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2017 Melbourne Cup

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Bombers41 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Bombers41 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 Sep 2017 at 9:36am
Yeah he does look a tad on the small side. Like Red Rancher I'm all over Albert - watching the video above makes me even more bullish...I got him going to win around 10K at present but might put a few more $$ on today. Red Cardinal and the Hayes horse Ventura Storm are the other 2 I have backed at about 20/1
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 Sep 2017 at 11:22am
Originally posted by Lord Hybrow Lord Hybrow wrote:

Originally posted by mikey mikey wrote:

I think Harlem has an air of timing about him. Low down in the weights and peaking at the right time the big Cups double might not be beyond him.

Even after his 0.5kg penalty for winning the Naturalism Stks, he's still only 59th in the order of entry for the Melb Cup at the moment. There wail be plenty drop out at 1st acceptances next month but I think he's going to need to win something on the way through to make the field. I'm sure David Hayes is hoping that win will be the Caulfield Cup, but if he doesn't win that, they may need to backup in the MV Cup, Bendigo Cup or Hotham Hcp to force his way into the Melb Cup field.


Pretty sure winning The Naturalism ensures you a spot in the race ?

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 Sep 2017 at 11:23am
Sorry my mistake. I am talking the wrong race. 😑
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VPI Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 Sep 2017 at 10:30pm
No Albert. Someone let Bill Cosby know.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Red Rancher Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Sep 2017 at 9:22am
Just saw confirmation Albert is not coming. Will now have to back something else at decent odds Nakeeta?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote VPI Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Sep 2017 at 3:12pm
Nakeeta, you will never show (apologies to Elton John).
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 Sep 2017 at 3:51pm
Just had a message from Tilly, she’s counting down the hours until Tiberian arrives tomorrow
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cotto1 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 1:43pm
Hi guys:
a big crop of internationals arrived yesterday for the melbourne cup.
Including red cardinal and tiberian.
What does everyone make of francis of assisi?.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 1:51pm
Originally posted by cotto1 cotto1 wrote:

Hi guys:
a big crop of internationals arrived yesterday for the melbourne cup.
Including red cardinal and tiberian.
What does everyone make of francis of assisi?.



Like him a lot mate , both him and the stablemate Quewy , great chances and their here.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Oct 2017 at 7:36pm
reductio ad absurdum
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mug-Punter Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Oct 2017 at 7:42pm
Wouldn't call the list definitive list when horses aren't on the list.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Oct 2017 at 7:51pm
Originally posted by Mug-Punter Mug-Punter wrote:

Wouldn't call the list definitive list when horses aren't on the list.

Who do you know of is missing ?


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mug-Punter Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Oct 2017 at 8:33pm
Wall of Fire wasn't there for 1
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Oct 2017 at 8:44pm
If you can think of more I will post them to them and see if they know what is going on with them. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mug-Punter Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Oct 2017 at 8:54pm
Will have a better look and get back to you shortly.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mug-Punter Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Oct 2017 at 8:59pm

More internationals descend on Melbourne for Spring Racing Carnival

RV_Author Racing Victoria Staff@RacingInsider     30 September, 2017
, (
Eighteen international horses, including four from Godolphin UK’s powerful stable and two trained by Irish master Aidan O’Brien, have touched down on Australian soil this morning ahead of their assault on the Spring Racing Carnival.

Returning heroes Francis of Assisi and Qewy arrived with their Godolphin stablemates Folkswood and Kidmenever in the early hours of the morning, whilst a further 14 landed at Melbourne Airport just before 11am.    

That number included Red Cardinal, trained by Emirates Melbourne Cup-winning trainer Andreas Wohler; Kaspersky, the horse ridden by Michelle Payne at Royal Ascot; Marmelo, winner of the Group 2 Prix Kergorlay in France; the Willie Mullins-trained Max Dynamite, who finished runner-up behind Payne’s mount Prince of Penzance in the 2015 Melbourne Cup; the Australian Thoroughbred Bloodstock-owned Tiberian, a winner of four of his last five starts; and the O’Brien duo of Taj Mahal and Johannes Vermeer.

Four of the horses joined Admire Deus in the Vintage Crop Stables at the Werribee International Horse Centre, and the remaining 14 were sent to the adjacent Newminster Stables to complete their mandatory quarantine period, which ends on Saturday, 14 October.

Five more thoroughbreds - O’Brien’s US Army Ranger; the Mullins pair of Max Dynamite and Thomas Hobson; Rekindling, owned by Lloyd Williams and trained by O’Brien’s son Joseph; and Ebor Handicap winner Nakeeta, trained by Scotsman Iain Jardine – entered quarantine in the UK and Ireland the early hours of Friday morning, and are scheduled to arrive in Melbourne on 14 October.

