The Rough as Gutz thread

thanks Doc - i have backed supergiant at his last 2 starts - very promising, just thought the 1800 today was a query

Yes, when I heard about the float problems with the favourite, I doubled up! ... I've followed him from his first trial over here - looks promising, doubt he will be a world beater, but the owners now have a free horse (could have been one of them!) and what you see is what you get, jump and run stayer - Grand Prix next stop - probably be better over that sort of distance with maturity next prep too. Good to hear you were on!

Interesting to see them all go around again in a week and a bit in the Rough Habit ... won't get 250/1 for Montez. Liked the way the Tavistock filly came home.

Eagle Farm tomorrow

Race 7   #11 Overlord - His run when second to Peltzer on 9 May is my highest rated performance in this race. He subsequently finished a well beaten second to Peltzer again when favourite but that was on a heavy track (although a lot of people thought he would be a swimmer on breeding). The market seems to have sacked him after that run. I don't know why. I can't believe they are betting $20. He has drawn badly but he was probably going to be ridden back in the field anyway. There should be good pace up front & I expect him to be storming home as he did when recording fast finishing sections on 9 May.

Race 8   Two of my three highest rated horses are at big odds in the Stradbroke - #7 Crack Me Up & #10 Graff. 

Crack Me Up's run in the Takeover Target was a beauty running outstanding final sections. I'd be very surprised he he doesn't run really well. Admittedly 1400m is probably as far as Graff likes to run but I think he will get the trip with a light weight on his back & a good alley. At $41 he was worth a small investment. I have a stack of other runners rated just behind these so will be going wide in the Quady.

Caulfield

Race 9  - I don't know why Peso is a 100/1 chance in this. Last October, he ran 2nd in a Gp1 in New Zealand behind Melody Belle. He probably will be better over 2000m later in the prep but they are claiming 3kg & this is a BM84 & they are betting 100/1 ????? However, my top rated is also a nice price, Pure Scot $21. But she is drawn the outside & there might be a slight query over the 1700m. She has won over 1600m & been placed in Group company over that distance but in the past failed when attempting further.

Not happy. She's been scratched from Race 8 & will run in the last which looks much tougher.

Competitive in Melb in the past, at great odds today.  Having a little on each way

Drew inside and but was amazingly caught three wide without cover for most of the race.  Was entitled to tire but a top effort to run third.

Carioca wrote: Wondering if good judge Grey Affair had a slice of F4 in the Rupert Clarke ? 26 1/2 K, nice if ya did GA.

LOL .. I rarely take First Fours although in that leg of the quaddy, I took half the field & ended up with the first five across the line. However, because I went long in that leg, I only had Lyre & Fiesta running for me in the final leg so I missed out. Definitely not a good judge!

Hope you better luck!

Good luck, I hope my money doesn't slow them down!

Sister Dot wrote: NC R7 H8 Miss Twilight $9.50

Randwick  Race 4  #9  Mr Marathon Man

I think his form is better than many may appreciate, particularly those two runs in January. His form reads 9 starts on good tracks for no placings but there are a few close 4ths in there. He was nosed out of third in the Festival Stakes back in November at 200/1 so I'm hoping for another big run at huge odds.

$51

Flemington  Race 6  #17  Prague

My equal top rated horse with September Run. He is a talented 3yo with a light weight & I believe they are good ingredients for a Newmarket. He is also in the Canterbury Stakes but surely the Newmarket is a better option.

$51

Flemington  Race 8  #13  San Huberto

Probably considered better over further but his run in the Mornington Cup Prelude with a big weight was outstanding. Fifty Stars is my top rater in the race but I think this fellow will run a big race

$26

Randwick  Race 9  #18  Selica

Racing well without luck. Rarely far away including a 3rd when giving 3kg to Quantum Mechanic at Flemington at her last start. That mare is one of the favourites in a Gp3 on Saturday.

$67

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