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Vow And Declare |
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45753 |
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Hope Springs eternal.
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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Mr Grieves - I agree, he was disappointing. Max Maneawer - maybe. Problem now is that he will have big weights in the spring Cups and he looks a little one paced for WFA races. The other issie is we dont hsve many 2400m+ races in Australia at WFA either. |
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
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Personally the spread of the weight wasnt the issue. Individually he carried a weight that he couldnt handle Put a cricket ball or a brick in your pocket and feel the difference |
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Tlazolteotl
Champion Joined: 02 Oct 2012 Location: Elephant Butte Status: Offline Points: 31422 |
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He's a lot better than today's run but will still be a hard horse to place for a win. Should win Andrew Ramjet if they go on but after that?
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An honest politician is one who when he is bought will stay bought.
Simon Cameron |
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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But he has earned that weight being a Melbourne Cup winner and the field wasnt good. He should of run a lot better
Edited by Gay3 - 25 Apr 2020 at 10:19pm |
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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VOYAGER
Champion Joined: 04 Aug 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 18737 |
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Didn't mind the fact he was beaten four lengths by Haky, but the fact that 2nd, 3rd and fourth all went past him in the last 200m was the poor part of his run.
For him to be fit for the 3200m in the spring, they need to run him in the Ramsden, if not he will be aimed at the Mackinnon - Sandown Classic double. |
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Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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Stewards Report
Race 4 WILLIAM NEWTON VC HANDICAP - 2600 metres: Vow and Declare Rider Craig Williams reported the gelding was disappointing, that he had travelled well throughout the race, gained clear running at the top of the straight and was then one‑paced. He added Vow and Declare felt fresh prior to the race which is not his usual temperament and that the gelding had pulled up well. Trainer Danny O'Brien reported the gelding appeared to pull up well but had performed below his best and it was his intention to give the gelding a spell from racing. Mr O'Brien undertook to notify Stewards should he become aware of any condition that may have affected Vow and Declare's performance. A post‑race veterinary examination failed to reveal any abnormalities. A swab sample was taken for analysis. |
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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JudgeHolden
Champion Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11728 |
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Our champion stayer. Loooooool
Fair dinkum, our horses regress by the MONTH.
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mikey
Champion Joined: 01 Nov 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 511 |
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Happy to play Devil's advocate. He won The Melbourne Cup with a very light weight, pretty close to the minimum...was it 52kgs? In the MC he raced on the pace in a very slowly run affair and with that postage stamp weight he managed to kick on front the front and fall in by a nose.
I was a fan of his this time last year when he was ridden back in the field & finishing strongly. His Queensland Guineas run was phenomenal after racing wide. I think he is a good stayer but needs to be ridden quietly to produce his best. IMHO weight is weight regardless of the class they are running in and given he raced on the speed he was made to carry it today. 61kgs over 2600 metres is no easy task and although he is a good horse, he is no champion. IMO. |
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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He should of put that field field away. Off-season stayers that lot.
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Foxseal
Champion Joined: 06 Dec 2011 Status: Offline Points: 2705 |
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Vow & Declare wasn’t terrible but he was very plain.
Congrats to Voyager & Grey Affair in latching onto Haky at double figure odds. In hindsight, he was running a few good races last spring with close 3rds behind Marmelo & Call the Wind in France & behind Prince of Arran & True Self in the Geelong Cup - some quality stayers in that lot! I guess Haky will spell now & get ready for a crack at the Melb Cup. As for Vow & Declare, I’m not sure why Danny didn’t follow the 2000, 2400, 3200m template that worked last spring again in the Autumn - ie: Aust Cup, Tancred, Sydney Cup. The QE Stakes was always a weird race for him. Although I guess the cancellation of Qld winter carnival has messed up plans a little. |
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Pardon_My_Dust
Champion Joined: 01 Dec 2009 Status: Offline Points: 9124 |
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Trainer has baulked this one up. Horse looked overworked and one paced first up over 2000m yet he still backed it up again over 2000m against the elite of the elite. Mindboggling decision should have been aimed at the Sydney Cup.
