Go to Villagebet.com.au for free horse racing tips - Click here now |
|
Kellstorm |
Post Reply | Page 12> |
Author | |
mikey
Champion Joined: 01 Nov 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 511 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
Posted: 19 Sep 2017 at 11:02pm |
I think this horse has snuck well & truly under the radar!
A full brother to Order of St George, trained by Darren Weir. Has won his last three starts in Adelaide with ridiculous ease carrying decent weights. Listed for the favourite for this Saturdays Colin Stephen Handicap in Sydney which I assume is to get him into The Metropolitan? I have had a nibble at the $2500 available on Ubet for the Caulfield/Melbourne Cups double. Not the most stupid bet in the world given he is weighted down at or near the minimum imho. |
|
MorphettvilleMauler
Weanling Joined: 11 May 2016 Status: Offline Points: 94 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
has run well on soft tracks in adelaide with decent weight. has been well placed.
Not running in Sydney, staying in Radelaide at Morphy Parks over 2400m - L.Riordan to ride nominated for metropolitan and as you say caulfield/melb cups. fine looking animal
|
|
Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
$51 in the CC seems well over
|
|
Shawy38
Champion Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17411 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Beating walkers in Adelaide is not really CC form IMO
|
|
Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Ah, but the way he's doing it Shawy is what I like. Totally untouched
|
|
mikey
Champion Joined: 01 Nov 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 511 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
I was expecting to see him line up in Sydney this weekend in the Colin Stephen Quality. He was listed as favourite for that race earlier in the week. Instead I see he is lining up as an odds on favourite again in Adelaide. Still being kept safe in Metropolitan markets - does anyone know if they still intend sending him there? I would have thought Sydney this week would have been preferable for the quick back up?
|
|
Shawy38
Champion Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17411 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Was trainers decision apparently , thought the SA race suited more
|
|
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Wins again
|
|
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
What was that?
|
|
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|
djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Darren Weir.
|
|
reductio ad absurdum
|
|
Tontonan
Champion Joined: 13 Oct 2007 Status: Offline Points: 3898 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
I didn't see it but the horse has had 5 starts on Good tracks in his career and failed each time. 2 from 4 on Soft tracks and 3 from 4 on Heavy tracks.
Could explain it, maybe.
|
|
Sir Gov
Champion Joined: 17 May 2016 Status: Offline Points: 2278 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
definitely needs it wet
|
|
Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Forgive run - Worst ride of the decade.
Don't want to bag the kid, but if it were a senior rider you would be going over the betting ledgers with a fine tooth comb ... horse had no hope, wide no cover, pushed forward, went back, took off again ... I was on the 3rd placed horse, so it was probably worse than I thought too!
|
|
In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
|
|
Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
How in gods name do you go from being in the one one to 4 wide like he did
|
|
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
the kid has never ridden a winner in town and I am fairly sure this was his first ride at Morphettville , bad error by the stable for putting someone inexperienced on.
|
|
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|
Tontonan
Champion Joined: 13 Oct 2007 Status: Offline Points: 3898 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
The ride did not sound good but he is just a lad and will no doubt improve.
According to R&S Liam had 55 wins from 546 rides before Saturday virtually all in Victoria. Saturday was his first engagement in South Australia. I don't know who he is apprenticed to but he has ridden 15 of his 40 winners for the Corstens. He had ridden 2 winners from 41 rides for Weir before Saturday. He started riding just last season.
|
|
Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Offline Points: 52011 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
I bet around him for that reason, the fact Vic seniors have a hard enough time against the locals, let alone a 3kgs kid who'd never ridden there, long odds on he was always going to be watched closely & staying horses rarely keep winning streaks intact forever. The stop/start tactics were awful to watch too which didn't help the kid or horse get into a rhythm.
|
|
Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
|
|
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
He is apprenticed to Leon & Troy Corstens, but recently has been working at the trials for Weir.
|
|
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|
mikey
Champion Joined: 01 Nov 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 511 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Much improved run yesterday despite the leap in class. A full brother to Order of St George, I am stunned that Darren Weir hasn't given him more opportunity to qualify for the major Cups.
|
|
Lord Hybrow
Champion Joined: 05 Jul 2015 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 6683 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
He is entered for the Melb Cup & did pass the first ballot clause yesterday. But that still only takes him to the mid-70's in the order of entry.
But he's been campaigning since May & not likely up to the class required for Spring Cups. Would make a great Adelaide Cup prospect for 2018. |
|
Sir Gov
Champion Joined: 17 May 2016 Status: Offline Points: 2278 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Off to the Lexus
|
|
Magnolian Khan
Champion Joined: 23 Dec 2015 Location: SA Status: Offline Points: 8437 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Weir put the last start failure down to jockey error.
Could either go to Geelong or the Lexus |
|
mikey
Champion Joined: 01 Nov 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 511 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
I had $20 on him @ $2501 for the CC/MC Double! Wanted him qualified for the CC :'(
|
|
Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
I'm on the CC as well
|
|
Lord Hybrow
Champion Joined: 05 Jul 2015 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 6683 |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
Good luck Mikey! But I think you took massive unders....there should be another digit on the end of your payout 😁 DK Weir did win the Melb Cup with a 100/1 shot in Prince of Penzance, so anything can happen. |
|
mikey
Champion Joined: 01 Nov 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 511 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
He has completely done his dash for the CC though hasn't he? I think he is still rated down around 100 or something? Should have been set for more qualifying races, he was fav for The Metropolitan in the week leading up to that race - he would have been very competitive if they took that route.
|
|
VOYAGER
Champion Joined: 03 Aug 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 18737 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Looks like he is on the Puissance De Lune strategy.
Get him through his grades one spring, and have a good lash at the cups the next year. The only thing with a preparation like that is he needs to race right through the next twelve months, no spell, just space his races accordingly, which if his next start is the Lexus would be reasonable. The Queen Elizabeth would be the better option this spring however as he showed good form yesterday, if he is a wet tracker! |
|
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
|
|
mikey
Champion Joined: 01 Nov 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 511 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
He is down to the last 36 paid up for the Caulfield Cup. Any chance he might scrape in?
|
|
Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
Top run yesterday but thought it was a poor ride. looks unlikely to get into the cup field.
|
|
Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
He'll win the Lexus the when the rain come the $200 on offer will be massive overs
|
|
Post Reply | Page 12> |
Tweet |
Forum Jump | Forum Permissions You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot create polls in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum |