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The Trump Presidency

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote marble Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Dec 2018 at 12:42pm
latest - Trump committed a felony! go donny the supposed multi millionaire using campaign finances to buy silence on his dirty affairs
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Quote Marble.

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Quote CNNPT.

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Shammy is Trump the first un-indicted co-conspirator/criminal President since Nixon?
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Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Shammy is Trump the first un-indicted co-conspirator/criminal President since Nixon?
Yes, but it is just a prosecution term to imply an assumption. It really implies nothing other than Mueller does not have enough evidence to criminally indict but is making an attempt to make a criminal relationship between Cohen and Trump. Don't get too excited. There is some suggestion the judge in the Cohen case will reject the sentencing memo because of all the redactions.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 Dec 2018 at 10:06am
What do you think was the point of including the suggestion that he was implicated in 2 campaign finance crimes, but didn't go further? 

As I pointed out last week the Deutsche Bank raid may well have been about Trump/Russia, and as it is the only bank willing to do business with Trump there could be evidence of tax(state and federal - Gamble decision will be important hereWink)banking, wire fraud criminality that logically follows from the campaign fraud, if proven. It is these crimes that put Manafort in prison for the remainder of his life.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 Dec 2018 at 10:10am
I haven't read it all yet Shammy(235 pages Shocked) but I found this exchange interesting between Gowdy, Comey and the FBI lawyer Cecilia Bessee. Did she confirm that Mr Mueller is investigating Trump for obstruction? I have never seen it stated anywhere, only speculated.

Page 31 if you look for it.Wink

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The Twitter lawyers, including some very good real ones are starting to explore Spiro Agnew possibilities rather than the last 2 years of Nixon comparisons. 

An excellent argument being the fact that if Trump loses the 2020 election, his bargaining power for immunity goes out the window. His best chance is to strike a deal while he still has bargaining power. 

He has a very competent incoming(likely) Attorney General now to manage the negotiations, should it be necessary. 

Impeachment odds shortening with every Mueller submission. In to odds on now. $1.81
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Hey Shammy, I think Rudy read the Comey transcript. He knows he is going to prison. All the clues were there. Mr Comey is now trolling team treason He knows what is coming. Wink

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Seems lyin' leakin' Comey has Donald rattled also.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Dec 2018 at 11:51am
Hey Shammy, who will the new COS be? 

I see Nick Ayers doesn't want to get involved and has even jumped ship from the sinking Pence show.

He knows they are all going down.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote marble Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Dec 2018 at 12:00pm
Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Hey Shammy, who will the new COS be? 

I see Nick Ayers doesn't want to get involved and has even jumped ship from the sinking Pence show.

He knows they are all going down.

who'd want it? Kelly kept the child in chief under some sort of control. The clowns will now be running the circus
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stayer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Dec 2018 at 5:33pm
Geez I thought maybe the #realnews about the France (and spreading) movement might at least get a mention here because Donald clumsily waded into it...

Lefties still trying to come up with a consensus opinion about it that deflects from the real issues?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Dec 2018 at 5:55pm
There is nothing stopping you  finally contributing something after 709 pages, rather than just sniping. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Dec 2018 at 5:59pm
Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

There is nothing stopping you  finally contributing something after 709 pages, rather than just sniping. 

LOLLOL

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Contributed a hell of a lot more than your 708 pages, PT!
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Nobody wants to babysit Donald, and nobody wants the cost of legal fees that goes with being associated with him. Funny how both Trump and Pence COS quit the same weekend Trump became an un-indicted felon.

NEW: A source close to Mulvaney tells me he is no longer interested in COS job, Mnuchin and Lighthizer sending out same signals.... list of potential replacements for Kelly shrinking by the hour.
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Originally posted by stayer stayer wrote:

Contributed a hell of a lot more than your 708 pages, PT!


CNNPT thinks he is providing the world a public service by reposting old regurgitated Trump news. Then he attacks it as if we yanks are totally ignorant of what is going on in our country.

