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Instinction pedigree & Chances |
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Posted: 17 Jun 2015 at 3:57pm |
Im interested to hear the experts disect his pedigree, whilst I generally not a fan of grey sires, this guy always gets my attention, beautifully bred probably by a sire that will produce sires plus he's a type himself with good size, his mare numbers are ok didn't mind a few babies I have seen by him, question is could he be a sleeper, ?
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Aurelius
Champion Joined: 08 Apr 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4474 |
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Looks like he is a sleeper in the photo.
Well bred!! Was not a good enough racehorse himself for mine which lowers your % chance of sucess right from the get go. |
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Offline Points: 45760 |
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Not for me either I'm afraid JL.
Breed to race only which can be a costly exercise.
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Ok Thanks for the feedback:
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Aurelius
Champion Joined: 08 Apr 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4474 |
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Don't just listen to us (I know you won't).
As you probably know your hunch just may be correct. |
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Aurelius
Champion Joined: 08 Apr 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4474 |
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Meant to say: As you probably know the breeding game is unpredictable, your hunch just may well be correct.
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Mmmmm Aurelius you know me so welleven if we havent met
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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However I have had hunches in the past...let me see they were Rubiton, Bel Esprit, Encosta DL, Flying Spur, West Quest, Distorted Humor whom I used in his first season out of my group producing mare compliments of JB Cummings & lost her & the foal a week off her due date thanks to a very inept farm whom I entrusted her to a month earlier
My next Sire predictions: Animal Kingdom, Can the Man, Jimmy Creed, Olympic Glory, Rubick & Holy Roman Emporer: Sadly most are out of my budget I will check this list in a few years ?
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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& Pluck
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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Jade - braver than me......Pluck
Though I do like Jimmy & Olympic Glory.
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Maybe so, time will tell I guess, just luv
More Than Ready? |
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Aurelius
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Forget you never knew me! |
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Ash
Champion Joined: 18 Aug 2011 Location: Mildura Status: Offline Points: 663 |
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Holy Roman Emperor? There is enough of his running around to no longer be a hunch isn't there? I do like Rubick despite the critics out there and really like Olympic Glory. Wouldn't breed to the others just yet though. Instinction is breed to race at the moment and will make it the hard way if he does. Encosta and I Am Invincible have done that so not impossible. They were better performed though. |
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Aurelius
Champion Joined: 08 Apr 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4474 |
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If I can play the devil's advocate just for a second. Your past predictions were all group1 winners I think. Instink...sion only won at listed level. Out of your future predictions (The entire stallion roster) I like Jimmy Creed, and Rubick's Cube. Can the Man: I don't think he Can. Animal Kingdom: May end up back there. Olympic Glory: Flo Jo Holy Roman Emporer: mmm. |
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Ash: Holy Roman Emperor had over 50mil progeny earnings
How is that Shabby? |
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Aurelius good point don't worry I chose a few that failed as well😊
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Aurelius
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Oh you have not !!!
Your just trying to make us feel better. |
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Aurelius
Champion Joined: 08 Apr 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4474 |
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per starters 64.6% 1.8 3.4 stakes 6.6% group (3.2%) Gee his is going well isn't he. When did you predict him Jade at 64% |
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Well that's ok I m not perfect but I like him!
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Aurelius 😉
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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I loved Starcraft & Americain too😊 if that helps
But by all accounts it's only a bit of fun trying predict the nxt Super sire🌌 I need my crystal ball:🎯🔮 |
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Aurelius
Champion Joined: 08 Apr 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4474 |
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Only kidding.
Good stuff keep the predictions coming. With that strike rate and a couple of good mares you would / should be in profit. |
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Haha that was the only problem starting again where I left off 10yr ago it a hard Ol' trek stallions are plentiful an way more than I could ever outlay so just getting back to basics an trust my instincts once again, that costs me nothing, as you all know everyone has an opinion an it's so interesting to hear different slants on things🙀
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Aurelius
Champion Joined: 08 Apr 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4474 |
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As the good North Melbourne coach Dennis Pagan used to say to his players;
Never doubt yourself (son!). |
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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👍
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Ash
Champion Joined: 18 Aug 2011 Location: Mildura Status: Offline Points: 663 |
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Read my post again. I questioned how you can have a hunch about a stallion that has had enough results to provide proof? |
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Daraabah
Champion Joined: 03 Feb 2009 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 1132 |
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OK, I'l stick my head on the block...I like the pedigree and predict he'll get a nice one or two despite limited opportunity...Also always love a grey.
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goldey
Champion Joined: 29 Dec 2012 Location: cairns Status: Offline Points: 5940 |
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Former forum member ha one and is very happy with it , I saw one of his foals at Eliza stallion parade and it was a cracker .
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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ASH: It seems your abit of smart#@*& so I wont even respond
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JadeLace
Champion Joined: 29 Mar 2015 Status: Offline Points: 1045 |
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Predicted HRE long before he was even a sire
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