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Climate Change - Global Warming.. |
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maccamax ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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hatch ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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You say I am an idiot ,Fiddly has me as a liar , I must be easy picking , the bet can be if I have the money on hand , and what Fiddly was wanting to bet . Don't be wimps I might be bluffing. |
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hatch ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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Ahhh Hatch. Never let the facts get in the way of a good story.
Using one of the hottest years on record as a baseline , is where the likes of Bob Carter make their money. I doubt Hatch ever donated but he's free to be as wrong as he is, at least Hatch isn't doing it for money. 1998 represented a 0.63 anomaly only 2005 and 10 were above that trend. Every year post has been 0.62 to 0.57. He presto, its not getting warmer than 1998, yet we all know it is. El Nino and his friends were in action in 98 yet when the reverse flow occurred we kept increasing in temps. Its a common misconception that's repeated ad infinitum by the denialists as STATISTICALLY speaking (using 98 as the base or start line) correct. Hatch its high time you answered my questions as you seem pretty keen on attacking the seams to unravel the thread, do you enjoy any energy saving devices or insulation in your home? A solar panel? |
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hatch ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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Yes 25 panels on the roof , light saving bulbs ,I cut wood for a wood fire to save power |
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hatch ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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Can someone please post the articles , global warming in the last 15 years ,there is multiple sites , just type that ,global warming in the last 15 years , Fiddly doesn't want to do it, also type in scientists baffled by increasing sea ice in the Antarctic .
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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So you've benefitted financially from climate change being a business driver.
Its not all doom and gloom, its just about accepting a science , collaborating with it and moving on. The worlds not going to end and IF the scientists are wrong or it works we can still use the cheaper fuel alternatives and we will have power to spare for industry. In other words its a win , win if we act. But a win now, lose long term if we don't. If the science is wrong no one gets hurt. If its right and we do nothing at all, we as a species get hurt. |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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Already done baffled, I told you that. Its currents and Antarctica is a land mass.
The globe HAS WARMED in the last 15 years. That's fact. Take it away NASA..... Global temperature rise All three major global surface temperature reconstructions show that Earth has warmed since 1880.5 Most of this warming has occurred since the 1970s, with the 20 warmest years having occurred since 1981 and with all 10 of the warmest years occurring in the past 12 years.6 Even though the 2000s witnessed a solar output decline resulting in an unusually deep solar minimum in 2007-2009, surface temperatures continue to increase Hatch we have warmed but 98 was a REAL hot one, and that is being used as the BASELINE. So when measuring the past 15 years -which is half of the usual time span measured- 98 stands out ONLY FOR INCREASE in temp for a solar year. So if you start a graph measuring EACH years increase 1998 starting of course , its almost a flat line. Measure it in average temperature and 10 out of the last 12 are the warmest. Its a massively skewed INDIVIDUAL statistic twisted to provide financial gain and pilloried widely. |
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hatch ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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I think you are moving in the right direction Bagman , twice mentioning " if science is wrong " well done. |
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oneonesit ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 34802 |
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We have been down this path before...however Bagman wants to be critical of Hatch re the baselines he uses to make a point (1998, 2005). Well as I understand it temperatures have been rising since the end of "the little ice age" (1850)...& temperatures being experienced now are still cooler than 90% of the time over the past 10,000 years...the majority of which were not influenced man shoving CO2 into the air. Furthermore, 2013 IPCC report seems to have problems explaining the flat lining of temperatures over the past 16 years vs. considerable increase in CO2 concentrations...& seem reticent to tackle this point in the latest report. What is becoming more widely accepted is the correlation of cosmic ray activity ( from the Suns sunspots)& temperature. This solar activity has been the greatest in the past 50 years since the last medieval warmth 1,000 years ago...until recently when sunspots reverted to a "grand minimum" re activity. Bottom line the IPPC case seems to be falling down around them...but they won't be admitting to that anytime soon...not until the next "disaster theory" comes along anyway...gotta keep themselves employed ! |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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You can take it that way if you like or you could re read it and understand it.
Understanding doent appear a strong suit with you and facts seem to be nothing more than a nuisance to you. Its for those reasons and that its now become tiresome to keep explaining things to you that the average 16 year old can comprehend that I say this... I give up on you. You are a lost cause and an individual that is more intent on being argumentative. You constantly display a complete lack of knowledge in the area yet proclaim to be above science, facts and the welfare of your fellow man. I shall no longer be corresponding with you on this subject as I have better things to do and gave up talking to brick walls in my 20's. You win. |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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You are hilarious Oneonesit.