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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2400m+ is when Vow And Declare is at his best. Not sure he is suited at 2000m or less. A lot of Melbourne Cup Winners have been good enough to win at 2000m WFA or less. Not sure this applies to Vow And Declare.
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Carioca
Champion Joined: 13 Nov 2015 Status: Offline Points: 21824 |
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I don't think the trainer would be too worried, besides the handicapper maybe a little kind to him in the spring.
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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My opinion is Vow And Declare will get between 56kg and 57kg
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Online Points: 52004 |
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I couldn't help but think of djebel when listening to Archie reflecting on Haky's win:
"Alexander said he has focused on teaching Haky to settle better in his races, which could lead to a profitable spring campaign for the Irish-bred stayer. “I was adamant the minute I got this horse that he’s not going to be leading anymore,” Alexander said. “I think going the Australian way of trialling over 800, running over 1000, running over a mile, the non-European things, has really taught this horse to relax and stop having his own way. “He always had his own way in Europe and we’re teaching him that this is the way we want him to race." |
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Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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Not sure I understand.
His campaign has been 1600 - 2000 - 2600 ? The only thing Australian about it so far has been fortnightly racing. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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Australia: "Vow And Declare ran to a Timeform rating of 110 on Saturday. He ran to 117 in the Melbourne Cup. Very different pace scenario on Sat. Had he run to his Cup level I think he struggles to beat Haky anyway"
Also bear in mind that his peak Timeform rating is 119 when 3rd in the Australian Cup. |
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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Meant to say from Timeform Australia
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Mr Grieves
Champion Joined: 28 Jan 2014 Location: Canberra Status: Offline Points: 934 |
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"According to some guy's opinion, VAD ran to a rating of 110 on Saturday. He ran to 117 in the Melbourne Cup."
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Xavier
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2016 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 3660 |
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anyone that pays money for that service is a fool
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Karl and Susan Kennedy are my heroes
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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I dont pay money. My friend works for Timefoem Australia (racing and sports) so he tells me |
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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Past 6 Starts - Timeform Ratings
25/4/20 - 5th: Open Handicap (2600m HCP): 110 11/4/20 - 9th: G1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m WFA): 108 7/3/20 - 3rd: G1 Australian Cup (2000m WFA): 119* 5/11/19 - 1st: G1 Melbourne Cup (3200m HCP): 117 19/10/19 - 2nd: G1 Caulfield Cup (2400m HCP): 117 5/10/19 - 4th: G1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m SWP): 117 *Asterisk indicates peak career Timeform rating* |
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Afros
Champion Joined: 14 Jan 2009 Status: Offline Points: 15478 |
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He's been nominated for the Herbert Power, what's going on here?
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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No idea. Would be up in the weights too.
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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VOYAGER
Champion Joined: 04 Aug 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 18737 |
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Trainer was a genius last year, but he went away from the prep and now is playing catch up.
Should have had a similar autumn/winter campaign as last year and he did not so now he is not fit enough and needs probably another two runs to get him anywhere near right. Was never going to win the race anyway but the trainer who we gave the bouquets to last year, needs to be given the bricks when deserved. One thing Bart always said about his cups horses is that he could see as two year olds they were cups types and so he gave them a 3 year prep for that first Tuesday in November. Training a cups horse is not just about the cup preparation you need to train them at least twelve months out. I have backed him but I am scared that Surprise Baby has not had a similar prep to last year. There is a reason European trainers use the same races year in year out. I stand by for djebel's post
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Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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Has he said he is a certainty to run in the Herbert Power ?
I'd say he has just entered him for the sake of it.
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reductio ad absurdum
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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Voyager - Rogan Josh wasn't with Bart for 12 months so Bart wasn't able to train him for 12 months, the same with Lets Elope. But I see your point also as well.
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Jamal
Champion Joined: 25 Jul 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8680 |
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I reckon he is entered as assurance in case Danny does decide to run him
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Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Lord Hybrow
Champion Joined: 05 Jul 2015 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 6667 |
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He was ok in the Craiglee & Turnbull, but really pedestrian efforts in the 2 Cups.
Hes only a lightly raced 5yo & so long as hes physically ok, should race on. But where to in 2021 for V&D? Not a lot of races hes suited to.
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