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Take2
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Joined: 04 Mar 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 7059 |
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Topic: MM 2026Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 9:39am |
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Cant see any threads for sales around so heres one, with my top 10
theres a few incl 966 that perhaps should be there but have no vids up yet had 130 left after doing my stuff, and FWIW the above are amongst the best IMO, all done on pedigree compatibilities and my take on Vuillier/AK dosage, which seems to work for that particular crew Edited by Take2 - 05 Jan 2026 at 9:42am |
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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GAJ
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 10:11am |
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Thanks Take2 will check those out with great interest, not buying but love to follow them through. The filly I sold there last year for too little! has gone back to Victoria, her half brother is still performing well in Brisbane (Rockribbed) The filly is called Mystery Fingers! has had a jump out, I am keen to see the progress as I Vobis nominated her.
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Take2
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 10:47am |
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that was a good jumpout Gaj, fingers crossed forya
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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Second Chance
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 11:06am |
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Trained by Darren Weir's daughter it'd appear so should be getting the good stuff.
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Second Chance
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 11:19am |
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Of those 644 a standout imo though potential purchasers might need very deep pockets.
81 has a great page but didn't fancy it as much on type. The stakes-winning 1/2 sister was bought out by a part-owner, exported to the USA, and subsequently sold as a broodmare for A$1m.
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Take2
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 12:17pm |
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thats the kicker with this stuff, TYPE which is how THEY do it, Ped, then TYPE, BTW, apparently my Royal Meeting is a knockout (don't think i have seen her since Xmas tho)
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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GAJ
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 5:06pm |
Thanks, it was a nice go, she looked comfortable, still a little thing, I think her size went against her at the sale. Hard to find a more pleasant filly in your stable. We called her blondie!
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GAJ
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 5:07pm |
Oh, !! I hear she is a good girl and good horsewoman - hope so..
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Second Chance
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 5:13pm |
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GAJ she did a proportion her training apprenticeship with Andrew Bobbin and that would have provided a sound grounding, particularly as one presumes she's training at her father's property which to a significant extent mirrors the setup at Bobbin's.
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GAJ
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Posted: 05 Jan 2026 at 10:25pm |
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Thanks SC good news👌
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Take2
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Posted: 07 Jan 2026 at 8:20am |
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checkout the vid on racing.com Gaj, now
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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GAJ
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Posted: 07 Jan 2026 at 10:38am |
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Thanks very much Take2 it took a bit of finding but -- little pocket rocket!
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GAJ
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Posted: 07 Jan 2026 at 3:18pm |
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Take2
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 2:02pm |
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In conjunction with the above top 10 lots IMO Day one MM2026 Sales Synopsis by Lot in ranked order, no guarantees on ability, but this is what I play with, and MY opinion • Lot 207: Exceptionally well-balanced dosage and profile, with a high pedigree index from both sire (Exceedance) and dam (Dayeala). This colt rates 9/10, is ideally suited to G1 sprints and miles (1200–1600m), and is a standout for top-level racing. • Lot 54: Strong middle-distance pedigree, combining stamina and speed influences; rates well. Optimum at 1400–1800m, prime G1/mile prospect. • Lot 81: Notably high speed profile, excellent for G1 sprints (1200–1600m). Rates well, with potential for elite performances at short distances. • Lot 183: Middle-distance focus with above-average pedigree index. Rates well. Likely best at 1600–2000m in G1/group races. • Lot 196: Versatile with a good balance of speed and class. rates well, likely to excel at mile races, strong group potential. • Lot 10: Speed and sprinting influence dominate. rates good, group class at shorter distances. • Lot 206: Balanced stamina and speed, suitable for classics. rates good, group potential. • Lot 186: Good stamina, listed/group potential. rates good, best at 1400–1800m. • Lot 57: Sprint-oriented, rates good, with the potential to progress to group class. • Lot 52: Group / listed level, rates good. • Lot 78: Speed but lacks stamina; rates ok, . • Lot 123: rates ok. Conclusion: The pedigree analysis identifies Lot 207 as having the strongest G1 racing credentials, with a robust combination of dosage, Profile, and Pedigree index factors. Lots 54 and 81 also show significant G1 potential, particularly at classic and sprint distances, respectively. Lower-ranked lots may still offer competitive prospects at group or provincial levels, depending on their development and training. Edited by Take2 - 13 Jan 2026 at 2:19pm |
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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Second Chance
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 2:54pm |
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81 has a great page but didn't fancy it as much on type And is passed in following a modest (probably run up) bid of $160k. |
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Take2
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 4:13pm |
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As i cut and paste from my excel worksheet, I left out lot 20, which should have been there, not becos it made 330K but becos i scidnt scroll far enuff and left it hidden and missed it when i did the ratings, anyway here he is https://catalogue.magicmillions.com.au/lot/26GPR/20
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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GAJ
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 4:28pm |
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I have not had any time to see the sales today, but just had a quick look at your top pick Take 2, 207 all aside the great attributes of your methodology, I would be a bit concerned about his front pasterns, seems like a bit too sloping in the pic and video, also he is turning out in front and behind. In saying that, sometimes do we see top performers with obvious conformation flaws.