Clearly OZ has some big issues. NYT reports today that a lawsuit claims crimes against humanity in you migrant detention camps. Then, there is your government where no confidence is the rule, not the exception. And, of course your relationship with China is aggravating. Got are our Marines hold up in Darwin, a port apparently owned by the Chinese while our Navy challenges them to allow free international passage in your surrounding seas. Who is confused here? If it weren't for the fact that the UK is in worse shape than OZ, I might have earlier suggested you revert to being a colony.

CNNPT hardly owns a bully pulpit or snipers loft on POTUS based on current events in OZ. Besides, CNNPT keeps shooting himself in the foot. His bullseye, POTUS, remains unstruck. No marksmanship there.

Stayer, keep at it. A few well chosen thoughts beats a thread full of nonsense everytime.
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Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Nobody wants to babysit Donald, and nobody wants the cost of legal fees that goes with being associated with him. Funny how both Trump and Pence COS quit the same weekend Trump became an un-indicted felon.
<span style="color: rgb20, 23, 26; font-family: "Segoe UI", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 0.27px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
</span>
<span style="color: rgb20, 23, 26; font-family: "Segoe UI", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 0.27px; white-space: pre-wrap;">NEW: A source close to Mulvaney tells me he is no longer interested in COS job, Mnuchin and Lighthizer sending out same signals.... list of potential replacements for Kelly shrinking by the hour.</span>
Someone will take the job and that will end this line of sniping for you. You always leave out the decision reasoning and post the biased headlines. Pence's COS wanted to spend more time with his family and apparently will be heading up a MAGA Pacific after the 1st of the year. He told Trump, he would take the position temporally until a permanent appointment could be found. Doesn't look like anyone is jumping ship.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 5:57am
Originally posted by Shammy Davis Shammy Davis wrote:

Originally posted by stayer stayer wrote:

Contributed a hell of a lot more than your 708 pages, PT!


CNNPT thinks he is providing the world a public service by reposting old regurgitated Trump news. Then he attacks it as if we yanks are totally ignorant of what is going on in our country.

Clearly OZ has some big issues. NYT reports today that a lawsuit claims crimes against humanity in you migrant detention camps. Then, there is your government where no confidence is the rule, not the exception. And, of course your relationship with China is aggravating. Got are our Marines hold up in Darwin, a port apparently owned by the Chinese while our Navy challenges them to allow free international passage in your surrounding seas. Who is confused here? If it weren't for the fact that the UK is in worse shape than OZ, I might have earlier suggested you revert to being a colony.

CNNPT hardly owns a bully pulpit or snipers loft on POTUS based on current events in OZ. Besides, CNNPT keeps shooting himself in the foot. His bullseye, POTUS, remains unstruck. No marksmanship there.

Stayer, keep at it. A few well chosen thoughts beats a thread full of nonsense everytime.

Is it alright to call you Shammy, or should I find a derogatory epithet to snipe you with?Embarrassed

If you know what a sh*tshow the Trump circus is, why haven't you done something about it yet? As for nothing new this is a rolling crime spree, and I am sure you would like criticism of it to just go away so you can shove your collective Republicans heads somewhere, but it isn't going to happen. We are invested in the destruction you are leveling on the Western world order in the name of profit(Trump profit). 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 6:11am
Originally posted by Shammy Davis Shammy Davis wrote:

Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Nobody wants to babysit Donald, and nobody wants the cost of legal fees that goes with being associated with him. Funny how both Trump and Pence COS quit the same weekend Trump became an un-indicted felon.
<span style="color: rgb20, 23, 26; font-family: "Segoe UI", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 0.27px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
</span>
<span style="color: rgb20, 23, 26; font-family: "Segoe UI", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 0.27px; white-space: pre-wrap;">NEW: A source close to Mulvaney tells me he is no longer interested in COS job, Mnuchin and Lighthizer sending out same signals.... list of potential replacements for Kelly shrinking by the hour.</span>
Someone will take the job and that will end this line of sniping for you. You always leave out the decision reasoning and post the biased headlines. Pence's COS wanted to spend more time with his family and apparently will be heading up a MAGA Pacific after the 1st of the year. He told Trump, he would take the position temporally until a permanent appointment could be found. Doesn't look like anyone is jumping ship.