You argue FOR using data from 1998 yet argue for data from 1850 no less. Again someone argues against themselves and doesn't even know it. Your lack of knowledge on temperature records on a global scale beggars belief. Since 1850 .... honestly you guys are dead ends. Se la Guerre.... |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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ionospheric temp , ocean temp, polar temp.... 1850.
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oneonesit ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 34802 |
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You see Bagman not everyone has to agree with you...that's life. This topic is hotly contested all around the world...yet you refer to me as a goose because I see "the facts" differently to how you see them...again...get over it. You always seem to be so full of facts...but to my mind you lack basic logic. If the planet has experienced hotter temperatures than present for 90% of the last 10,000 years...what are we on about. Anyhow take your marble bag & go home ! |
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Fiddlesticks ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 31 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 48042 |
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You are abviously a wind up merchant, find a single post where I said I agree or believe in global warming...? How bout you stop wasting peoples time and end your ridiculous trolling of this thread hatch, go read the very first post I made when first started this thread, you know how to to do that don't you Mr 600K man... ![]() |
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Panspermia.
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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I am still trying to see any fact differently Oneonesit.
Gravity. Check. Stars up and Sun down? Check. Your a belligerent who will make any excuse to deny facts? ........ |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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I just figured that out too Fiddlesticks.
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oneonesit ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 34802 |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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Onesy, ONE MORE TIME its increased QUICKER than it should have or is.
You see you don't understand that FACT as you don't want to. Its simple so why bother anymore. Ive said that a thousand times and you just will not accept it or believe it. Its NOT a matter of belief. Belief is something that you don't have facts to prove yet do. Global warming is not a choice or a matter of choosing religions. I do apologise for spitting the dummy, its frustrating when you learn about something dispassionately and it WILL affect my livelihood if true, yet we need to slow down and take a moment and realise how good we are.... and the effects that come with that. Cause and effect. It WILL cost me money, but that's not as important as my kids or grandkids. I'd rather leave them a prosperous and worry free future and diversify than leave them financially sound and a nervous future. |
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Bagman ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 4082 |
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You may ridicule away as I still believe there is a point to be put up and I acted as I suggested.
I may however been proven correct by your last effort. So, thanks. |
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Browndog ![]() Moderator Group ![]() ![]() Joined: 30 Oct 2009 Location: Brunswick Hds N Status: Offline Points: 35559 |
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It;s pretty simple 4 degrees increase in 1 million years 1 degree the next 120 years
The last 120 years temperatures have increased at 2,000 times the rate
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JudgeHolden ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11700 |
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Have you looked into that claim at all, one one? Because it comes from well known denier Don Easterbrook, has beenblog.hotwhopper.com/2013/10hotwhopper-fodder-denier-don.html disseminated by the likes of Andrew Bolt and co but has no basis in fact. Here's the truth of the matter. You probably won't read it but here is the salient point, with links: "Even allowing for uncertainty ranges in Marcott et al, the current surface temperature is likely to be at or above any previously seen in the entire Holocene or any time in more than 20,000 years, looking at the chart below (including Shakun et al (2012)."
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oneonesit ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 34802 |
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oneonesit ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 34802 |
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So BD's temperature graph on page 19 of this thread is hocus pocus Judge ? |
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JudgeHolden ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11700 |
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The line "the planet has experienced hotter temperatures than present for 90% of the last 10,000 years", where did you get it from. And where is the science that supports it?
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oneonesit ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 34802 |
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JudgeHolden ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11700 |
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Well I certainly quote from sources that have links to actual science. You don't, because there is no science to substantiate your claim. Or if there is, let's hear it.
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oneonesit ![]() Champion ![]() ![]() Joined: 06 Aug 2012 Status: Offline Points: 34802 |
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Straight from Wikipedia...Medieval Warm Period...."lasting from about AD 950 till 1250"..."temperatures were probably between 0.1 c & 0.2 c below the 1961 to 1990 mean"...."temperatures in some regions appear to have matched or exceeded recent temperatures in these regions" Certainly won't see those "facts" repeated by HOTWHOPPER...bit too close for comfort that information ! |
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JudgeHolden ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11700 |
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...and the bit about warmer 90% of the last 10,000 years than now....?
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JudgeHolden ![]() Champion ![]() Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11700 |
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And on your little red herring, while the Medieval Warm Period saw unusually warm temperatures in some regions, globally the planet was cooler than current conditions.
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