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Russian Camelot

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djebel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 May 2020 at 11:37pm
Originally posted by JudgeHolden JudgeHolden wrote:

Our horses are garbage.

I refuse to accept that.

They are virtually the same breed as Europe as a whole.


reductio ad absurdum
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 May 2020 at 11:38pm
I know you are, but you have no argument. Because there is none.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 May 2020 at 11:39pm
Originally posted by JudgeHolden JudgeHolden wrote:

Our horses are garbage.

The distance horses are certainly not as strong as the sprinters, who would be competitive anywhere.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 May 2020 at 11:40pm
Originally posted by djebel djebel wrote:

Originally posted by JudgeHolden JudgeHolden wrote:

Our horses are garbage.

I refuse to accept that.

They are virtually the same breed as Europe as a whole.



And Japan yadayadayda... except they keep flogging us.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 May 2020 at 11:49pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Originally posted by JudgeHolden JudgeHolden wrote:

Our horses are garbage.

The distance horses are certainly not as strong as the sprinters, who would be competitive anywhere.

Well that’s the understatement of the century...

When I started following the caper we won Japan Cups. Imagine saying that to someone these days..they’d avoid eye contact and back slowly toward the door.

I used to assume our sprinters were the best on the planet but I’m not even sure of that these days. We’ve bred ourselves down a rabbit hole with ridiculous restricted sales juvenile racing. 

The overseas horses/imports are flogging us.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 May 2020 at 11:53pm
The vast majority of races, and prizemoney, is in races a mile or shorter, so that is where the breeding emphasis is.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 May 2020 at 11:57pm
Apart from the suffix all these pedigrees could have been from Europe or Japan.



TERERAS (AUS)Brown filly 2016 
Toronado
Bay 2010
High Chaparral
Bay 1999
Sadler's Wells
Bay 1981
Northern Dancer
Bay 1961
Nearctic
Natalma
1954
1957
14-c
2-d
Fairy Bridge
Bay 1975
Bold Reason
Special
1968
1969
19-b
5-h
Kasora
Brown 1993
Darshaan
Brown 1981
Shirley Heights
Delsy
1975
1972
1-l
13-c
Kozana
Brown 1982
Kris
Koblenza
1976
1966
2-o
1-n
Wana Doo
Bay 2000
Grand Slam
Bay or brown 1995
Gone West
Bay 1984
Mr Prospector
Secrettame
1970
1978
13-c
2-f
Bright Candles
Chestnut 1987
El Gran Senor
Christmas Bonus
1981
1978
8-f
9-c
Wedding Gift
Bay or brown 1993
Always Fair
Bay 1985
Danzig
Carduel
1977
1978
7-a
19-b
Such Style
Bay 1977
Sassafras
Regal Lady
1967
1970
8-c
1-d
Kellys Ocean Jewel
Bay 2005
Dansili
Bay or brown 1996
Danehill
Bay 1986
Danzig
Bay 1977
Northern Dancer
Pas de Nom
1961
1968
2-d
7-a
Razyana
Bay 1981
His Majesty
Spring Adieu
1968
1974
4-d
2-d
Hasili
Bay 1991
Kahyasi
Bay 1985
Ile de Bourbon
Kadissya
1975
1979
4-i
5-e
Kerali
Chestnut 1984
High Line
Sookera
1966
1975
5-e
11>
Trellis Bay
Bay 1996
Sadler's Wells
Bay 1981
Northern Dancer
Bay 1961
Nearctic
Natalma
1954
1957
14-c
2-d
Fairy Bridge
Bay 1975
Bold Reason
Special
1968
1969
19-b
5-h
Bahamian
Chestnut 1985
Mill Reef
Bay 1968
Never Bend
Milan Mill
1960
1962
19-b
22-d
Sorbus
Bay 1975
Busted
Censorship
1963
1969
2-s
19>
 Ancestor duplications:Northern Dancer4m x 5m,4m Sadler's Wells3m x 3f Danzig5m x 4m