Spend more time with his family. Geez, never heard that one before from a politician on his way out the door. 
Was it Ayres who was mentioned in the Manafort sentencing documents  who was the person/s that Paulie was communicating with in the Trump administration?

6 corrupt middle aged white guys have put their hands up for the job, although half of them are reported to be praying to not be picked. Mnuchin says he has a 4 day a week job now and doesn't like Friday's, especially Mueller Fridays. He doesn't want to wiping Trump's arse on that day.  Meadows is keen to do it apparently. Going into minority in 3 weeks time his pro Trump stunts are over and committees will start doing actual oversight. Might even start investigating him and Nunes.Embarrassed

Maybe from inside the WH he can advise Trump on dealing with his pet subject, budget repair and debt reduction. LOL  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote marble Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 6:13am
Originally posted by Shammy Davis Shammy Davis wrote:

Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Nobody wants to babysit Donald, and nobody wants the cost of legal fees that goes with being associated with him. Funny how both Trump and Pence COS quit the same weekend Trump became an un-indicted felon.
<span style="color: rgb20, 23, 26; font-family: "Segoe UI", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 0.27px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
</span>
<span style="color: rgb20, 23, 26; font-family: "Segoe UI", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 0.27px; white-space: pre-wrap;">NEW: A source close to Mulvaney tells me he is no longer interested in COS job, Mnuchin and Lighthizer sending out same signals.... list of potential replacements for Kelly shrinking by the hour.</span>
Someone will take the job and that will end this line of sniping for you. You always leave out the decision reasoning and post the biased headlines. Pence's COS wanted to spend more time with his family and apparently will be heading up a MAGA Pacific after the 1st of the year. He told Trump, he would take the position temporally until a permanent appointment could be found. Doesn't look like anyone is jumping ship.

Shammy,
whoever takes the job is risking their political future . Trump is badly on the nose .
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shammy Davis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 7:04am
Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Originally posted by Shammy Davis Shammy Davis wrote:

Originally posted by stayer stayer wrote:

Contributed a hell of a lot more than your 708 pages, PT!


CNNPT thinks he is providing the world a public service by reposting old regurgitated Trump news. Then he attacks it as if we yanks are totally ignorant of what is going on in our country.

Clearly OZ has some big issues. NYT reports today that a lawsuit claims crimes against humanity in you migrant detention camps. Then, there is your government where no confidence is the rule, not the exception. And, of course your relationship with China is aggravating. Got are our Marines hold up in Darwin, a port apparently owned by the Chinese while our Navy challenges them to allow free international passage in your surrounding seas. Who is confused here? If it weren't for the fact that the UK is in worse shape than OZ, I might have earlier suggested you revert to being a colony.

CNNPT hardly owns a bully pulpit or snipers loft on POTUS based on current events in OZ. Besides, CNNPT keeps shooting himself in the foot. His bullseye, POTUS, remains unstruck. No marksmanship there.

Stayer, keep at it. A few well chosen thoughts beats a thread full of nonsense everytime.


Is it alright to call you Shammy . . .?
Of course you can. As far sh*tshow, I don't see it, unless you are referring to your participation on this thread.   
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It is usually hard to see it when you are consumed by it and so heavily invested in it Shammy.

Your former Republican mates think it is just about time to remove the albatross from around their necks soon and try to save something ahead of 2020.

Even you may see it one day.Thumbs Up
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 7:36am
Hey Shammy, what is smocking?Confused

''The simple private transaction'' Is that the payments to women he claimed never happened...until of course Cohen produced tapes and Rudy blurted it out to Hannity? The look on Sean's face was priceless. ''Oh, I didn't know that'' 

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Opinion

Donald Trump owns this stock market

At the risk of engaging in narrative fallacy (with a dash of hindsight bias), let's consider three distinct policies of this administration, and how they are hurting the economy and markets:

Higher interest rates: Trump replaced Janet Yellen, a dovish Federal Reserve chief (whose policies he liked), with hawkish Jerome Powell, whose policies he dislikes. Rates have gone higher, and it is the proximate result of the president's appointment.