After completing their two-week quarantine, that quintet will be aimed at the Melbourne Cup (3200m) on Tuesday, 7 November.

The full list of international horses which arrived in Melbourne on Saturday morning is as follows:

HORSE                  TRAINER
Red Cardinal          Andreas Wohler (Ger)
Wicklow Brave      Willie Mullins (Ire)
Tiberian                 Alain Couetil (Fra)
Francis of Assisi     Charlie Appleby (UK)
Kaspersky              Jane Chapple-Hyam (UK)
Steel of Madrid      Tony McEvoy (Aus)
Folkswood             Charlie Appleby (UK)
Johannes Vermeer Aidan O'Brien (Ire)
Marmelo               Hughie Morrison (UK)
Taj Mahal               Aidan O'Brien (Ire)
Qewy                    Charlie Appleby (UK)
Wall of Fire            Hugo Palmer (UK)
Riven Light             Willie Mullins (Ire)
Kidmenever           Charlie Appleby (UK)
Mask of Time        Hugo Palmer (UK)
Sixties Groove       Darren Weir (Aus)
Fastnet Tempest    William Haggas (UK)
Garcia                     Andreas Wohler (Ger)

The first batch who are already here. Not all for Melbourne Cup
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Oct 2017 at 11:58am
This is a very interesting group of horses and trainers, so with the kiwi's and what we can rustle up this can be a top shelf carnival, one thing missing though, a good o/s sprinter.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Farmermick Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Oct 2017 at 7:03pm
I have said it before on this topic the Cup that by backing Horses (Stallions) you would have won the last 5 of the 7 cups so odds are with the boys with there nads, narrows the field significantly.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote rugby0 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Oct 2017 at 7:15pm
Not enthused by almandin in Bart Cummings. Going to throw my $ at Red Cardinal. Looks the goods and hipe it gets a good lift in the Herbert Power. In the footsteps of Protectionist this fella.
Jezabeel was my greatest horse.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Oct 2017 at 7:36pm
Originally posted by Farmermick Farmermick wrote:

I have said it before on this topic the Cup that by backing Horses (Stallions) you would have won the last 5 of the 7 cups so odds are with the boys with there nads, narrows the field significantly.

Too small a sample to be of significance. If you look at all the cups since 2000, it shows mares did best by S/R and POT, but again, too small a sample. Makybe Diva responsible for most of that.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Oct 2017 at 7:46pm
Originally posted by Farmermick Farmermick wrote:

I have said it before on this topic the Cup that by backing Horses (Stallions) you would have won the last 5 of the 7 cups so odds are with the boys with there nads, narrows the field significantly.


5337311x681JON SNOW (NZ)H4Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman554.5kg3.5
639x260x34xADMIRE DEUS (JPN)H7Darren Weir656kg3.5
10242x11711xTIBERIAN (FR)H6Alain Couetil1055.5kg4
11210x140124REKINDLING (GB)H4Joseph O'Brien1151.5kg4
161232x1521xMARMELO (GB)H5Hughie Morrison1655kg4.5
173x5126x696INFERENCEH4Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes1753.5kg4.5
211x3x45712xJOHANNES VERMEER (IRE)H5Aidan O'Brien2154.5kg5
2501121x5x76VENTURA STORM (IRE)H5David & B Hayes & T Dabernig2554kg5.5
2812652x5770HARPER’S CHOICEH4Gerald Ryan2852.5kg5.5
34428x320386US ARMY RANGER (IRE)H5Aidan O'Brien3453.5kg6
451642x6574xRED VERDON (USA)H5Ed Dunlop4553kg6.5
4811x6248x2xWALL OF FIRE (IRE)H5Hugo Palmer4853kg6.5
59384x386x51HARLEM (GB)H6David & B Hayes & T Dabernig5951.5kg0.5kg8.5
7220x076x070GREY LION (IRE)H6Matt Cumani7250kg9.5
7321x3811x76GALLIC CHIEFTAIN (FR)H5Darren Weir7350kg9.5
8580x621x020GUARDINI (FR)H7Darren Weir85=53kg6.5
86x212411x13STAMPEDEH5Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott85=53kg6.5
900x0D71x000AMRALAH (IRE)H8Robert Hickmott90=52kg7.5
91516510x393BOOM TIMEH6David & B Hayes & T Dabernig90=52kg7.5
921x5338x116COMIN’ THROUGHH4Chris Waller9250kg8
97624x42x32xKIDMENEVER (IRE)H5Charlie Appleby95=50.5kg9
991412x3x50xSARRASIN (GB)H6Chris Waller95=50.5kg9
101354965x416ANAHEIMH4Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young100=50kg9.5
1119x17351116KELLSTORM (IRE)H5Darren Weir100=50kg9.5
116155x515x21LORD FANDANGO (GER)H5Archie Alexander100=50kg9.5
118213x009435LORESHO (FR)H7Darren Weir100=50kg9.5
125x4x8038x90PRINCE CHERI (FR)H9John O'Shea100=50kg9.5
1264x4197x887RAW IMPULSE (GB)H6Darren Weir100=50kg9.5
133227x090x5xSINGING (FR)H8Kris Lees100=50kg9.5

