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Melbourne Cup System - Tony Arrold

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Gay3 View Drop Down
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    Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 12:37pm
I can never find it each year so this should simplify the search for me LOL

1. The only horses to be considered are those that ran 1st, 2nd or third in these qualifying races:

Caulfield Cup

Moonee Valley Cup

MacKinnon Stakes

2. Eliminate all three year olds

3. Eliminate the winner of the Moonee Valley Cup and replace it with the 4th horse in that race but only IF the winner is penalised for its win in the Cup weights




Edited by Gay3 - 03 Nov 2025 at 1:13pm
It takes a wise man a lifetime to grow a tree and a fool five minutes to kill one.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 1:27pm
Mackinnon Stakes is run after the Melbourne Cup on the last day of the emanating Melbourne Cup carnival
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 1:41pm
When Tony Arrold put this system together in the late 70's I think, the LKS McKinnon Stakes was run on Derby Day.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote blackhole Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 1:49pm
So, does it work?
Smile
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 1:56pm
It stopped working when the imports started coming in numbers, many not racing in his system races.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 1:58pm
It had an incredible record up until then.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 2:02pm
I know it had Prince of Penzance at 100/1 - via MV Cup; that'd keep punters going for a while LOL
Verry Eleegant 2021 Caul. Cup
Vow & Declare 2019 Caul. Cup.




Edited by Gay3 - 01 Nov 2022 at 2:10pm
It takes a wise man a lifetime to grow a tree and a fool five minutes to kill one.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 2:02pm
Certainly did PT. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Second Chance Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 2:15pm
So maybe those who once followed this system simply scrub the MacKinnon and insert NH fly-ins and see how it goes.  Smile
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 2:20pm
Well you'd/we'd need to come up with some parameters or qualifying rules Big smile
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 2:21pm
The thinking behind the McKinnon was that a lot of Cup horses used it as a ''barrier trial'' splitting the Caulfield Cup and MV Cup going into the MC and only 3 days before it.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 2:26pm
With the MV Cup it was considered inferior to the Caulfield Cup but some winners got a penalty. Tony said the couldn't win with the penalty so he replaced it with the 4th horse.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Second Chance Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 2:30pm
Originally posted by Second Chance Second Chance wrote:

So maybe those who once followed this system simply scrub the MacKinnon and insert NH fly-ins and see how it goes.  Smile

Which unless I've made a mistake this would leave you with:

Gold Trip $17; Knight's Order $14; Without A Fight $11; Deauville Legend $4.4 and Hoo Ya Mal $15.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 3:10pm
When I first posted, I came up with only the 2: Gold Trip & Knight's Order so it strikes again at great odds Clap Zahra rode him better than his latest French slaughter job!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Nov 2022 at 3:15pm
Yes , the Cox Plate ride was awfull .
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Nov 2025 at 1:18pm
Originally posted by Second Chance Second Chance wrote:

Originally posted by Second Chance Second Chance wrote:

So maybe those who once followed this system simply scrub the MacKinnon and insert NH fly-ins and see how it goes.  Smile

Which unless I've made a mistake this would leave you with:

Gold Trip $17; Knight's Order $14; Without A Fight $11; Deauville Legend $4.4 and Hoo Ya Mal $15.



And Gold Trip duly saluted Clap  Without A Fight the following year.
It takes a wise man a lifetime to grow a tree and a fool five minutes to kill one.
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