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Plein Ciel |
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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And the run of Yogi , wow
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3blindmice
Champion Joined: 22 Oct 2012 Status: Offline Points: 18105 |
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Defier's (Deane Lester) one-to-follow from Caulfield
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Germanmachine
Weanling Joined: 04 Jul 2018 Location: NSW Status: Offline Points: 64 |
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Rumour is that he will now by-pass Caulfield Listed race on 1st Sept. and a bit of travel are on the cards.
A freshen up to target the 1500m Group 3 Cameron Hcp at Newcastle on 14th Sept.(May still be a little short ????) The intention being that if he wins that race he would be exempt from the ballot for the Gp 1 Epsom 1600m, where he would receive around 50 - 51kg. Interesting plan if they keep to it. |
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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I read yesterday that this is exactly their plan. Is their thinking that that the milers in Sydney aren’t quite up to grade ? I suppose he’s won quite impressively in all his winning starts so I presume he’s earnt a crack at the group class ? Either way I’ll be having a little play each way. Currently $26 early markets in Epsom all in . I will wait to see how he goes at Newcastle , although I do have a $25 bonus bet from Sportsbet to use . Might put that on him in the cox plate at $201 but that’s restricted to a $10 bet the rats lol |
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Germanmachine
Weanling Joined: 04 Jul 2018 Location: NSW Status: Offline Points: 64 |
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I understand that the decision was not made by Weiry but by a major owner.
Personally, I think it's a big call. He could've raced last Saturday in the listed Heatherly over 1700m, which was incidentally won by Call Me Handsome who came 5th to Plein Ciel at their last starts. Prizemoney sacrificed there me thinks. The Epsom is aiming very very high, I reckon. It's one of the hardest mile races in Australia to win but the only way he can make it into the field is to win a ballot exempt race, which brings the Group 3 Cameron into the equation at Newcastle where the major owners are from. To come back to 1500m (Cameron) is not an easy task, hence him missing the Heatherly to be freshened up for it. Still, he needs to go up 2-grade levels for the Cameron, go the reverse way of going, endure a very long float trip and come back in distance to win. Not to mention draw a good marble and have a good decent run and hope it's a dry track. The Epsom - no horse has ever won the Cameron and gone on to win the Epsom. Hope he does well though. What a task. |
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Magnolian Khan
Champion Joined: 23 Dec 2015 Location: SA Status: Offline Points: 8437 |
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Off to Newcastle on friday
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Magnolian Khan
Champion Joined: 23 Dec 2015 Location: SA Status: Offline Points: 8437 |
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Lovett said the jury was still out about another of the team's imports Plein Ciel after he ran second last in the Newcastle Cup last Friday.
"It's back to the drawing board with him now," Lovett lamented. "He went to pieces in the parade. They had trouble saddling him and they couldn't get him onto the track so I knew we were in a bit of trouble but I didn't think he'd run that bad. "He appears to come in it OK and he was heavily supported but it wasn't to be." |
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Carioca
Champion Joined: 13 Nov 2015 Status: Offline Points: 21830 |
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I think this horse behaved in the same way at Warrnambool one day and may have raced ordinary , wondering which leg this horse done tendon damage to previous, leading on opposite leg to Melb. may contribute to poor run , never looked likely to me in the run.
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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Actually ran 4th last but never the less was a poor run , however first poor run Ever for him . I got great odds early , however when I saw the horse playing up more than usual , bolting on the way to the barrier and then covered in sweat from tip to tail I knew I'd done my dough before the race was even run . May he didn't like the trip away , maybe he didn't travel Sydney way of going , maybe he resented the jock , maybe he didn't enjoy being 3 wide the trip and widest in the home straight . Or maybe he just had a bad day .
Or the knockers might say maybe he's no good even after winning 6 and placing 4 from 11 He'll be better odds next start so I'll be on . |
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Germanmachine
Weanling Joined: 04 Jul 2018 Location: NSW Status: Offline Points: 64 |
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I was at Newcastle races that day.
I can say that the horse's chances were gone b4 the mounting yard. He was very upset. He didn't parade because of that. He was absolutely saturated from top to bottom by the time he got to the gates. Reaction to bee sting/spider bite ? I even thought that the vet would have a good look him. Jockey said he had nothing at the 800m mark. Not offering any excuses but I must say that the setting sun was very annoying down the straight. Have you ever driven a car directly into the setting sun where you just can't see a thing. It was that bad. I heard that he didn't make the trip home with the rest of the Weir runners. Interesting! Hope he's ok. Not sure where he goes to from here. Listed Country Cups?
