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Reflectivity |
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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Posted: 01 Jun 2018 at 2:49pm |
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Each way special in R2 at Rosehill tomorrow with $6/$2 available.
He has turned the corner with 3 wins from last 5. Last start was enormous in the Scone Guineas, where he set a cracking speed, then was attacked by a roughy at the 600m and had to go very early, yet still travelled strong and kicked hard top of the straight. It's tough doing that at Scone in that quality race, and eventually he was hauled in but stuck on for 4th, beaten only 0.5L by 2nd. The quinella settled in the last 4, which highlights that the tempo and race shape was against him. They were Moss Trip and Assimilate, both of whom are Group class and Assimilate hurtled home for a good 2nd again in the G3 Fred Best in Brisbane last Saturday, beaten by persist who is firm in the G1 Stradbroke market. Reflectivity is far better placed tomorrow back in BM grade. Gresham is a genuine danger as he too has turned the corner after being an absolute cat. But he is a midweeker at the moment trying to prove he can progress to Saturday grade. He will settle off Reflectivity I feel and let him cross, and then try to run him down. I expect back in this grade Reflectivity will lead, dominate the race, and say ta ta at the 400m. The price is very generous considering we can get our money back for a place. I do though feel confident he wins.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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reductio ad absurdum
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Bonfield
Champion Joined: 07 Nov 2013 Status: Offline Points: 10291 |
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Should lead and be very hard to run down. Best bet of the day.
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Sneck
Champion Joined: 16 Feb 2013 Location: Payout Queue Status: Offline Points: 7555 |
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I though this was an open race and I perhaps mapped a touch more speed even though I still have Reflectivity leading.
Outside of the two leading market contenders I can make a case for 3,4,6,9. |
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MJB
Champion Joined: 30 Nov 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 1601 |
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I'm finding it hard to get a good reading on this race. It's strange seeing Gresham as the 6/4 favourite. It wasn't that long ago he got rolled as a $1.30 favourite in a Kembla maiden. He may have improved but l wouldn't be trusting him just yet.
There's not much depth to this race. Just an average bunch. Alot of them aren't proven in town. I agree that if Reflectivity gets his own way out in front and is able to control the race he'll be hard to run down. But l could definitely see Shinn being really positive early and making Reflectivity do a bit of work. That big weight of 61 could be an issue late. And there's a chance Hardly Surprising may push forward here. That's what l'd do anyway. It's got no weight on it's back so if l was giving out the instructions l'd tell Adkins to make sure the two leaders don't get a picnic out in front. I'm not betting myself but l hope for your sake they let Reflectivity dictate. Good luck. |
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AndiCap
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Status: Offline Points: 6032 |
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I'm finding it hard to get a good reading on this race. It's strange seeing Gresham as the 6/4 favourite.
'They' knew.
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MJB
Champion Joined: 30 Nov 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 1601 |
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Never got a run for your money. Blundered the start and after that it was game over.
So many things can go wrong in a horse race. Makes you wonder why we're so stupid betting on it. |
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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Sickening. Leader dominated and he should have been there. Why wasn’t he? Fought the whole way.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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MJB
Champion Joined: 30 Nov 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 1601 |
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The start was costly.
Hardly Surprising had clearly crossed him so he didn't want to be posted 3 wide the trip. The logical move was to get a trail. But then Schofield with his gelati ride wanted a piece of the action and it just meant Reflectivity was boxed in and not in rhythm. Bad recipe for a horse carrying 61. |
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MJB
Champion Joined: 30 Nov 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 1601 |
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Shinn would have been laughing in front after Reflectivity bombed out early. Never going to get beat after that.
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Sneck
Champion Joined: 16 Feb 2013 Location: Payout Queue Status: Offline Points: 7555 |
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MJB
Champion Joined: 30 Nov 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 1601 |
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Fair call. But as soon as Schofield rolled forward it meant Avdulla had zero options left. He was now dictated to. Not a good position to be in, stating the obvious. |
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