FIFTY STARS (IRE)Bay colt 2015 
Sea the Stars
Bay 2006
Cape Cross
Bay or brown 1994
Green Desert
Bay 1983
Danzig
Bay 1977
Northern Dancer
Pas de Nom
1961
1968
2-d
7-a
Foreign Courier
Bay 1979
Sir Ivor
Courtly Dee
1965
1968
8-g
A4
Park Appeal
Bay or brown 1982
Ahonoora
Chestnut 1975
Lorenzaccio
Helen Nichols
1965
1966
5-h
1-m
Balidaress
Grey 1973
Balidar
Innocence
1966
1968
8-d
14-c
Urban Sea
Chestnut 1989
Miswaki
Chestnut 1978
Mr Prospector
Bay 1970
Raise a Native
Gold Digger
1961
1962
8-f
13-c
Hopespringseternal
Chestnut 1971
Buckpasser
Rose Bower
1963
1958
1-s
16-g
Allegretta
Chestnut 1978
Lombard
Chestnut 1967
Agio
Promised Lady
1955
1961
9-h
1-d
Anatevka
Chestnut 1969
Espresso
Almyra
1958
1962
7-a
9-h
Swizzle Stick
Bay 2007
Sadler's Wells
Bay 1981
Northern Dancer
Bay 1961
Nearctic
Brown 1954
Nearco
Lady Angela
1935
1944
4-r
14-c
Natalma
Bay 1957
Native Dancer
Almahmoud
1950
1947
5-f
2-d
Fairy Bridge
Bay 1975
Bold Reason
Bay 1968
Hail to Reason
Lalun
1958
1952
4-n
19-b
Special
Bay 1969
Forli
Thong
1963
1964
3-b
5-h
Viz
Bay 2002
Darshaan
Brown 1981
Shirley Heights
Bay 1975
Mill Reef
Hardiemma
1968
1969
22-d
1-l
Delsy
Brown 1972
Abdos
Kelty
1959
1965
1-e
13-c
For Example
Bay 1992
Northern Baby
Bay 1976
Northern Dancer
Two Rings
1961
1970
2-d
17-b
Bold Example
Bay 1969
Bold Lad
Lady Be Good
1962
1956
5-f
8-h
 Ancestor duplications:Northern Dancer5m x 3m,5m       


RUSSIAN CAMELOT (IRE)Bay colt 2017 
Camelot
Bay or brown 2009
Montjeu
Bay 1996
Sadler's Wells
Bay 1981
Northern Dancer
Bay 1961
Nearctic
Natalma
1954
1957
14-c
2-d
Fairy Bridge
Bay 1975
Bold Reason
Special
1968
1969
19-b
5-h
Floripedes
Bay 1985
Top Ville
Bay 1976
High Top
Sega Ville
1969
1968
11-a
8-i
Toute Cy
Bay 1979
Tennyson
Adele Toumignon
1970
1971
1-t
1-u
Tarfah
Bay 2001
Kingmambo
Bay 1990
Mr Prospector
Bay 1970
Raise a Native
Gold Digger
1961
1962
8-f
13-c
Miesque
Bay 1984
Nureyev
Pasadoble
1977
1979
5-h
20>
Fickle
Bay 1996
Danehill
Bay 1986
Danzig
Razyana
1977
1981
7-a
2-d
Fade
Bay 1988
Persepolis
One Over Parr
1979
1972
4-n
4-o
Lady Babooshka
Bay 2011
Cape Cross
Bay or brown 1994
Green Desert
Bay 1983
Danzig
Bay 1977
Northern Dancer
Pas de Nom
1961
1968
2-d
7-a
Foreign Courier
Bay 1979
Sir Ivor
Courtly Dee
1965
1968
8-g
A4
Park Appeal
Bay or brown 1982
Ahonoora
Chestnut 1975
Lorenzaccio
Helen Nichols
1965
1966
5-h
1-m
Balidaress
Grey 1973
Balidar
Innocence
1966
1968
8-d
14-c
Balalaika
Bay 1993
Sadler's Wells
Bay 1981
Northern Dancer
Bay 1961
Nearctic
Natalma
1954
1957
14-c
2-d
Fairy Bridge
Bay 1975
Bold Reason
Special
1968
1969
19-b
5-h
Bella Colora
Bay 1982
Bellypha
Grey 1976
Lyphard
Belga
1969
1968
17-b
16-b
Reprocolor
Chestnut 1976
Jimmy Reppin
Blue Queen
1965
1967
7-d
13-e
 Ancestor duplications:Northern Dancer4m x 5m,4m Sadler's Wells3m x 3f Danzig5m x 4m


