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Bet of the Round

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Redemption View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Bet of the Round
    Posted: 26 Aug 2018 at 10:46am
Conditions terrible at Gabba today.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 24 Aug 2018 at 7:37pm
Wet games in Brisbane and Sydney this weekend

Neds is  under 160.5, odds $1.50, for Brisbane/eagles match total.
Im going for that
Conditions look horrendous
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 24 Aug 2018 at 7:36pm
Wet games in Brisbane and Sydney this weekend

Neds is 170.5 under 160.5, odds $1.50, for Brisbane match total.
Im going for that
Conditions look horrendous
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MJB View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 2018 at 12:24pm
I agree, l think Port win. Kennedy still won't be back so they'll be without NicNat, Gaff and Kennedy.

The only problem is they're predicting rain in Adelaide over the weekend. Have a look at the game total - 151.5.

Taking lines could be a worry if it's low scoring.

Keep an eye on the weather report closer to game time.

GWS v Adelaide is another game which could involve wet conditions.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Aug 2018 at 12:11pm
I think Port at -14.5 against Eagles can get it done this week.

Even though I think Eagles are ultimately a better team, they just wont be in a good place mentally this week.
And lets be honest, even if you are off just 5%, you get swallowed up.

I expect Port to come out firing this week and the Eagles to come out a bit lame and sorry for themselves

Port to cover the line, and quite easily.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote mowie Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 23 Jul 2018 at 9:12pm
Originally posted by MJB MJB wrote:

Hope you took a piece of the $17 on the head to head mowie! They even traded at $81 live in play l heard.

I'll be planting myself in a tab before the start of the West Coast game. If l see it bucketing down l'll be loading up on the under.

nope LOL I had the line at 15 points just couldn't see them winning
chris Armstrong waller, *drugs are bad mkay
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 7:51pm
Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Qtr time and the over/under is now around the 168.5 mark. I guess Brooke/Redemption is hedging. Well pretending to anyway.



About 4 min ago - just after 2nd term began.





Low scoring qtr now he over/Uber is ito around 157.5.





Now for the uninitiated this is what is going to happen regardless of whether it goes over or under the original total:


You will not hear of any hedging strategy from Brooke before the game is either over or the result is known.

If it ends up going under the original total then Brooke will come and say she didn’t hedge at all or only hedged a little and still made a good profit.

If it ends up going over the original total then Brooke will come on and say she hedged at some point and was able to either lose nothing or only take a small loss.

Whichever way it goes you will not hear her give and specific bet amounts or see any screenshots of the bet slips. Why? Because it is all make believe fantasy.




Well it looks like Brooke/Redpemtion didn’t hedge after all despite a 54pt opening quarter that would have scared the beejesus out of anyone having their “biggest bet of the year”, albeit a pretend one.




And in another heavy scoring qtr Redemptions under 142.5 is toast with 90 seconds left on the clock. With all the wild fluctuations in over/under line the BS hedging story she is currently composing will make hilarious reading.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 7:16pm
Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Qtr time and the over/under is now around the 168.5 mark. I guess Brooke/Redemption is hedging. Well pretending to anyway.



About 4 min ago - just after 2nd term began.





Low scoring qtr now he over/Uber is ito around 157.5.





Now for the uninitiated this is what is going to happen regardless of whether it goes over or under the original total:


You will not hear of any hedging strategy from Brooke before the game is either over or the result is known.

If it ends up going under the original total then Brooke will come and say she didn’t hedge at all or only hedged a little and still made a good profit.

If it ends up going over the original total then Brooke will come on and say she hedged at some point and was able to either lose nothing or only take a small loss.

Whichever way it goes you will not hear her give and specific bet amounts or see any screenshots of the bet slips. Why? Because it is all make believe fantasy.




Well it looks like Brooke/Redpemtion didn’t hedge after all despite a 54pt opening quarter that would have scared the beejesus out of anyone having their “biggest bet of the year”, albeit a pretend one.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 6:38pm


It slowed right up in that quarter. I stopped watching. If there's any rain about during the game it'll still fall under 146 no worries at all.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 6:30pm
Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Qtr time and the over/under is now around the 168.5 mark. I guess Brooke/Redemption is hedging. Well pretending to anyway.



About 4 min ago - just after 2nd term began.





Low scoring qtr now he over/Uber is ito around 157.5.





Now for the uninitiated this is what is going to happen regardless of whether it goes over or under the original total:


You will not hear of any hedging strategy from Brooke before the game is either over or the result is known.

If it ends up going under the original total then Brooke will come and say she didn’t hedge at all or only hedged a little and still made a good profit.

If it ends up going over the original total then Brooke will come on and say she hedged at some point and was able to either lose nothing or only take a small loss.

Whichever way it goes you will not hear her give and specific bet amounts or see any screenshots of the bet slips. Why? Because it is all make believe fantasy.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 6:04pm
Originally posted by ExceedAndExcel ExceedAndExcel wrote:

Qtr time and the over/under is now around the 168.5 mark. I guess Brooke/Redemption is hedging. Well pretending to anyway.



