Saturday Racing Blog April 21 2018

MJB wrote:

Correct Sunline. I've been singing the same tune for a while now. Give me a Moe maiden over a Group 1. It's very hard to win in these good races. Every horse has been set for the race, they all have ability, it's usually the best ride that wins. There's not much separating those horses. And the form is well known. There's no overs to be found. No edge.

In bush races you can quickly eliminate half the field. It's just alot easier to find winners.

The problem is we can't help but love the good horses. We love the game and naturally it's fun to find the good horses early on and follow them through the grades. And visually it's alot better to the eye. Horses battling away in the bush have reached their mark and it's ugly viewing watching them. They just bob up and down in the one spot.

What do l think the best races to bet on are? Maidens. If l just bet solely on maidens l'd make a fortune. Dissecting maidens is very simple. You're just looking for the best horse. And generally the best horse will win.

You should only be betting on Maidens my friend . Managing the dollar right and your a winning gambler.
I share your views, re the carnivals. I backed one horse yesterday
Layed a few that would surprise the team , but that's Racing.

I am speaking through my pocket, all Bayliss had to was hook him out wide and give him the room he needed. Hard watch.

maccamax wrote:

Sunline wrote:

Shakey end to the carnival for me. I will be well placed down in grade at the country circuit in coming weeks.

Too many shockers over the carnival Sunline.   3 straight at huge odds at Caulfield earlier.
The wide open races are for smaller "value" dutching bets only.   Too much depends on the fast lanes and the luck in running.
Have you thought the same as me , in that the mid weekers are being invaded by the top Stables and that's where the good things run more to form.   Winnng their way through the lower grades . ( keeps owners Happy too = That winner feeling )

Macao without doubt. The big carnivals are fraught. Big fields, many good horses and just as manag winning chances, all horses fit and peaking, all trying. Makes for a punting nightmare.

I make most of my money midweek on the bush, provincial and metro circuit, where before they even get to the gates the majority of the field can be penned. Much rather open up the shoulders under those circumstances. So many under exposed and under bet horses too. If you do the work you reap the rewards. Carnival days are over exposed over bet horses. No edge to be found.

Sunline...simply supreme

Paul Hogan wrote:

Smoke and Mirrors wrote:

1800 858 858

Arghh, Keno numbers now your talking, fav no is 8.

If you win, I want half

"Go Hard or Go Home”

Anyone catch the run of Pleasuring first up from her let up, very good late

"Go Hard or Go Home”

Freedman took a float load up last week.
Will have about 10 horses based there for the Winter

"Go Hard or Go Home”

What a shocking day for shorties around the country.

Anyone see Doomben race 8? Have a look at Bedford. It had plenty to offer but no where to go. What's it's target race?

maccamax wrote:

stayer wrote:

Geez Cool Chap disappointing.

Was going great to the turn.. half these horses should be spelling . hard campaigns and reach the end of their campaign.

Compare the WINX campaign plan . No week after week, run after run. It's hard on them and the results show where the problems are.

Yeah maybe firm tracks taking a toll too.

stayer wrote:

Geez Cool Chap disappointing.

Was going great to the turn.. half these horses should be spelling . hard campaigns and reach the end of their campaign.

Compare the WINX campaign plan . No week after week, run after run. It's hard on them and the results show where the problems are.

A looooooong time between drinks for the once promising Tally. Soft in the end. 1 win each year.

Geez Cool Chap disappointing.

Sunline wrote:

Shakey end to the carnival for me. I will be well placed down in grade at the country circuit in coming weeks.

Too many shockers over the carnival Sunline.   3 straight at huge odds at Caulfield earlier.
The wide open races are for smaller "value" dutching bets only.   Too much depends on the fast lanes and the luck in running.
Have you thought the same as me , in that the mid weekers are being invaded by the top Stables and that's where the good things run more to form.   Winnng their way through the lower grades . ( keeps owners Happy too = That winner feeling )

stayer wrote:

Ok here come by 2 bets I put on earlier this week - Sprightly Lass and Cool Chap

good luck ... This track will suit Cool Chap ... He can run time .

1800 858 858

"Go Hard or Go Home”

correctweight wrote:

Well there goes 10 weeks of wages for me. I quit betting. Nothing makes sense.

Do you have a plan mate...   Money management is more important than anything in the gamble.   It's just like climate,   cyclical and we have to
ride the waves = Good & bad.   NOT BLOW THE BANK ON A MAD MOMENT .
Ten weeks wages is a lot of money ,    Smaller fish are sweetest and they are there to be picked up every month .