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Saturday Racing Blog August 18 2018
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Gay3 View Drop Down
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    Posted: 18 Aug 2018 at 9:11am
Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
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This is me today:

Randwick

R4 Lay Oohood - I have had a bonus bet on Futooh $8 and will consider backing Fiesta and/or Outback Barbie. Otherwise I'll just lay Oohood if she's short enough. Way over-bet in my view. This is a handy race.

R5 Military Zone $5/$2 from Danawi - same quinella as last start. I was on Danawi that day but I'm the reverse today after that great win by Military Zone. Extra 100m suits. Dana had to work a bit in front and that told last 100m. But he will need to work again today and the extra 100m plays into Military Zone's hands as well.

R6 D'argento $4.2 place - got on futures and happy with that. I think he runs 3rd.

R9 Kaonic $3 ***SPECIAL*** - just like we've been on Paret this prep as a new horse since breaking through, I think similarly this horse will have turned a corner now that he broke through for an overdue win back in grade. Bog field and will need luck, but he's a talented horse who will be charging home for the win with even luck.

R6 Pippie $4.6 ***BEST BET*** from Causeway Girl $21/$5.5 - I said before the race that fillies race at Moonee Valley will be one to follow horses out of it, and so I am with Pippie and Causeway Girl. Two very different fortunes in the run - Pippie - tough and classy, Causeway Girl desperately unlucky. Both can be in the finish and test a vulnerable Sunlight late.

R8 Osborne Bulls ***SPECIAL*** - time for him to come of age. Been with him all along and always thought he could win a nice race. Should be this prep and he can win here first up with that 2 from 2 record and a brilliant trial leading in. He will descend on them late!

Good luck and good punting.
Sunline...simply supreme
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furious View Drop Down
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Come on guys join in the fun of the Roughies and Winners comp in Competitions.  It runs on the G1 races for the spring - just for fun.  The Roughies comp is really hard I'm hopeless.  Anyway anyone can join.  Today all have gone for Winx in the Winners and we have a few roughies going.  So come along and join the fun.
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Good morning Gay3, Sunline, furious and all. Big smile Good luck everyone! Thumbs Up
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Looks like their going to let punters on WINX today =

   Betfair may get to $1.30 , which I think is overs, with speed in the race and several Stayers who should be behind Winx on settling .

Appears only one with a chance to beat her .

Looks like the money box gets raided again.
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Had two blokes come up to me at the pub last night to tell me that Futooh would smash them.
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Caulfield

R1   Remember The Name
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Winx could be in trouble, the fence looks the spot to be.
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Originally posted by Aurelius Aurelius wrote:

Caulfield

R1   Remember The Name


——————————

Randwick

R3   Sharp Hussler   $6.50 - 2.00
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Outback Barbie an absolute certainty beaten then.
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Originally posted by Sunline Sunline wrote:

This is me today:

Randwick

R4 Lay Oohood - I have had a bonus bet on Futooh $8 and will consider backing Fiesta and/or Outback Barbie. Otherwise I'll just lay Oohood if she's short enough. Way over-bet in my view. This is a handy race.




Hope you took a trifecta!
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Have a couple of multis going into Winx for four figs each but for some reason I'm shaky after watching Randwick so far. Can cash out for 80%. Whaddyareckon?
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I'd be super nervous, the track seems very hard to make up ground and the fence is lightning.
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I'd let the bet ride. Bias doesn't worry her. It's Winx.

Who's going to beat her? There's no on pace horse who could be a danger.

Don't forget, the bias will hurt Kementari as well.
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If it was any other horse I’d be shutting my pants, but because it’s Winx.
She can do the impossible
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Took the easy way out and cashed in the higher value 4 leg one. It may be unlikely but it'll be absolute gelatie if Winx is beaten by a biased track.
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Very nervous for the champ today.. No horse can beat her but a track might
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I had a dream last night that she ran 5th and was retired.
Praying I’m wrong
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I think people are overreacting.

Have a look at where the Godolphin horse came from in race 3. And l would say she was 3 lanes away from the fence.

The minimal bias won't beat Winx. People just want to find ways for her to get rolled.
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She’s a freak
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YOU BLOODY BEAUTY at $1.3
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Thanks for the $2 Laddies
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Only need Osborne for a 5 horse multi now
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kiss me dead Chris is crying

Harden up ya sook
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Phew - looked awful at the 350m mark, esp being wide.

Why would you put Schofield on anything? Most had K one/one at worst, esp on the track as it has been today. I'm happy he fu'd because I had a big place bet D'argento
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Originally posted by Heavy10 Heavy10 wrote:

Very nervous for the champ today.. No horse can beat her but a track might


I'll never even half doubt her again
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3blindmice View Drop Down
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Originally posted by MJB MJB wrote:

I think people are overreacting.

Have a look at where the Godolphin horse came from in race 3. And l would say she was 3 lanes away from the fence.

The minimal bias won't beat Winx. People just want to find ways for her to get rolled.
Out to about 4-5 wide looks the limit to me MJB. I backed Almanzora and she was 5 or 6m inside where Winx and Ooohood came. Reckon there's a length or two advantage on the inside?
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I think she looks better than this time last year.  Much better win first up anyway.  What a horse sorry should say what a mare.
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What did you all think early in the  straight? 

I hadn't given her away but boy I thought she had a task. She always had K covered the way he was ridden.
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Originally posted by 3blindmice 3blindmice wrote:

Phew - looked awful at the 350m mark, esp being wide.

Why would you put Schofield on anything? Most had K one/one at worst, esp on the track as it has been today. I'm happy he fu'd because I had a big place bet D'argento


I'm Grim's biggest hater.  

The replay will be worth watching a few times. See who the jockeys and trainers are for those involved.
Which horse dropped anchor forcing Kementari to be restrained just as a certain grey horse raced up outside him, just as Winx took the sit behind that grey horse? Slow pace on what is supposed to be a biased track.

Winx is Winx. She was always going to make up that sort of ground.
I started with nothing and still have most of it left
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