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The Trump Presidency |
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marble
Champion Joined: 12 Jan 2008 Location: Brisbane Status: Offline Points: 6242 |
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latest - Trump committed a felony! go donny the supposed multi millionaire using campaign finances to buy silence on his dirty affairs
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Shammy Davis
Champion Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 8601 |
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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Shammy Davis
Champion Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 8601 |
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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Shammy is Trump the first un-indicted co-conspirator/criminal President since Nixon?
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Shammy Davis
Champion Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 8601 |
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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What do you think was the point of including the suggestion that he was implicated in 2 campaign finance crimes, but didn't go further?
As I pointed out last week the Deutsche Bank raid may well have been about Trump/Russia, and as it is the only bank willing to do business with Trump there could be evidence of tax(state and federal - Gamble decision will be important here)banking, wire fraud criminality that logically follows from the campaign fraud, if proven. It is these crimes that put Manafort in prison for the remainder of his life.
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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I haven't read it all yet Shammy(235 pages ) but I found this exchange interesting between Gowdy, Comey and the FBI lawyer Cecilia Bessee. Did she confirm that Mr Mueller is investigating Trump for obstruction? I have never seen it stated anywhere, only speculated.
Page 31 if you look for it.
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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The Twitter lawyers, including some very good real ones are starting to explore Spiro Agnew possibilities rather than the last 2 years of Nixon comparisons.
An excellent argument being the fact that if Trump loses the 2020 election, his bargaining power for immunity goes out the window. His best chance is to strike a deal while he still has bargaining power. He has a very competent incoming(likely) Attorney General now to manage the negotiations, should it be necessary. Impeachment odds shortening with every Mueller submission. In to odds on now. $1.81
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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Hey Shammy, I think Rudy read the Comey transcript. He knows he is going to prison. All the clues were there. Mr Comey is now trolling team treason He knows what is coming.
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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Seems lyin' leakin' Comey has Donald rattled also.
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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Hey Shammy, who will the new COS be?
I see Nick Ayers doesn't want to get involved and has even jumped ship from the sinking Pence show. He knows they are all going down.
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marble
Champion Joined: 12 Jan 2008 Location: Brisbane Status: Offline Points: 6242 |
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who'd want it? Kelly kept the child in chief under some sort of control. The clowns will now be running the circus
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stayer
Champion Joined: 10 Aug 2010 Status: Offline Points: 21914 |
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Geez I thought maybe the #realnews about the France (and spreading) movement might at least get a mention here because Donald clumsily waded into it...
Lefties still trying to come up with a consensus opinion about it that deflects from the real issues? |
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Passing Through
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There is nothing stopping you finally contributing something after 709 pages, rather than just sniping.
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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stayer
Champion Joined: 10 Aug 2010 Status: Offline Points: 21914 |
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Contributed a hell of a lot more than your 708 pages, PT!
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Passing Through
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Nobody wants to babysit Donald, and nobody wants the cost of legal fees that goes with being associated with him. Funny how both Trump and Pence COS quit the same weekend Trump became an un-indicted felon.
NEW: A source close to Mulvaney tells me he is no longer interested in COS job, Mnuchin and Lighthizer sending out same signals.... list of potential replacements for Kelly shrinking by the hour.
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Shammy Davis
Champion Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 8601 |
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CNNPT thinks he is providing the world a public service by reposting old regurgitated Trump news. Then he attacks it as if we yanks are totally ignorant of what is going on in our country. Clearly OZ has some big issues. NYT reports today that a lawsuit claims crimes against humanity in you migrant detention camps. Then, there is your government where no confidence is the rule, not the exception. And, of course your relationship with China is aggravating. Got are our Marines hold up in Darwin, a port apparently owned by the Chinese while our Navy challenges them to allow free international passage in your surrounding seas. Who is confused here? If it weren't for the fact that the UK is in worse shape than OZ, I might have earlier suggested you revert to being a colony. CNNPT hardly owns a bully pulpit or snipers loft on POTUS based on current events in OZ. Besides, CNNPT keeps shooting himself in the foot. His bullseye, POTUS, remains unstruck. No marksmanship there. Stayer, keep at it. A few well chosen thoughts beats a thread full of nonsense everytime. |
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Shammy Davis
Champion Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 8601 |
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Passing Through
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Is it alright to call you Shammy, or should I find a derogatory epithet to snipe you with? If you know what a sh*tshow the Trump circus is, why haven't you done something about it yet? As for nothing new this is a rolling crime spree, and I am sure you would like criticism of it to just go away so you can shove your collective Republicans heads somewhere, but it isn't going to happen. We are invested in the destruction you are leveling on the Western world order in the name of profit(Trump profit).
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Passing Through
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Spend more time with his family. Geez, never heard that one before from a politician on his way out the door.