About 4 min ago - just after 2nd term began.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 5:52pm
Qtr time and the over/under is now around the 168.5 mark. I guess Brooke/Redemption is hedging. Well pretending to anyway.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 5:51pm
I didn't end up betting. No rain to speak of. There's some wind about and the ground is a touch wet but overall the conditions are okay.

54 in the first quarter. Looks to be going well overs.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 3:51pm
Hope you took a piece of the $17 on the head to head mowie! They even traded at $81 live in play l heard.

I'll be planting myself in a tab before the start of the West Coast game. If l see it bucketing down l'll be loading up on the under.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 Jul 2018 at 1:04pm
Originally posted by mowie mowie wrote:

got to be suns to cover the line 60 point headstart with loads of swans out, I put 50 on it

Great bet Mowie

Well done. Brilliant.

Clap


MJB, Ive bet very heavily for todays Perth game.


I took the 142.5 under, at $1.90

Will keep an eye on the game in case I have to hedge at halftime etc.
Its my biggest bet this year.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mowie Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Jul 2018 at 3:09pm
got to be suns to cover the line 60 point headstart with loads of swans out, I put 50 on it
chris Armstrong waller, *drugs are bad mkay
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 19 Jul 2018 at 3:38pm
Redemption, you've been quiet lately. Hope all is well.

Check out the weather forecast for Perth over the weekend.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Softy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Jul 2018 at 4:16am
Just wondering, upon perusal of other racing sites, whether this thread and maybe a couple of others will be closed down due to new legislation passed regarding sports betting / advertising?
Others may know more?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 Jun 2018 at 2:34pm
Good call MJB. Well done

Richmonds intensity is remarkable.
On top of what they did last year, they have self belief. Its only added to their new era.

I find it quite interesting that the Crows are sinking, after a bizarre pre-season, of punishment, playing Richmonds theme song all week to punish the team, etc, its old psych methods that dont work anymore.

I say this, because Richmond have turned to Yoga, led by Dusty.
And Collingwood have started going that down path too, and suddenly click into a gear.
Its become quite obvious that psych work that revolves around peace, honesty, opening up, Yoga etc, actually works.
They build respect, not only for themselves, but for each other.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Jun 2018 at 7:52pm
Richmond just a class above. It doesn't matter the conditions.

If they finish top 2 it's done. Give em the flag. Unbeatable at the G.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Jun 2018 at 2:30pm
geepez

lol

had it penned in for a cats home game in geelong

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Jun 2018 at 11:48am
I'm sure they're playing at the MCG today Redemption.
Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17 Jun 2018 at 11:14am
This is going to be a genuinely wet game

Its also worth noting, strong defensive sides are really able to limit scores at the Geelong ground, because its a narrow ground.
The narrowness enables the forward line to bottleneck faster, because more players are able to get back to the defensive 50 arc, so wet, plus bottleneck and good defensive teams, assure its a low scoring game.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote MJB Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2018 at 9:39pm
Yep. Obviously l'm no where near as confident on Richmond as l was a week ago. They should still be winning but it's dangerous messing around with the lines in a bog game. Obviously over 39 is extremely unlikely now.

I think l'll just take the $1.55 head to head in some multi's. Short but sweet.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16 Jun 2018 at 6:56pm
Sunday in Geelong looks promising for heavy rains.

Under 140.5, odds $1.82

Also if you want to go safer,
Under 150.5, odds $1.40

Thats on Neds


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15 Jun 2018 at 10:29pm
No you didn’t. Take a screenshot of your betting statement. Won’t happen of course.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15 Jun 2018 at 8:16pm
Actually, I kept all bets pre game.
I was happy enough with the wet, it was still slightly slippery on the surface.

However the score by the 25th minute mark, got to 36, nearing 40. thats alarm bells, because obviously 4 quarters at 40 points, is 160.

So I rang William Hill, score at 36, line 140.5, odds $2.10, and dumped my entire bet

In saying this though, and credit where its due, I found myself in the position that Oneonesit warned of.
The gap.
Had the score finished at 139 or 140, I would have lost my pre-game bets, and all of my hedge bet.
Whilst its a small risk, I did find myself stuck with that gap existing of 2 points.

Thankfully if went well over that.
I actually came out totally even


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15 Jun 2018 at 1:05am
Originally posted by MJB MJB wrote:

Hope you managed to limit your losses Redemption.

Ended up being perfect conditions, which can happen. But basically you stood no chance which is frustrating.



Of course Brooke/Redemption limited the loss. Always does. Don’t ask for a screen shot of the bets though. You don’t need them. Just take her word for it.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15 Jun 2018 at 12:56am
Originally posted by oneonesit oneonesit wrote:

At 5pm the weather forecast that I looked at had a " 24% precipitation" prediction. The conditions were therefore as expected.
That was for 8pm
Refer ALP Election Promises
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15 Jun 2018 at 12:54am
At 5pm the weather forecast that I looked at had a " 24% precipitation" prediction. The conditions were therefore as expected.
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