DALASAN (AUS)Chestnut colt 2016 
Dalakhani
Grey 2000
Darshaan
Brown 1981
Shirley Heights
Bay 1975
Mill Reef
Bay 1968
Never Bend
Milan Mill
1960
1962
19-b
22-d
Hardiemma
Bay 1969
Hardicanute
Grand Cross
1962
1952
3-j
1-l
Delsy
Brown 1972
Abdos
Bay or brown 1959
Arbar
Pretty Lady
1944
1942
9-e
1-e
Kelty
Bay 1965
Venture
Marilla
1957
1957
7>
13-c
Daltawa
Grey 1989
Miswaki
Chestnut 1978
Mr Prospector
Bay 1970
Raise a Native
Gold Digger
1961
1962
8-f
13-c
Hopespringseternal
Chestnut 1971
Buckpasser
Rose Bower
1963
1958
1-s
16-g
Damana
Grey 1981
Crystal Palace
Grey 1974
Caro
Hermieres
1967
1958
3-o
10-e
Denia
Chestnut 1973
Crepello
Rose Ness
1954
1965
16-d
9-e
Khandallah
Brown 2008
Kitten's Joy
Chestnut 2001
El Prado
Grey 1989
Sadler's Wells
Bay 1981
Northern Dancer
Fairy Bridge
1961
1975
2-d
5-h
Lady Capulet
Grey 1974
Sir Ivor
Cap and Bells
1965
1958
8-g
1-l
Kitten's First
Bay 1991
Lear Fan
Bay 1981
Roberto
Wac
1969
1969
12-c
20>
That's My Hon
Chestnut 1983
L'Enjoleur
One Lane
1972
1961
4-g
2-d
La Rochelle
Bay 2003
Honour and Glory
Bay 1993
Relaunch
Grey 1976
In Reality
Foggy Note
1964
1965
21-a
3-o
Fair to All
Bay 1986
Al Nasr
Gonfalon
1978
1975
4-r
16-a
Milaoshu
Bay 1985
Fappiano
Bay 1977
Mr Prospector
Killaloe
1970
1970
13-c
16-a
Turtle Cove
Bay or brown 1970
Dr Fager
Sunny Cove
1964
1957
1-r
1-l
 Ancestor duplications:Mr Prospector4m x 5m
reductio ad absurdum
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 12:04am
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

The vast majority of races, and prizemoney, is in races a mile or shorter, so that is where the breeding emphasis is.

The Melbourne Cup, Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate? These aren’t lucrative?

But if you have (two) restricted sales 2yo races worn 2 million each, who cares, right? Instant money, baby. 

We used to be good. Now we’re crap. And we deserve every bit of it.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 12:13am
I think Anthony Van Dyck, Highland Reel and Cape Of Good Hope suggest other wise.
reductio ad absurdum
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tontonan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 12:19am
At 3 years and 40 days he is not the youngest horse to win a Derby in Australia but I think he is the first Northern bred to do so.

 Ever since James White took 3 Australian breds to the UK to campaign for the English Derby in 1890 it has been considered a bridge too far because of the 6th month advantage the northern breds have.  Only Kirkham (Chester - La Princesse) made it into the race and he finished 7th and second last.  

Likewise the northern breds are disadvantaged when contesting age restricted races in Australia - although you wouldn't know it on the strength of Russian Camelot's win at Morphettville.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote kavg Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 10:44am
It is a shame they had to abort the English Derby prep as he would have to have been a big chance.

And as i mentioned in another thread, unless Addeybb or any topliner from Europe or Japan comes, I can't see anything in the country that would challenge him at 2000m and beyond. Although Verry Ellegant and Master of Wine could provide a decent challenge.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shrunk in the Wash Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 10:48am
early days folks, early day💡
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 10:56am
Originally posted by kavg kavg wrote:

It is a shame they had to abort the English Derby prep as he would have to have been a big chance.

And as i mentioned in another thread, unless Addeybb or any topliner from Europe or Japan comes, I can't see anything in the country that would challenge him at 2000m and beyond. Although Verry Ellegant and Master of Wine could provide a decent challenge.

I know this would be unpopular but I would love Ballydoyle to buy this colt and aim him at The Pommy Derby whenever that might be.

It aint going to be in June and the horse would ultimately look good on their stallion roster.

YES, I would like him to stay in training at least another year.

He will ultimately end up at Coolmore or Shadai.



reductio ad absurdum
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tlazolteotl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 12:33pm
Epsom Derby to be run early July ... or maybe never.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 12:48pm
My friend Adam Blencowe who does the Timeform Australia ratings at Racing and Sports said this via Twitter earlier this morning in regards to the South Australia Derby win (2500m) by Russian Camelot:

"No longer TBD. Timeform rating of 122. Best in the modern history of the SA Derby. Move over Mummify, Big Pat and Subzero. And higher than the Vic and NSW equivalents (both winners 115) as well. And did it with plenty against. Some win"

So to me Russian Camelot will be big chance in this year's Melbourne Cup and has the same profile as northern hemisphere 3 year-old Cup winners Rekindling and Cross Counter and that is - high Timeform rating, light weight, young horse. Only difference is Russian Camelot is already in Australia and doesnt need to acclimatise where as Rekindling/Cross Counter ran first up in Australia in the Melbourne Cup.
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Lord Hybrow Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 1:04pm
What weight does RC get allocated for the Caulfield & Melb Cups?

As a G1 Derby winner, you’d expect more than the similarly aged Cross Counter 51 & Rekindling 51.5, both of who were G2/3 performers as NH 3yo’s.

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Lord Hybrow - in the range of 52kg - 52.5kg.