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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I heard that he didn't make the trip home with the rest of the Weir runners. Interesting! Hope he's ok. <span style="line-height: 16.8px;">Not sure where he goes to from here. Listed Country Cups?</span> [/QUOTE] Interesting . Are they hoping they'll fall away and he'll sneak into the Epsom ?? |
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Germanmachine
Weanling Joined: 04 Jul 2018 Location: NSW Status: Offline Points: 64 |
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Got word he arrived back to Victoria stable only this week. This seems very strange.
He's been hanging out on a property around Port Stephens area near Stockton Beach. To me, it seems things are not quite right with him. He is not nominated anywhere and he's been off the scene for a while now. Since he is now back this week in the stable (training?) There is a LR worth $200K at Cranbourne on Sunday 21st Oct 1600m he might get set for, but since he has had time off the scene I would presume he may have a fitness run over a shorter distance b4 then. Not much around that would suit him following this break, except for a 1400m LR Flemington 6th Oct or 1400m LR Caulfield 13th Oct. I would say he might do Flemington (noms out Mon 1st Oct) as a top up, leaving him 2 weeks b4 Cranbourne. That's if he does come back. |
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tillyras
Champion Joined: 11 Oct 2012 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 7540 |
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I believe he has been staying with Big Duke, who also stayed in NSW after his last run.
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Shawy38
Champion Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17413 |
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Nominated for Paris Lane 1400 on Sat
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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Looks a winnable race on his best for . Aloud a first up didn't fire last prep . Tulip is an interesting runner very classy good win last start . Other than that I think he's one of the better horses . Back to 1400m ? Hmmm interesting |
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Germanmachine
Weanling Joined: 04 Jul 2018 Location: NSW Status: Offline Points: 64 |
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1400m Tooo short
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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Winner over 1300 , winner over 1400m and place 3rd twice over 1400m including leaving on a unsuitable heavy track with a ride that could have been better . Long long straight at Flemington. On his best form he's a winning chance |
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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Is running in the Paris lane stakes over 1400 m, has pulled barrier 2 and has Brendon Avdulla aboard , why ? I'd be keeping Ben Allen on personally, Avdulla rode a dog of a race last time .
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Tim Whiffler
Weanling Joined: 15 Nov 2012 Location: Victoria Status: Offline Points: 91 |
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Aust Bloodstock are mates with Avdulla. Weir doesn’t have a choice. He slaughtered Big Duke in the Metropolitan as well.
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Shawy38
Champion Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17413 |
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Avdulla booked by the owner
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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Let's be fair dinkum, Avdulla is a class or 3 above Allen as a jockey.
It is about time Weir segregated his trackwork riders from his jockeys. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Offline Points: 52012 |
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Sydney jockeys in Sydney & the same for Melbourne. They all manage a few slaughters, some more than others & regularly on more fancied mounts.
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Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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Avdulla is a Victrorian.
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reductio ad absurdum
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VOYAGER
Champion Joined: 03 Aug 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 18737 |
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He might be a winning hope, but do not sell Eckstein short here.
Crack Me Up ran well down the straight, maybe the weight might get him but Plain Ciel will need to be as good as what some think he is to win here. |
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Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
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Bonfield
Champion Joined: 07 Nov 2013 Status: Offline Points: 10291 |
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I wouldn't say 1400m is too short for him to win, but I think he's better 1600m+, especially after a few runs.
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Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Offline Points: 52012 |
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So is Prebble but as neither have ridden regularly in Vic. for many years, I don't consider they have the insight needed into current riders & track idiosyncrasies.
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Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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I would rather top class jockeys rather than good track workers.
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reductio ad absurdum
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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Black Prince 2
Champion Joined: 17 Aug 2009 Status: Offline Points: 339 |
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I agree |
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Germanmachine
Weanling Joined: 04 Jul 2018 Location: NSW Status: Offline Points: 64 |
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I suggested 1400m was too short because I thought second up over the mile, he didn't really show that turn of foot as he has previously. He was actually hard ridden at the 500m mark and made steady but good ground. So he is more seasoned now and drops 200m from that run. Will he have the speed to match these black type performed horses ?
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