Go to Villagebet.com.au for free horse racing tips - Click here now |
|
Tom Melbourne |
Post Reply | Page 123 8> |
Author | ||
SYT
Champion Joined: 10 Oct 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8337 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
Posted: 31 Mar 2016 at 11:57am |
|
Best bet in Melb on Saturday... wins this weekend to book himself a spot in the Caulfield Cup field!
|
||
Straight Connector
Champion Joined: 27 Aug 2015 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 1702 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
The only bet in Melbourne this weekend.
|
||
Nocturnal
Champion Joined: 26 Sep 2008 Location: at the 800 Status: Offline Points: 13667 |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
|
took $9.88 the treble Tom/tarzino/Winx.... watch one of them get beaten
|
||
The only problem with backing winners ? You never have enough on....
|
||
Straight Connector
Champion Joined: 27 Aug 2015 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 1702 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
I hope not. I'm with you there.
|
||
Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Agreed.
Wasn't Master Zephyr supposed to be in this race?
|
||
Sunline...simply supreme
|
||
Red Hare
Champion Joined: 12 Jan 2015 Location: Victoria Status: Offline Points: 4233 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Tom is the weak link in that treble. Pemberley, Observational & Dandy Gent are all worthy of respect.
|
||
Magnolian Khan
Champion Joined: 23 Dec 2015 Location: SA Status: Offline Points: 8437 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
No. He is being set for Warrnambool Cup in May
|
||
ChiefDeBeers
Foal Joined: 21 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 4 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
He maybe good winner Sat, spruik has probably gone fair bit ahead of him though.
Days of Caulfield Cup being won by whacker with nice weight seem to have moved on bit. He will have to improve hell of lot between campaigns to be a genuine Caulfield Cup hope IMO.
|
||
Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
|
||
Sunline...simply supreme
|
||
Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
|
Not sure what to make of the form out of Albury, but I'm inclined to think it is awful, the margins flattering, and fairly meaningless, other than to say he appears to handle the wet.
Not seen the race, but apparently was a Heavy 10, and he was so far in front but so erratic, he was able to be pulled up and virtually walk over the line. First run on a wet track - might just be a superior wet tracker? The time was nothing special - 8.9 seconds outside the record - the 2400m BM63 was only 9.9 sec outside that record. His wet track ability may also appear better than it is, when considering that the remainder of the field has a combined record on Heavy tracks of 31:1-4-2 ... so he may have just struck a bunch of wet track duffers ... the margins suggest that is the case. Not sure how good the 2nd horse is, but not much on face value - unplaced behind some plodders in the Corowa Cup previous, and best win of 3 is a 1200m Cootamundra BM60??? 3rd was the mighty Hippopus, who I suggest is down there en route to the 'bool, but was coming off a surprise Canberra Cup win ... he's far from consistent these days. Don't believe this race enhances his form, and though the previous win was good, not sure it was good enough to have him so far ahead of a couple of the other hopes on Saturday.
|
||
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
|
||
poczynek
Champion Joined: 25 Aug 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1281 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
'Not seen the race'.
|
||
Underground
Champion Joined: 18 Aug 2012 Location: Sydn Status: Offline Points: 683 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
the last thing I took from that race was that he appreciated the wet track lol. Never seen a win like it. there are some nice formlines from his prior wins, I'll be all over him Sat
|
||
cabosanlucas
Champion Joined: 15 Jun 2013 Status: Offline Points: 7363 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Freedman said post race at albury "if it was a dry track today, he was a moral, he had lengths on that field". He is a serious horse, how serious we dont really know yet.
|
||
djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
He's a gelding. He can not be too serious a horse.
|
||
reductio ad absurdum
|
||
Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
|
That's what I said - have heard it described by others, but can't find any vision - anything you have to contribute would be appreciated - cheers!