reductio ad absurdum
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Oct 2017 at 7:52pm
Narrows the field down to about 30 ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Farmermick Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Oct 2017 at 11:18am
I have specked 2 Stallions each way INFERENCE (17) & HARPERS CHOICE (28)which one is already in the field basically and the other should make it. Will probably just have one more bet on one more higher up but Technically you wouldn't use the number as 30 as those listed down in the lower order of entry wont even make the field but if you look above in those noted at least roughly 1/3 will be Stallions (8 of 24), happy to have any side bets with punters as cashed up due to my horse THREEPENNYOPERA saluting at Newcastle last night another Stallion will win the 2017 running of the cup.
Couldn't be any more confident!!!!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote VOYAGER Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Oct 2017 at 7:56pm
Okay so there is 29 stallion prospects left from the acceptors.

You can get rid of Anaheim, Prince Cheri, Raw Impulse and Singing as they are useless at this level (maybe Anaheim could get to a Lavazza, maybe). That gives us 25.

Inference is a top four hope at best so his not a winning chance. 24.

Harpers Choice has disappointed, but he has not been at his best distances, however he needs to show something quick, but a non winning hope for mine. 23.

Grey Lion, Gallic Chieftain, Stampede, Amrallah, Boom Time and Sarrasin are all at least two classes below this level (maybe they could win a Queen Elizabeth, if they were lucky), so they get shifted. 17.

If Comin Through ever runs 3200m good enough to run top four in a Melbourne Cup, I will switch allegiances to Islam and join ISIS. 16.

Of those who are left I do not know much about the overseas runners, and Lord Fandango, the German with Archie Alexander, so I will leave that up to others, but I think Ventura Storm and Jon Snow are the two who look likely at this point in time.

Kellstorm raced well in the Bart Cummings, and Harlem will be better suited to Caulfield.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Oct 2017 at 9:43pm
See link below, Ryan Moore booked to ride Red Cardinal in the Melbourne Cup, also it seems Red Cardinal wont be running in the Herbert Power and will run First-up In the Cup:

https://www.racingandsports.com.au/en/racing/bowman-tests-internationals-for-cup-story-422365
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Oct 2017 at 10:32pm
Hang on a minute...read this article...it says Red Cardinal to run in Herbert Power.....I guess best to wait and see:


https://www.flemington.com.au/news/2017-10-05/cup-options-aplenty-for-bowman
Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote maccamax Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Oct 2017 at 11:25pm
I see Francis Of Assisi has arrived .     Rattled of a couple of smart wins when here last year. Sensational sectionals .    I can add him to my other 40 chances.
Warmed to Amelie's Star & Ventura Storm ( 3 wins 1 second ) from 4 2200 and beyond . Chased Winx , On Saturday .
The weights will sort them out.

Only 30 more sleeps before we collect.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Bombers41 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 Oct 2017 at 12:02pm
I have 3 live chances still - Big Duke, Ventura Storm & Red Cardinal. got them all at good odds, but have already done my money on Order of St George & Albert - thats the risk backing them early I guess...!! Still happy with those 3 horses - in particular Ventura Storm looked good on the weekend
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jamal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 Oct 2017 at 12:39pm
Ive had a little something on Red Cardinal....backed him in May.

Only concern is - the plan was to run Red Cardinal in the Herbert Power Stakes, but I jsve read he may not run in that race and will run in the Cup first up. Is this going to be a problem? The only horse to win the Cuo first up was Vintage Crop in 1993, so it seems to be a hard task.....but I remember Heartbreak City beaten by 0.2 lengths in last year's Cup.

Australian racing is only good up to 1400m in terms of world standards when it comes to depth/quality in numbers
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 Oct 2017 at 12:40pm
It is a bit of a task winning the Melbourne Cup no matter which way you go.


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