Was it Ayres who was mentioned in the Manafort sentencing documents who was the person/s that Paulie was communicating with in the Trump administration? 6 corrupt middle aged white guys have put their hands up for the job, although half of them are reported to be praying to not be picked. Mnuchin says he has a 4 day a week job now and doesn't like Friday's, especially Mueller Fridays. He doesn't want to wiping Trump's arse on that day. Meadows is keen to do it apparently. Going into minority in 3 weeks time his pro Trump stunts are over and committees will start doing actual oversight. Might even start investigating him and Nunes. Maybe from inside the WH he can advise Trump on dealing with his pet subject, budget repair and debt reduction. |
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marble
Champion Joined: 12 Jan 2008 Location: Brisbane Status: Offline Points: 6242 |
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Shammy, whoever takes the job is risking their political future . Trump is badly on the nose .
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Shammy Davis
Champion Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 8601 |
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Passing Through
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It is usually hard to see it when you are consumed by it and so heavily invested in it Shammy.
Your former Republican mates think it is just about time to remove the albatross from around their necks soon and try to save something ahead of 2020. Even you may see it one day.
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Passing Through
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Hey Shammy, what is smocking?
''The simple private transaction'' Is that the payments to women he claimed never happened...until of course Cohen produced tapes and Rudy blurted it out to Hannity? The look on Sean's face was priceless. ''Oh, I didn't know that''
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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Opinion Donald Trump owns this stock marketAt the risk of engaging in narrative fallacy (with a dash of hindsight bias), let's consider three distinct policies of this administration, and how they are hurting the economy and markets: Higher interest rates: Trump replaced Janet Yellen, a dovish Federal Reserve chief (whose policies he liked), with hawkish Jerome Powell, whose policies he dislikes. Rates have gone higher, and it is the proximate result of the president's appointment. There is no one else to blame for this mistake but the president. Powell's leanings were well known; so too were those of Trump's appointment for vice chairman, Richard Clarida. This self-inflicted error is perplexing - when Trump was running for office, he berated Yellen, saying she "should be ashamed that rates were so low." We have since found out that he did not re-appoint Yellen because he felt that, at 5-foot, 3-inches, she was "too short" to run the central bank. This has to be one of the great unforced mistakes in the postwar history of US monetary policy. Global recession concerns: Rising rates have helped push the yield curve toward inversion, with short-term rates higher than long-term rates. At least the five-year and the two-year Treasuries have inverted; the classic recession warning is when yields on 10-year and the two-year securities invert. Now, we see broader signs that global growth is slowing. Corporate profits may have hit a peak (1). Economies are cyclical, and the US has gone almost a decade without a recession, roughly two times longer than the average interval between slowdowns. That implies we are overdue for a slump. None of the usual signs of an imminent recession are present, but 2020-21 isn't an unthinkable time line. Tariffs and trade war: Yet another self-inflicted wound seems to have taken place in the aftermath of the G20 summit in Argentina. Trump announced a ceasefire in the trade dispute with China. Equity futures rallied strongly a week ago on Sunday night. The truce turned out to be nonexistent. Bloomberg News showed a side-by-side comparison of statements by Trump and by the Chinese government on the supposed deal, which was never reduced to writing. It isn't just that Trump overstated the terms of the agreement; there was no deal (2). Wall Street subsequently had its worst week since March, and it looks like we may be in for more of the same this week. The president sandbagged Wall Street. Despite his well-known casual relationship with the truth, traders naively assumed the president wouldn't mislead about something as crucial as the resolution of an expanding trade war. By the time the president declared "I am a Tariff Man," he had lost the trust of traders. To be sure, these are not the only factors behind the stock-market sell-off. Rising deficits have spooked bond markets; enthusiasm about the large corporate tax cuts passed in December 2017 has faded; the strong dollar is often cited as a headwind for corporate earnings; US stock valuations remain rich; China's economy has slowed; Brexit is problematic, and the rest of Europe has more than a few messy problems. Any combination of these could be contributing to market volatility. That said, we are nearing the halfway mark of Trump's presidency. Those waiting for that pivot toward his being presidential have been disappointed. Instead, they are now extrapolating his policy errors forward, and finding a significant and negative affect on the US economy and stock markets. I'm not in the business of making forecasts, so I will pose a question: Does anyone think it gets better from here? (1) To be fair, wags have been calling a peak in corporate profits for a long while. (2) CNBC's Carl Quintanilla quotes a JPMorgan trading note: 'It doesn't seem like anything was actually agreed to at the dinner and White House officials are contorting themselves into pretzels to reconcile Trump's tweets (which seem if not completely fabricated then grossly exaggerated) with reality.' Barry Ritholtz is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He founded Ritholtz Wealth Management and was chief executive and director of equity research at FusionIQ, a quantitative research firm. He is the author of Bailout Nation. Bloomberg |
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Passing Through
Champion Joined: 09 Jan 2013 Location: At home Status: Offline Points: 79532 |
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Good article Whale. Very true. Normally despite them either owning or disowning markets depending on how they are faring, Govts dont have profound impacts on markets. This is different with Trump with his bizarre brainfarts and 180 changes of mind on huge policy positions and his willingness to blow up trade agreements and established international alliances on a whim. A very dangerous man.
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Shammy Davis
Champion Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 8601 |
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Passing Through
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Anyway, whatever Donald is smocking, I dont want any.
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