|
||
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
|
||
Underground
Champion Joined: 18 Aug 2012 Location: Sydn Status: Offline Points: 683 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
http://racing.racingnsw.com.au/InteractiveForm/HorseFullForm.aspx?HorseCode=NDYxMTA2OTQ0&src=horsesearch
option should be there to watch the full race or final 400m
|
||
Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Cheers U ... still don't know what to make of it, except if he had been up against a genuine wet tracker of any ability, he may well have thrown it away that last 200m ... as I said, previous run was a beauty, but that wasn't pretty at all ... don't think I will be backing him at the short quote this week, and will let the rest of them go around without me next time they find a wet track.
|
||
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
|
||
Red Hare
Champion Joined: 12 Jan 2015 Location: Victoria Status: Offline Points: 4233 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Observational to be more positive early. At least makes a race of it.
|
||
Magnolian Khan
Champion Joined: 23 Dec 2015 Location: SA Status: Offline Points: 8437 |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
|
I know they sometimes breathalyse the riders but I think they needed to test this horse, plodded like a the town drunk on his way home from the pub on a Friday night up the straight
|
||
Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
I'm already on. Liked the last 2 runs - both much stronger and higher rating races than anything Tom M's run in, and the 2400m would seem ideal 3rd up. He was out of his depth, but did race against Snow Sky and Postponed in UK, so some pretence to class. Good to hear he will be closer - Mujadale will put the acid on Tom M, and a couple of others could also go forward (Don Doremo, Adirondack, Tunes, Tuscan Fire) , so there will be no loafing and a true staying test. The wobble that Tom had at the end of his last race is a concern. Observational and Big Memory will have the drop on them all if they show any weakness in the last 100m - taking that quinella too. Lucky Lucky Lucky's form through Sir John Hawkwood looks good now and he's the roughie for me. Good luck to all who are with him, and Tom Melbourne could well have lengths on them all and be a genuine Caulfield Cup contender. No value at $2.30 now!!!
|
||
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
|
||
Kingy
Champion Joined: 14 Oct 2009 Location: Warrnambool Status: Offline Points: 8310 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
BIG MEMORY the big danger today, will be cherry ripe. Looks like the quinella horse IMO (at least).
TOM's got some bad habits though, will be a great stayer once he matures properly.
|
||
Magnolian Khan
Champion Joined: 23 Dec 2015 Location: SA Status: Offline Points: 8437 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Ploddalong De Plod is no star.
|
||
Ecair Issoire
Champion Joined: 10 Nov 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16586 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Good post above Dr E..
Beat nothing in he slop..then backed like he was phar lap. Some get excited when an ex euro horse shows something. |
||
Znatchy
Champion Joined: 20 Feb 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 5328 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Ridden like an Oakleigh Plater with 50kg doesn't help.
The other two horses on the speed tailed off as well. Big Memory was a great run given he did the donkey work.
|
||
whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Freedman boom horse
|
||
Lord Hybrow
Champion Joined: 05 Jul 2015 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 6665 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
he was pretty disappointing today, but I'm sure he's still learning to be a racehorse.
There will be suitable Spring races for him to target, such as the Heatherlie Hcp & the Coongy Hcp.
|
||
Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Cheers EI - got to get them right sometimes! "Lucky Lucky Lucky's form through Sir John Hawkwood looks good now and he's the roughie for me." Was happy with the $7.20 place for LLL Agree with Lord H ... still expect Tom M to improve into a good horse, but he is still learning, first go at 2400m, and against much better performed animals, he was simply priced wrong.
|
||
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
|
||
Red Hare
Champion Joined: 12 Jan 2015 Location: Victoria Status: Offline Points: 4233 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
I was thinking that 'more positive' was going to be 'midfield, no worse than 5L off the lead - as opposed to last' not what eventuated today.
|
||
Isaac soloman
Champion Joined: 13 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 6085 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
I think the the race record was broken by 4 seconds. If that is right the horse was entitled to fail and sack the jockey. Havnt seen the stewards report but at one point he looked really uncomfortable in his action and was hanging badly.
|
||
Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Offline Points: 51993 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
|
Initially that's what I understood the remark to mean but he finished with something like "but they didn't seem to be dawdling" so I realised they must've been 4 secs slower than the record |
||
Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
|
||
Post Reply | Page 123 8> |
Tweet |
Forum Jump | Forum Permissions You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot create polls in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum |