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Reflectivity

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Sunline View Drop Down
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    Posted: 01 Jun 2018 at 4:49pm
Each way special in R2 at Rosehill tomorrow with $6/$2 available.

He has turned the corner with 3 wins from last 5. Last start was enormous in the Scone Guineas, where he set a cracking speed, then was attacked by a roughy at the 600m and had to go very early, yet still travelled strong and kicked hard top of the straight. It's tough doing that at Scone in that quality race, and eventually he was hauled in but stuck on for 4th, beaten only 0.5L by 2nd.

The quinella settled in the last 4, which highlights that the tempo and race shape was against him. They were Moss Trip and Assimilate, both of whom are Group class and Assimilate hurtled home for a good 2nd again in the G3 Fred Best in Brisbane last Saturday, beaten by persist who is firm in the G1 Stradbroke market.

Reflectivity is far better placed tomorrow back in BM grade. Gresham is a genuine danger as he too has turned the corner after being an absolute cat. But he is a midweeker at the moment trying to prove he can progress to Saturday grade. He will settle off Reflectivity I feel and let him cross, and then try to run him down.

I expect back in this grade Reflectivity will lead, dominate the race, and say ta ta at the 400m. The price is very generous considering we can get our money back for a place. I do though feel confident he wins.
Sunline...simply supreme
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djebel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Jun 2018 at 4:56pm
REFLECTIVITY (AUS)Bay gelding 2014 
All Too Hard
Bay 2009
Casino Prince
Bay 2003
Flying Spur
Bay 1992
Danehill
Bay 1986
Danzig
Razyana
1977
1981
7-a
2-d
Rolls
Chestnut 1984
Mr Prospector
Grand Luxe
1970
1974
13-c
4-g
Lady Capel
Brown 1993
Last Tycoon
Bay or brown 1983
Try My Best
Mill Princess
1975
1977
8-f
8-c
Kew Gardens
Bay 1981
Kenmare
Garden Green
1975
1964
1-m
21-a
Helsinge
Bay 2001
Desert Sun
Bay 1988
Green Desert
Bay 1983
Danzig
Foreign Courier
1977
1979
7-a
A4
Solar
Chestnut 1973
Hotfoot
L'Anguissola
1966
1967
1-w
10-b
Scandinavia
Chestnut 1994
Snippets
Bay 1984
Lunchtime
Easy Date
1970
1977
7-f
20-a
Song of Norway
Grey 1982
Vain
Love Song
1966
1976
A10
1-p
Climatic
Bay 2005
Fusaichi Pegasus
Bay 1997
Mr Prospector
Bay 1970
Raise a Native
Chestnut 1961
Native Dancer
Raise You
1950
1946
5-f
8-f
Gold Digger
Bay 1962
Nashua
Sequence
1952
1946
3-m
13-c
Angel Fever
Bay 1990
Danzig
Bay 1977
Northern Dancer
Pas de Nom
1961
1968
2-d
7-a
Rowdy Angel
Bay 1979
Halo
Ramhyde
1969
1972
2-d
8-c
Monsoon Wedding
Bay 2001
Danehill
Bay 1986
Danzig
Bay 1977
Northern Dancer
Pas de Nom
1961
1968
2-d
7-a
Razyana
Bay 1981
His Majesty
Spring Adieu
1968
1974
4-d
2-d
Shantha's Choice
Bay 1992
Canny Lad
Brown 1987
Bletchingly
Jesmond Lass
1970
1975
7-a
14>
Dancing Show
Bay 1983
Nijinsky
Show Lady
1967
1976
8-f
8-f
 Ancestor duplications:Danzig5m,5m x 4f,4m Danehill4m x 3f Mr Prospector5f x 3m


STRIKE WHILST THE IRON IS HOT

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The richest man is not he who has the most, but he who needs the least.

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Bonfield View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Bonfield Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Jun 2018 at 11:36pm
Should lead and be very hard to run down. Best bet of the day.
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Sneck View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Sneck Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 11:57am
I though this was an open race and I perhaps mapped a touch more speed even though I still have Reflectivity leading.

Outside of the two leading market contenders I can make a case for 3,4,6,9.
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MJB View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 1:44pm
I'm finding it hard to get a good reading on this race. It's strange seeing Gresham as the 6/4 favourite. It wasn't that long ago he got rolled as a $1.30 favourite in a Kembla maiden. He may have improved but l wouldn't be trusting him just yet.

There's not much depth to this race. Just an average bunch. Alot of them aren't proven in town.

I agree that if Reflectivity gets his own way out in front and is able to control the race he'll be hard to run down.

But l could definitely see Shinn being really positive early and making Reflectivity do a bit of work. That big weight of 61 could be an issue late.

And there's a chance Hardly Surprising may push forward here. That's what l'd do anyway. It's got no weight on it's back so if l was giving out the instructions l'd tell Adkins to make sure the two leaders don't get a picnic out in front.

I'm not betting myself but l hope for your sake they let Reflectivity dictate. Good luck.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote AndiCap Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 2:04pm
I'm finding it hard to get a good reading on this race. It's strange seeing Gresham as the 6/4 favourite.

'They' knew.
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MJB View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 2:04pm
Never got a run for your money. Blundered the start and after that it was game over.

So many things can go wrong in a horse race. Makes you wonder why we're so stupid betting on it.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Sunline Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 2:08pm
Sickening. Leader dominated and he should have been there. Why wasn’t he? Fought the whole way.
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MJB View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 2:13pm
The start was costly.

Hardly Surprising had clearly crossed him so he didn't want to be posted 3 wide the trip. The logical move was to get a trail. But then Schofield with his gelati ride wanted a piece of the action and it just meant Reflectivity was boxed in and not in rhythm. Bad recipe for a horse carrying 61.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 2:15pm
Shinn would have been laughing in front after Reflectivity bombed out early. Never going to get beat after that.


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Sneck View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Sneck Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 2:23pm
Originally posted by MJB MJB wrote:

The start was costly.

Hardly Surprising had clearly crossed him so he didn't want to be posted 3 wide the trip. The logical move was to get a trail. But then Schofield with his gelati ride wanted a piece of the action and it just meant Reflectivity was boxed in and not in rhythm. Bad recipe for a horse carrying 61.
I don't think Schofield made a difference. Reflectivity didn't appreciate the leaders dropping the tempo. I guess Avdulla could have anticipated this and pulled out three wide making a play for the front but that's expecting something that isn't there. 
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MJB View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jun 2018 at 2:34pm
Originally posted by Sneck Sneck wrote:

Originally posted by MJB MJB wrote:

The start was costly.

Hardly Surprising had clearly crossed him so he didn't want to be posted 3 wide the trip. The logical move was to get a trail. But then Schofield with his gelati ride wanted a piece of the action and it just meant Reflectivity was boxed in and not in rhythm. Bad recipe for a horse carrying 61.
I don't think Schofield made a difference. Reflectivity didn't appreciate the leaders dropping the tempo. I guess Avdulla could have anticipated this and pulled out three wide making a play for the front but that's expecting something that isn't there. 


Fair call. But as soon as Schofield rolled forward it meant Avdulla had zero options left. He was now dictated to. Not a good position to be in, stating the obvious.
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