Also for those interested, as a comparison Subzero rated at 116 (Timeform) for his win in the SA Derby in 1992, he went on to win the Melbourne Cup later that year. Mummify rated at 117 (Timeform) for his win in the 2003 SA Derby, he went on to win the Caulfield Cup later that year. Russian Camelot rated at 122 (Timeform) for his SA Derby win..best rating in the modern history of the race.
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote TJMitchell Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 1:25pm
Our horses aren't garbage. They're just not here.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baguette Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 1:27pm
So your saying that Timeform think that the SA Derby was the strongest Derby run this year? I must be missing something but maybe someone could explain why?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 1:34pm
Exactly right TJ
Any horse with a glimpse of ability these days ends up in Asia
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 1:51pm
Shawy thats not true. Not all horses with an ounce of ability end up in Asia. You need to be more specific.
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 1:56pm
Baguette - not sure about Timeform's reasoning. But the win was impressive. Both winners of the Vic and NSW Derbies rated at 115 (Timeform), Russian Camelot rated at 122.
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tlazolteotl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 1:59pm
Originally posted by Lord Hybrow Lord Hybrow wrote:

What weight does RC get allocated for the Caulfield & Melb Cups?

As a G1 Derby winner, you’d expect more than the similarly aged Cross Counter 51 & Rekindling 51.5, both of who were G2/3 performers as NH 3yo’s.



They whack the ATC derby winner up to an unwinnable weight every spring no matter how ordinary the race was and this years SA derby rates higher than them so 56, 57kg.Big smile
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote kavg Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 2:13pm
Baguette the VRC Derby is usually weak as immature 3yos. ATC Derby this year was on a big track and the fancy runners like castelvecchio, shadow hero, warning were not effective for one reason or another. Look at form of Rosehill and Randwick guineas and it is obvious who the top 3yos were.

That form didn't stand up on the bog. Ramadan went to another level once he was finally stepped up beyond a mile and warnings two runs against him show the level of that form vs rh and rw guineas.

And the fact Russian Camelot did what he did and was eased late shows how good he was and that he was the best of this year's Derby winners as some of us predicted pre race that this was the strongest Derby of season.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote kavg Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 2:25pm
Ramadan equals dalasan, damn autocorrect!
Prejudice is an emotional attachment to ignorance.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 2:43pm
Originally posted by Jamal Jamal wrote:

Shawy thats not true. Not all horses with an ounce of ability end up in Asia. You need to be more specific.


Are you serious
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 2:52pm
Originally posted by Baguette Baguette wrote:

So your saying that Timeform think that the SA Derby was the strongest Derby run this year? I must be missing something but maybe someone could explain why?


It would be because Russian Camelot was a Northern Hemisphere bred colt but carried the same weight as the rest of the field. As I mentioned earlier in the thread, if it was a WFA race, he would have received considerable weight from the ANZ bred runners (possibly 4.5 kg).

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 2:54pm
He was foaled on 29 March 2017.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 2:55pm
Originally posted by Shawy38 Shawy38 wrote:

Originally posted by Jamal Jamal wrote:

Shawy thats not true. Not all horses with an ounce of ability end up in Asia. You need to be more specific.


Are you serious



Well Winx didnt go to Asia, neither did So You Think. Lots of horses with in your words "an ounce of ability" have stayed in Australia.
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 May 2020 at 3:10pm

Reference: https://www.racing.com/news/2020-05-10/news-options-open-with-camelot


Options open with Camelot

Brad Bishop@bradbishop12

12:48pm

Russian Camelot is now favourite for this year’s Melbourne Cup, but Danny O’Brien has not limited his sights to Australia’s most famous race with the boom colt.

The Flemington trainer is happy to consider all options with the Northern Hemisphere-bred three-year-old, who sensationally won Saturday’s South Australian Derby (2500m).

The Caulfield Cup (2400m) and Cox Plate (2040m), Australia’s premier middle-distance weight-for-race, are also on the table.

“He’s only had the five runs, so it’s a little bit hard to assess whether he could line up against the best horses in Australasia in the Cox Plate or whether we’d stick to the handicaps like the Caulfield and the Melbourne Cups,” O’Brien said.

Along with heading BetEasy’s Melbourne Cup market at $13, Russian Camelot is $11 equal favourite with Master Of Wine in the Caulfield Cup and a $21 chance in Cox Plate betting.

The Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m) at his home track of Flemington shapes as a telling early assignment.

“We’ll just give him the chance over the next few months to mature and then we’ll kick off in something like the Makybe Diva,” O’Brien told RSN927’s Correct Weight.

“Maybe the Makybe Diva then the Turnbull (2000m) and that will tell us where he goes.

“There’s probably a good case for saying in the spring he could win a big race at the mile or certainly a mile and a quarter, he probably does have that little bit more versatility than Vow And Declare.”

Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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