2018 The Everest

Miami wrote: JudgeHolden wrote: Typically professional performance from Redzel. Vega Magic okay trial for 1200. Ditto Brave Smash and Santa Ana Lane. They’ve done their dough on Invicible Star. Kementari short in the market, will they go here? Loved Shoals’ trial. Vega and Invincible Star looks shot to pieces already. I am not sold on Santa Ana as a top line sprinter and need to see him let rip in Sydney. Brave Smash was a pass mark. Redzel was OK.

Redzel was ok?

He had 60.5kg and has run the last 600 in 32.5 doing it without any fuss. What did he need to do to be good? 31 and change?

This far out from the Everest I don't want to get too excited any anything.

Speediskey wrote: Redzel had 60.5kg and has run the last 600 in 32.5 doing it without any fuss. What did he need to do to be good? 31 and change?

100/1 even if he gets a start, which is extremely unlikely.

I'm not saying Redzel can't be beaten, in fact if Trapeze Artist repeats his TJ performance I would say it's near impossible for Redzel to beat him.

Yes Redzel is your WYSIWYG horse.

It's just that I want to see a bit more improvement in him before the Everest. It was a satisfactory run and a good kick off point, nothing more nothing less.

Good run I thought considering 60-5kg, ran 56-19 sec. on a track that wasn't conducive to times, takes a seat in the run most important when letting down, still the one to beat imo although I'm on Shoals lol.

Have a look at the replay of the race pretty carefully and how it was run, Miami. Redzel was literally cuddled until the 200 pretty much exactly, at that moment Kaepernick started to get to him, as soon as the jockey asked Redzel to go he dropped him and was moving away on the line. With 60.5kg. Not many horses can even run a 32.5 last 600, let alone with a big weight, on a track that wasn't conducive to fast times, and without being asked to run for more than 200 of it.

Speediskey wrote: I'm not saying Redzel can't be beaten, in fact if Trapeze Artist repeats his TJ performance I would say it's near impossible for Redzel to beat him. Redzel reminds me of Buffering, but perhaps a touch better. Extremely honest on pacer that will deliver a Group 1 winning performance pretty much every time he steps out with very few excuses ever needed. Trapeze Artist is the complete opposite, he's clearly a very very good horse, but like all Gerald Ryan's he as inconsistent as seagull poo after eating your ice cream, if he turns up is a complete flip of the coin. Beyond that, I'm not sure anything else in Australia has really shown they can outperform Redzel on a fair track over 1200 (at least if it's not down a straight) Nature Strip is probably the only one with the X-Factor, but I'm firmly in the wouldn't get 1200 down a well camp for him.

Absolutely agree . Trapeze artist only wins when I’m not on hence he’ll probably wn the Everest because I’m not backing him . Vega doesn’t like it wet but they shouldn’t be a problem currently in Sydney . Brave Damsh great first up run will take a lot of improvement . The Smokey if he can get a run is nature strip . Will he or won’t he get 1200 ? Darren thinks he will and he’s been ultra ultra impressive so far . Very interesting actually looking forward to how all this plays out

Trapeze Artist is over the line, unbeatable.

Tlazolteotl wrote: Trapeze Artist is over the line, unbeatable.

I hate to say it Miami, but you are making sense9the reason I say I hate to say it, is because I want an exciting race, not just another race with huge prizemoney for 1200m horse).

Invincible Star has not won a group 1, Santa Ana Lane is a group 1 handicapper, Redzel's 2018 1200m form has been off his 2017 pace, English is a once in ten race winner, Shoals has won two group 1's in fillies, and fillies and mares grade, In Her Time needs to improve from her autumn/winter prep and Vega Magic and Brave Smash, need to improve from their last runs.

There certainly are no Chautauqua's, no horse who is running track records like Deploy did, no 3yo worthy of running, after last years evidence, although I have mentioned that if I was a slot holder Pure Elation would have moved up the list after last weekend, and nothing is coming through the winter, except for Nature Strip.

It is only the media who would hype up Nature Strip, so I am not sure how much quality, he would actually add.

Horses like Le Romain, Kementari, Pierata, Champagne Cuddles, Prompt Response, Cassius/Kemono, and others who were in contention, have lost a little substance over the last few weeks.


The two slot holders without a runner, have a very difficult decision coming up!     

If Nature Strip flops this weekend, so will this year's edition of the Everest.

Merchant Navy would definitely have added the required spice but he's gone.

Harry Angel is fried.

Bound for Nowhere?


Aside from him, I guess a few american or french horses to add some intrigue. HK and Japanese horses seem too difficult to fly over for quarantine reasons.

So Merchant Navy would have added spice... but Invincible Star, who Merchant Navy beat by 0.2 of a length is one of the flops of the race? 

Speediskey wrote: So Merchant Navy would have added spice... but Invincible Star, who Merchant Navy beat by 0.2 of a length is one of the flops of the race?  Just because he went overseas and beat up on D graders doesn't change anything.