
13 |
Direct Vision |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 23 Feb 2021 at 12:12pm |
NIL today
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 24 Feb 2021 at 1:28pm |
Penola 7 1 Deforce ES
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 25 Feb 2021 at 11:13am |
None today
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 26 Feb 2021 at 1:08pm |
Albury |
5 |
11 |
Miss Venezuela |
Albury |
7 |
3 |
Roppongi |
Albury |
7 |
6 |
Charm Wing |
Ballina |
8 |
11 |
Daunting Warrior |
Albury |
8 |
5 |
Swagger |
Canterbury(N) |
6 |
2 |
Perigord |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 26 Feb 2021 at 8:56pm |
Some encouraging results today, and time for some over-due accounting
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Outlays |
Returned |
FEB |
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**Previous** |
|
18632 |
18927 |
17 |
Bunbury |
2 |
12 |
Inn Session |
142 |
0 |
18 |
Grafton |
6 |
12 |
Magic Moet |
67 |
0 |
19 |
Canberra |
6 |
10 |
Onthetake |
|
96 |
0 |
19 |
Quirindi |
8 |
10 |
Desert Marshal |
|
67 |
0 |
19 |
Townsville |
9 |
1 |
Sanglier |
|
790 |
1510 |
19 |
M.Valley (N) |
7 |
15 |
Orphans Trust |
|
24 |
0 |
20 |
Rosehill |
2 |
6 |
Praline |
|
156 |
0 |
20 |
Yarra Valley |
6 |
3 |
Ultimate Shock |
|
140 |
0 |
20 |
Orange |
6 |
6 |
Giselas Crown |
|
224 |
240 |
20 |
Ascot |
6 |
8 |
Weaponson |
|
202 |
0 |
21 |
Scone |
7 |
12 |
Innervoice |
|
72 |
0 |
21 |
Goulburn |
7 |
6 |
Mystic Vein |
|
218 |
250 |
21 |
Goulburn |
7 |
8 |
Sifu |
|
62 |
0 |
22 |
Terang |
3 |
6 |
Dont Forget Dad |
|
530 |
424 |
22 |
Terang |
3 |
8 |
Mr Shelby |
|
278 |
0 |
22 |
Bathurst |
4 |
13 |
Direct Vision |
|
52 |
213 |
24 |
Penola
7 1 Deforce
ES |
7 |
1 |
Deforce |
|
278 |
272 |
26 |
Albury |
5 |
11 |
Miss Venezuela |
|
470 |
1353 |
26 |
Albury |
7 |
3 |
Roppongi |
|
910 |
545 |
26 |
Albury |
7 |
6 |
Charm Wing |
|
326 |
1279 |
26 |
Ballina |
8 |
11 |
Daunting Warrior |
|
0 |
0 |
26 |
Albury |
8 |
5 |
Swagger |
|
736 |
1526 |
26 |
Canterbury(N) |
6 |
2 |
Perigord |
|
52 |
126 |
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**Progress** |
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24524 |
26665 |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 27 Feb 2021 at 11:51am |
Murray
Bridge |
7 |
7 |
Magic Reward |
Murray Bridge |
7 |
13 |
Rustydustysunshine |
Randwick |
7 |
11 |
Elizabeel |
Caloundra |
7 |
11 |
Perfect Aim |
Flemington |
9 |
14 |
Need New Friends |
Caloundra |
9 |
14 |
Lunar Light |
Ascot |
9 |
4 |
Position Of Power |
Ascot |
9 |
8 |
Santiago Gal |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 28 Feb 2021 at 1:10pm |
Caloundra |
6 |
1 |
Bohemian Boom |
Mudgee |
7 |
10 |
Old Harbour |
Ballarat |
8 |
9 |
Almighty Will |
Esperance |
3 |
2 |
Liquidity |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 28 Feb 2021 at 6:13pm |
UPDATED |
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**Previously** |
24524 |
26665 |
Murray
Bridge |
7 |
7 |
Magic Reward |
64 |
0 |
Murray
Bridge |
7 |
13 |
Rustydustysunshine |
166 |
0 |
Randwick |
7 |
11 |
Elizabeel |
70 |
272 |
Caloundra |
7 |
11 |
Perfect Aim |
32 |
0 |
Flemington |
9 |
14 |
Need New Friends |
48 |
222 |
Caloundra |
9 |
14 |
Lunar Light |
340 |
401 |
Ascot |
9 |
4 |
Position Of Power |
87 |
0 |
Ascot |
9 |
8 |
Santiago Gal |
77 |
0 |
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Caloundra |
6 |
1 |
Bohemian Boom |
104 |
0 |
Mudgee |
7 |
10 |
Old Harbour |
312 |
1343 |
Ballarat |
8 |
9 |
Almighty Will |
44 |
0 |
Esperance |
3 |
2 |
Liquidity |
276 |
1274 |
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**PROGRESS** |
26144 |
30177 |
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Gay3
Moderator Group
Joined: 19 Feb 2007
Location: Miners Rest
Status: Offline
Points: 51829
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Posted: 28 Feb 2021 at 6:19pm |
You've certainly delivered with a vengeance this last week
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Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 28 Feb 2021 at 6:36pm |
They needed to lift, Gay, and with so many placed, were due for some to win. So basically it sits at what I declared was the required standard, 15% profit less commission. They certainly helped me today, my other bets had an off day, in the end I wasn't much behind.