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Take2
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 5:44pm |
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thats the kicker, all the pedigree appraisals in the world duzn help if there is conformational defects, which, cant always be picked up in pics and vids and why a close personal check is always advisable, and, the way the AK did it, if u check out a "game of chess and nature" you see them poring over peds , and then doing the hard yards with the visuals, and in a group, not just one person tasked, and then they have to concur, before proceeding or culling
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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Second Chance
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 6:44pm |
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Lot 207 passed in without as much as a single genuine bid. Which sorry to say imo comes as little surprise.
Suspect he could be privately secured for $40k absolute tops for anyone who fancies him.
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Take2
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 8:23pm |
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as ppl who follow my posts know, i have very little confidence of high priced lots succeeding, however, lot 183 apparently satified a few tyre kickers sold for $850k
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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Take2
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 8:37pm |
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ok mixed bag for day one heres my expanded list for day 2, in my expanded list for Day 1, Included all that rated 6/10 and above, the same here
Day 2 • Lot 319: Outstanding G1 potential, with low dosages and perfectly balanced Profile. Index and dosage indicate versatility and powerful finish at 1600–2000m. • Lot 370: Classic profile, low dosages, balanced profile, and index support G1 success at mile to 2000m. • Lot 286: Strong G1 credentials, low dosages, versatile profile, best suited to 1600–2000m. • Lot 348: Near-ideal dosages, stamina edge, profile and index supports G1 potential with a strong finish in classic events. • Lot 241: Classic distance potential, moderate speed and stamina, closing strength for G1 races. • Lot 255: Balanced, slightly above ideal dosage, maybe a reliable G1 or group performer at 1800–2000m. • Lot 332: Stamina leaning, triad balance, best suited to longer classic distances. • Lot 273: Dosage at upper classic limit, strong staying profile, G1 scope at 2000–2200m. • Lot 312: Versatile, profile and index support staying G1 chances at 2000m. • Lot 249: Dosages at upper threshold, stamina profile, possible G1 prospects at 2000–2200m. • Lot 358: Stamina dominant, G1 potential maybe best suited to staying events (2000–2400m). • Lot 381: Dosage and dam at limit, strong stamina, niche G1 staying events only. Edited by Take2 - 13 Jan 2026 at 8:39pm |
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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Take2
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 8:53pm |
yes Gaj, that is the collective vagaries of breeding and racing and interpreting all in between which usually means conformation and mechanics, horses like the below never pleased too many conformational whiz kids, but it never curtailed their racing
Edited by Gay3 - 14 Jan 2026 at 12:12pm |
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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GAJ
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 9:15pm |
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Probably have to add VS to this list
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GAJ
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Posted: 13 Jan 2026 at 9:17pm |
just c and p from your post! Sickle Hocks:
While traditionally seen as a weakness, a horse with sickle hocks can
sometimes have "really active" hind legs, providing a coiled-spring
effect for explosive acceleration, (some of the above and all the below
is from google) sorry about the longwinded response but (as usual) A "sound pedigree" does not physically correct a conformational fault, but it can provide the functional biomechanics and resilience necessary for a horse to overcome physical limitations and succeed on the racetrack.
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GAJ
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Posted: 14 Jan 2026 at 7:46am |
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Another assumption we could make is while the conformation faults do not effect the ability rather the life of their racing career.
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GAJ
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Posted: 14 Jan 2026 at 7:52am |
Sold! $100,000 someone read Take2 critique 😊
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Second Chance
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Posted: 14 Jan 2026 at 7:59am |
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Or got sucked into making such an offer, given there clearly wasn't a single valid bid. And I watched it live.
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Take2
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Posted: 14 Jan 2026 at 9:11am |
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back on track for today, heading down for nxt few daze • Lot 319: Outstanding G1 potential, with
low dosages and perfectly balanced Profile. Index and dosage indicate
versatility and powerful finish at 1600–2000m. • Lot 370: Classic profile, low dosages,
balanced profile, and index support G1 success at mile to 2000m. • Lot 286: Strong G1 credentials, low
dosages, versatile profile, best suited to 1600–2000m. • Lot 348: Near-ideal dosages, stamina
edge, profile and index supports G1 potential with a strong finish in classic
events. • Lot 241: Classic distance potential,
moderate speed and stamina, closing strength for G1 races. • Lot 255: Balanced, slightly above
ideal dosage, maybe a reliable G1 or group performer at 1800–2000m. • Lot 332: Stamina leaning, triad
balance, best suited to longer classic distances. • Lot 273: Dosage at upper classic
limit, strong staying profile, G1 scope at 2000–2200m. • Lot 312: Versatile, profile and index
support staying G1 chances at 2000m. • Lot 249: Dosages at upper threshold,
stamina profile, possible G1 prospects at 2000–2200m. • Lot 358: Stamina dominant, G1
potential maybe best suited to staying events (2000–2400m). • Lot 381: Dosage and dam at limit,
strong stamina, niche G1 staying events only |
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change is simply a destination on a journey reached by taking the first step (i said that) lol
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Second Chance
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Posted: 14 Jan 2026 at 10:38am |
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Thought Lot 332 would sell for a 7-figure sum if he was a correct type, but see he's been withdrawn.
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Second Chance
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Posted: 14 Jan 2026 at 5:19pm |
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Thought Lot 198 (Toronado - Crystal Rock) was a top purchase at just $90k.
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