There is no one else to blame for this mistake but the president. Powell's leanings were well known; so too were those of Trump's appointment for vice chairman, Richard Clarida. This self-inflicted error is perplexing - when Trump was running for office, he berated Yellen, saying she "should be ashamed that rates were so low." We have since found out that he did not re-appoint Yellen because he felt that, at 5-foot, 3-inches, she was "too short" to run the central bank. This has to be one of the great unforced mistakes in the postwar history of US monetary policy.

Global recession concerns: Rising rates have helped push the yield curve toward inversion, with short-term rates higher than long-term rates. At least the five-year and the two-year Treasuries have inverted; the classic recession warning is when yields on 10-year and the two-year securities invert.

Now, we see broader signs that global growth is slowing. Corporate profits may have hit a peak (1). Economies are cyclical, and the US has gone almost a decade without a recession, roughly two times longer than the average interval between slowdowns. That implies we are overdue for a slump. None of the usual signs of an imminent recession are present, but 2020-21 isn't an unthinkable time line.

Tariffs and trade war: Yet another self-inflicted wound seems to have taken place in the aftermath of the G20 summit in Argentina. Trump announced a ceasefire in the trade dispute with China. Equity futures rallied strongly a week ago on Sunday night.

The truce turned out to be nonexistent. Bloomberg News showed a side-by-side comparison of statements by Trump and by the Chinese government on the supposed deal, which was never reduced to writing. It isn't just that Trump overstated the terms of the agreement; there was no deal (2). Wall Street subsequently had its worst week since March, and it looks like we may be in for more of the same this week.

The president sandbagged Wall Street. Despite his well-known casual relationship with the truth, traders naively assumed the president wouldn't mislead about something as crucial as the resolution of an expanding trade war. By the time the president declared "I am a Tariff Man," he had lost the trust of traders.

To be sure, these are not the only factors behind the stock-market sell-off. Rising deficits have spooked bond markets; enthusiasm about the large corporate tax cuts passed in December 2017 has faded; the strong dollar is often cited as a headwind for corporate earnings; US stock valuations remain rich; China's economy has slowed; Brexit is problematic, and the rest of Europe has more than a few messy problems. Any combination of these could be contributing to market volatility.

That said, we are nearing the halfway mark of Trump's presidency. Those waiting for that pivot toward his being presidential have been disappointed. Instead, they are now extrapolating his policy errors forward, and finding a significant and negative affect on the US economy and stock markets.

I'm not in the business of making forecasts, so I will pose a question: Does anyone think it gets better from here?

(1) To be fair, wags have been calling a peak in corporate profits for a long while.

(2) CNBC's Carl Quintanilla quotes a JPMorgan trading note: 'It doesn't seem like anything was actually agreed to at the dinner and White House officials are contorting themselves into pretzels to reconcile Trump's tweets (which seem if not completely fabricated then grossly exaggerated) with reality.'

Barry Ritholtz is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He founded Ritholtz Wealth Management and was chief executive and director of equity research at FusionIQ, a quantitative research firm. He is the author of Bailout Nation.

Bloomberg

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 7:44am
Good article Whale. Very true. Normally despite them either owning or disowning markets depending on how they are faring, Govts dont have profound impacts on markets. This is different with Trump with his bizarre brainfarts and 180 changes of mind on huge policy positions and his willingness to blow up trade agreements and established international alliances on a whim. A very dangerous man.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shammy Davis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 8:15am
Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

Hey Shammy, what is smocking? . . .
Apparently the twitter misspelling of smoking. Expanding your sh*tshow to grammar and spelling, are you?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Dec 2018 at 8:17am
Anyway, whatever Donald is smocking, I dont want any.
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