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The Rough as Gutz thread

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Grey Affair View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (2) Thanks(2)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Mar 2022 at 10:52pm
Flemington Race 6 The Newmarket Horse #15 The Astrologist

Currently $61 (boosted to $81). He is my second top rated horse behind Lost And Running.


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Lord Hybrow View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Lord Hybrow Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Mar 2022 at 3:42pm
Awesome work Grey Affair Clap
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Grey Affair View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Mar 2022 at 3:46pm
LOL. So close. But $14 the place is okay!

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Carioca View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Mar 2022 at 4:34pm
Felt for ya mate Ouch but nice place divvy . Clap
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Mar 2022 at 4:42pm
The nice place divvy helped. I would have felt worse if Think It Over had won the 2nd leg of the Quad.
Smile

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (2) Thanks(2)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Apr 2022 at 4:33am
Eagle Farm  Race 7 #4 Dark Destroyer.

Currently about $20

This horse disappointed in the Daybreak Lover but last preparation in New Zealand, he won the Gp2 Auckland Guineas & Gp3 Bonecrusher Stakes. That sort of form gives him an excellent chance in the Queensland Guineas, much better than $20. I also notice that his regular rider in NZ, Sam Weatherly, will be on him, his only ride for the day.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Lord Hybrow Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Apr 2022 at 7:25pm
Not far off the mark there Grey Affair with Dark Destroyer at 20/1 in the QLD Guineas.  Hoping you had him each way.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Foxseal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 May 2022 at 11:37am
Two from Chris Waller

Gosford Race 5 - Nest Egg

Kiwi 3yo who holds a Qld Derby entry.  Was ok in 3yo black type races in NZ & can improve at his 2nd run for Chris.

Caulfield Race 8 - Villaden

Not far away in black type 3yo staying races in the spring.  Fitter for 2 lead up runs and can run well 3rd up over 2000m 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Foxseal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 May 2022 at 11:58am
Both these Waller 3yo’s are lining up in the Qld Derby today and both still rough as guts prices.

Villaden at 20/1 & Nest Egg at 50/1.

Wouldn’t surprise me if one or both runs well getting to the 2400m trip.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Jun 2022 at 10:55pm
Eagle Farm - Race 6 #2 Kolding ... currently $26

Having his first try at 2200m but the only time he raced on a good track over 2000m, Kolding defeated Avilius & Fierce Impact by a couple of lengths in the 2020 Hill Stakes at Randwick, a performance I rated very highly.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Jun 2022 at 3:16pm
Rosehill R.5. N.2. Mr Gee , 33/1 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Jun 2022 at 3:31pm
Ipswich - Race 8 #12  Hilo ... currently $91

Two starts back ran 2nd at $101. A repeat of that would be nice.

Forget to mention, last week, Kolding ran 2nd at good odds.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Foxseal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Jun 2022 at 3:54pm
Rosehill Race 9 No 8 - I Siyou Baby

Import with only 1 run in Aust back in Feb over 1300m and ran really well for 4th beaten 2 len.

Resumes again today in the same BM78 grade & same distance and has the services of Kerrin McEvoy.  Currently 33/1 with tab.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote marble Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 25 Jun 2022 at 4:46pm
yamazaki in the tatts tiara, back to 1400 and took off way too early last start , should go a lot better
 100-1 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Lord Hybrow Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Jul 2022 at 12:12pm
I heard an interview with jumps trainer Amy McDonald a few weeks ago & she mentioned her partner Lee Horner had a handy type called Chronic Strife.

Noticed he’s debuting today in R2 at Geelong over 1347m.

He’s currently the 80/1 rank outsider and his pedigree (Ghibbelines out of a Personal Escort mare & Noble Bijou grand dam) would suggest he’ll want longer.  But a small speculative place bet on him for today.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Jul 2022 at 2:27pm
Bit of a nibble for this LH , 67s into 7s . Wink
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Jul 2022 at 3:34pm
Originally posted by Carioca Carioca wrote:

Bit of a nibble for this LH , 67s into 7s . Wink
Apologies LH , mixed yours with the one in the first .Confused
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Jul 2022 at 5:50pm
he's a half brother to the great Anudjawun 
Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Jul 2022 at 7:59pm
Which one Shawy , Credible Analyses or Chronic Strife ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jul 2022 at 4:21pm
Sunshine Coast - Race 8 #23 Hilo ... Currently $101

He was also my "Rough as Gutz" horse 2 weeks ago & ran a handy 6th.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jul 2022 at 4:26pm
Chronic StrifeWink
Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jul 2022 at 7:27pm
Originally posted by Grey Affair Grey Affair wrote:

Sunshine Coast - Race 8 #23 Hilo ... Currently $101



No. He has been nosed out of 3rd place.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Second Chance Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jul 2022 at 7:32pm
Oh no!  You'd rather it had a chequered passage for 7th but now likely shortish odds next start.  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Aug 2022 at 2:52pm
Flemington - Race 7 #8  Port Guillaume ... currently $61 ($75 Powered)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Foxseal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Aug 2022 at 3:16pm
Originally posted by Grey Affair Grey Affair wrote:

Flemington - Race 7 #8  Port Guillaume ... currently $61 ($75 Powered)
Wow that is rough!!  Looked like he might be coming good 3 starts ago but seems to have regressed in 2 starts since.

Good luck with him thought GA
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Second Chance Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Aug 2022 at 6:13pm
Suspect the last of his admirers may now have dropped off.
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Grey Affair View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Aug 2022 at 6:57pm
Pulled his head off for the first half of the race.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote marble Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13 Aug 2022 at 11:38am
daulat tai paniziz - eagle farm race 4, weak race and is much better in here at the handicap than last start. over the odds at 61
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2022 at 3:35pm
Randwick - Race 9 # 10 Realm Of Flowers ... currently $31

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grey Affair Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2022 at 7:39pm
I'm probably biased but thought she was extremely stiff not to win.

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