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Brutal |
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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Also could suggest Lonhro and So You Think might make a great cross to think about. Should be beautiful animals to boot.
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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Trouble is one is Darley and one is Coolmore so the pool of mares not available to either.
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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In 10 years time, In reality probably about now, Australasian trainers are so poor and are so sprint oriented that nearly every pedigree will look like the horse should be a quarter horse. This horse is bred to be a miler and races like a miler. The fact he would probably be a superstar miler obviously indicates speed. Top class racing speed and as I have said on so many occasions our modern day trainers do not seem to be able to decipher top class racing speed required of middle distant and staying types from short course sprinters. The Autumn Sun is bred to be a 2400m horse, Fifty Stars is bred to be a 2400m horse, Yet in years to come when you/others and Second Chance are reading their Australian relatives pedigrees you will see sprinter miler rather than middle distant because our trainers have made it so. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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Tlazolteotl
Champion Joined: 02 Oct 2012 Location: Elephant Butte Status: Offline Points: 31448 |
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He's nowhere near TJ Smith level at this stage. I will be surprised if it starts. What price is it?
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An honest politician is one who when he is bought will stay bought.
Simon Cameron |
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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The line is littered with horses who come out and win two year stakes events yet come out and win over 2400m also later in their careers. Did you know the first time Rekindling went over a distance (only 2000m) he finished last! THen he was only 16th in the Epsom Derby. But did that cause a rethink. This horse can't stay. No. The rest is history.
One slight mishap and people give up in Australia. Well Tommy Smith didn't or Cummings but now there is an outcry if something fails over a trip and that can scare any trainer into backing off.
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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I'm not saying he couldn't be a good miler, however I do think it could be a stretch for him to run a strong one.
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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Just look at two four year olds which I've followed from the sales out of this Juliet line. Both by Written Tycoon. One Calligrapher has three wins 900/1000 to his name he's never been sent out over 1200m. The other is Mission Tycoon who had two wins in Australia at 1150 and 1400m before his sale to Hong Kong. Sent out in the Hong Kong Gold Cup 1800m at the weekend he won. Beating another Australian in Dark Dream (winner of the Queensland Derby).
It's the horse going a trip who is showing the best form.
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Tlazolteotl
Champion Joined: 02 Oct 2012 Location: Elephant Butte Status: Offline Points: 31448 |
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Pedigree looks like a middle distance, at least, to me. 2400m no problem.
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An honest politician is one who when he is bought will stay bought.
Simon Cameron |
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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Brutal? Might need some goggles Tlaz
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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He is correct.
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reductio ad absurdum
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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Where though?
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45819 |
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His pedigree is a hotch-potch of blood, sprint, miler, middle distance, stayer.
Normally just a matter of seeking which genes come to the fore, however with the Hawkes in charge there's little chance of him being tried over more than a mile.
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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Like most of the best Australasian speed this is a middle distance/staying family. You have heard of Hi Jinx. This is the branch that produced him. His dam was an oaks winner.
Others through this Wood Nymph branch of the Juliet line include So You Think middle distance champion. Petrava (champion in South Africa a miler), Jallad (equally good in South Africa and sire or grandsire of plenty of both sprinters and middle distance Derby or Oaks winners), Sound Action (Oaks & Rawson S etc), Dance Hit (Oaks placegetter and winner up to 2200m), her daughter Dance with Her a dual stakes winner also placed in the Brisbane Cup), Black Pirahana (miler through and through). The best go a trip are the others even tried.
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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If Brutal wins a 2400m race i'll eat a whole bale of Lucerne
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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Probably won't go there but a mile is feasible and much better than restricting him to sprints. Can't say the trainer hasn't had great milers and he has even had some go a trip. Remember Freemason.
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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Don't disagree. I'd be going the mile route with him against his own age
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45819 |
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No-ones saying he would, just that he arguably could on pedigree. O'Reilly has sired plenty of well performd stayers, whilst Brutal's maternal grandsire Golan is bred to get 2400m. But agree with you and Furious, 1600m is as far as you'd be looking particularly at this point of time.
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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Actually SC I'd like to see him go a trip. Same with the Written Tycoon colts. Train them to get a distance. 1600m to 2000m at least. Think they have it in them. Despite the speed they show.
We keep saying some horses only come up and win first up etc. How many of those are looking for further second up etc and don't retain that early speed! |
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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That's why I said 2400, was gonna say 2000 but I REALLY don't want to eat a bale
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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too dear today! Keep it for the ones who appreciate it.