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
|
Posted: 01 Mar 2021 at 11:24am |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
|
Posted: 02 Mar 2021 at 11:17am |
None today
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
|
Posted: 03 Mar 2021 at 1:19pm |
Murray
Bridge |
7 |
11 |
Issara |
Sandown Lakesi |
8 |
8 |
Platini |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 04 Mar 2021 at 1:04pm |
Ipswich |
3 |
2 |
Kid Mac |
Port Macquarie |
7 |
8 |
Memphis Squaw |
Port Macquarie |
7 |
12 |
Little Wonder |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
|
Posted: 04 Mar 2021 at 7:57pm |
UPDATED |
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**PREVIOUSLY** |
26144 |
30177 |
Cowra |
6 |
12 |
Byzantium |
182 |
283 |
Murray
Bridge |
7 |
11 |
Issara |
192 |
0 |
Sandown
Lakesi |
8 |
8 |
Platini |
108 |
249 |
Ipswich |
3 |
2 |
Kid Mac |
64 |
0 |
Port
Macquarie |
7 |
8 |
Memphis Squaw |
158 |
0 |
Port
Macquarie |
7 |
12 |
Little Wonder |
130 |
0 |
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**PROGRESS** |
26978 |
30709 |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
|
Posted: 05 Mar 2021 at 1:25pm |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 05 Mar 2021 at 6:05pm |
UPDATED |
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outlaid |
returned |
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**PREVIOUSLY** |
26978 |
30709 |
Dubbo |
9 |
12 |
Niccolon |
138 |
255 |
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**PROGRESSIVE** |
27116 |
30964 |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 06 Mar 2021 at 12:31pm |
Lots of meetings, but just one selection.
Bunbury |
7 |
7 |
What About Moses |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 07 Mar 2021 at 12:11pm |
Echuca |
1 |
8 |
Sensational Reward |
Caloundra |
1 |
5 |
Seeyalatergator |
Canberra |
3 |
8 |
Temoin Chaud |
Caloundra |
5 |
2 |
Doctor Teekay |
Canberra |
5 |
5 |
Black Magnum |
Tamworth |
7 |
7 |
Rich And Shameless |
Ascot |
7 |
1 |
Spin The Knife |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 08 Mar 2021 at 11:30am |
Morphettville |
9 |
12 |
Midnight Storm |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 09 Mar 2021 at 10:29am |
Wagga |
5 |
7 |
Lets Get Animal |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 09 Mar 2021 at 4:37pm |
Hurrah !!!
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ExceedAndExcel
Champion
Joined: 20 Dec 2008
Status: Offline
Points: 16226
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Posted: 09 Mar 2021 at 4:43pm |
Nice!
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
|
Posted: 09 Mar 2021 at 5:00pm |
UPDATED |
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Outlaid |
Return |
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**PREVIOUSLY** |
27116 |
30964 |
Bunbury |
7 |
7 |
What About
Moses |
190 |
0 |
Echuca |
1 |
8 |
Sensational Reward |
844 |
1553 |
Caloundra |
1 |
5 |
Seeyalatergator |
80 |
0 |
Canberra |
3 |
8 |
Temoin Chaud |
0 |
0 |
Caloundra |
5 |
2 |
Doctor Teekay |
204 |
0 |
Canberra |
5 |
5 |
Black Magnum |
546 |
396 |
Tamworth |
7 |
7 |
Rich And Shameless |
70 |
0 |
Ascot |
7 |
1 |
Spin The Knife |
416 |
0 |
Morphettville |
9 |
12 |
Midnight Storm |
506 |
417 |
Wagga |
5 |
7 |
Lets Get Animal |
122 |
1256 |
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**PROGRESSIVE** |
30094 |
34586 |
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 10 Mar 2021 at 12:47pm |
None today
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max manewer
Champion
Joined: 31 Jan 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 32947
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Posted: 11 Mar 2021 at 1:24pm |
Pakenham |
7 |
4 |
Antarctic Ocean |
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