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Straight arrow
Champion Joined: 01 Dec 2018 Status: Offline Points: 1026 |
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(Second Chance?) ha he is a typical ossie breed that sells easy here!
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45819 |
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Ok I'm slow at the best of times, however don't really understand the last couple of posts.
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TJMitchell
Champion Joined: 29 Jun 2014 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16917 |
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furious was talking the lucerne, arrow flipped it and made it about you
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45819 |
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Tlazolteotl
Champion Joined: 02 Oct 2012 Location: Elephant Butte Status: Offline Points: 31448 |
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I can't see any point in looking beyond the second remove of a pedigree. Is there any evidence that 3rd remove and beyond has any influence on anything? Oh, look- she's got her great great grandfather's nose.
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An honest politician is one who when he is bought will stay bought.
Simon Cameron |
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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Depends on what is back there and how often it appears back there. |
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reductio ad absurdum
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Carioca
Champion Joined: 13 Nov 2015 Status: Offline Points: 21836 |
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Colour can press your button at times.
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furious
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Status: Offline Points: 25179 |
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I do stakes pedigrees every day - part of my job. One thing I've discovered is that some of the older Australian and New Zealand lines are still producing multiple stakes winners each season. This is one of the lines which crops up time and time again. In Australia that is almost impossible to occur. The numbers of mares sold to non breeders who don't go to stud (or end up at other stud ie Olympic horse producers) is quite high. Even daughters and grandaughters of famous mares going to non descript stallions with little or no hope of getting anything from the mating.
This happens time and time again. I wrote once about a 3/4 sister of Plucky Liege one of the greatest broodmares in history. This mare was a daughter of Carbine and won a G1 racing in Australia. Within a generation the line failed because care wasn't taken and some of the stallion the fillies went to I've never even heard of. So for these old lines to still be going is a minor miracle. Many branches have peated out. Luckily some have been in New Zealand and they seem to forgive failure better than we do. But Manto, Eulogy, White and Blue and Juliet are still going strong. Lady Chester (dam of Chester), Hebrew Maid, Medmenham (dam of Ajax), Miss Kate, Lady Trenton, Bandiera (great grandaughter of Sceptre) and Marchioness (Epsom Oaks winner) are still surviving also and a few others crop up every now and again. Same with some bloodlines which we consently import - Chelandry and Cinna we get some great horses from those lines new and old. But on the whole we dump lines after a few years and so they go to non breeders or Asia and so much good blood is lost. We want the newest and best. Ie the Eight Carat a few years ago then became the Dancing Show etc. Eight Carat line is still producing etc. Some of the ones keeping their names alive (including stallions) White and Blue - The Inevitable, Savabeel, Pinot, Hellbent, Black Heart Bart, Rebel King, Star Turn, Marchioness - Stella Victoria, Aristia Miss Kate - Princess of Queens, Anton En Avant Hebrew Maid - Pohutukawa, Pinzu, Danzero, Star Witness, Rich Enuff Medmenham - Persuader, Ataraxia Cinna - Native Soldier, Fiesta, Show a Heart Manto - Miss Admiration, Manicure, Microphone, Loving Gaby, Written Tycoon, Pure Pride, Menari, Amanaat, I'm a Rippa, Dreamforce, Better Than Ready, Holler Juliet - Lyre, Fiera Vista, Danawi, Brutal, So You Think, Mission Tycoon, State Prosecutor, Impending, Magic Consol, Epidemic, She Will Reign, Chelandry - Leonardo da Hinchi, First Affair, I am Invincible, Weather with You, Sugar Bella, Outback Barbie, Mishani Hustler, Merchant Navy, Miracle Man, Long Time Ago, Chix Pic, High Chaparral, Pariah Dissident Americain, Zeditave Lady Trenton - Holy Blade, Seabrook, Prairie Fire, In Good Time, My Emotion, Malaguerra, Sooboog, Snitzerland Bandiera - Written By, Pins Lady Chester - White Moss, Private Dancer, Fox Swift, Dark Dream Eulogy - War God, Dundeel, Highland Reel, Idaho, Elvstroem, Starspangledbanner There are others also placing and winning each week but the older families producing stakes winners are not often well breed. Often they are the pedigrees no one wants but the value is there in them. Hense She Will Reign for $20K. They are the lines that deliver and where if your lucky you can find a cheap one.
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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My best of the day and all over him.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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