Go to Villagebet.com.au for free horse racing tips - Click here now |
|
Black Heart Bart |
Post Reply | Page <1 910111213 21> |
Author | |||
Speediskey
Champion Joined: 19 Feb 2014 Status: Offline Points: 4116 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
It's worth noting that Music Magnate won the same race (The Luskin Star) the start before he won the Doomben 10k.
Clearly Innocent won it a lot more impressively as well. Certainly no shoe in but definitely a good chance.
|
|||
Lordy
Champion Joined: 22 May 2010 Location: Sunshine State Status: Offline Points: 13887 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
You can't really look at a single race and drawing parallels to the previous year's winner when assessing form going into a G1. You have to look at the individual horse and their form right though in the lead up. Music Magnate was a Group winner at Randwick in his lead up and was pretty good coming through the grades in metro class. Clearly Innocent is a noted Scone specialist and hasn't really measured up in his previous cracks at the Group races in Sydney. Ironically his only metro win was the Country Championship where he took on a lot of other country gallopers. It really doesn't read like a favourite for a G1 WFA race.
|
|||
Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45727 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Didn't think Rawiller did a whole lot wrong in the Goodwood, more a case of sometimes things don't always go your way in a competitive event like that.
|
|||
Lordy
Champion Joined: 22 May 2010 Location: Sunshine State Status: Offline Points: 13887 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Yeah, I didn't think the ride was that bad. BHB seemed to take his spot without much issue. Maybe he's not really a 1200m horse any more.
|
|||
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
I think Weiry's issue was more so that Brad settled too close.
|
|||
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|||
Delta Deel
Champion Joined: 25 Aug 2015 Status: Offline Points: 8896 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
I didn't think anything about the ride/run hampered the horses chances. Never looked the winner.
|
|||
https://group1selections.wordpress.com/
|
|||
VPI
Champion Joined: 30 Dec 2009 Status: Offline Points: 4466 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
I don't think you are a noted course specialist, no matter what some media types say, when you've had only 14 starts nearly half of them quite good away from your home track. Also had 1 or 2 problems.
Perhaps having beating Media Magnate and finishing 1.4 lengths behind English 1st up at too short a distance is good enough here. BHB- ran average in an average race, agree likely needing further unless some issue.
|
|||
@value_punter
|
|||
SYT
Champion Joined: 10 Oct 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8337 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Into $3.5 now!
|
|||
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Very disappointing
|
|||
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|||
The Stallion
Champion Joined: 17 Feb 2010 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 1019 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Forgive all horses on that track today.
|
|||
That's the smell of victory, you can't wash that out.
|
|||
3blindmice
Champion Joined: 22 Oct 2012 Status: Offline Points: 18105 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Agree. Total forgive. Risk is that some horses will lose confidence after racing on that mess.
|
|||
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
No chance in the Straddie on a track like that.
|
|||
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|||
Lexawin
Champion Joined: 15 Apr 2016 Status: Offline Points: 381 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Could you not tell he was totally unhappy in the cow paddock... one of the worst tracks ever....
|
|||
Shawy38
Champion Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17383 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Even if the track was bad, he was still average to poor in the straight.
Might want 1600 now
|
|||
crooked_gambler
Champion Joined: 27 Jan 2015 Status: Offline Points: 4676 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Of course I could, I'm not a complete dingbat. Still was a disappointing below par performance imho |
|||
This space has been intentionally left blank
|
|||
Lexawin
Champion Joined: 15 Apr 2016 Status: Offline Points: 381 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
So on one hand you say you could see he did not handle the track on the other hand you say he was disappointing... you sure you are not a dingbat......if he didn't handle the track how could he run up to his best????
|
|||
Lexawin
Champion Joined: 15 Apr 2016 Status: Offline Points: 381 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
you should join the dingbat club too... can't have it both ways...you can not possibly judge hi if he did not handle the track..its common sense really...if it had been a track he handled and was disappointing then its a different story..clearly he was struggling through the ground.
|
|||
Delta Deel
Champion Joined: 25 Aug 2015 Status: Offline Points: 8896 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Horse was well unders, looking for at least 1400m or even 1600m now. Might have reached the top of his bell curve in his career as well.
|
|||
https://group1selections.wordpress.com/
|
|||
VOYAGER
Champion Joined: 04 Aug 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 18737 |
Post Options
Thanks(1)
|
||
What I want ti know is whay is he still racing?
I thought his run in Adelaide was alright and he came to a track which looked shifty, so I am just wondering why you would risk him in these races when he is a certain spring group 1 contender in races at 1400m and 1600m and even maybe a hong kong mile! Really can not see the point! |
|||
Remember, it might take intelligence to be smart , but it takes experience to be wise
|
|||
Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Offline Points: 51994 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
I didn't gain any confidence at all in his RSN i'view this morning, it was very much "the boys tell me he'll handle the conditions" etc.
|
|||
Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
|
|||
3blindmice
Champion Joined: 22 Oct 2012 Status: Offline Points: 18105 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
After 1 mediocre run on a track I wouldn't ask Tony Abbott to ride his bike on - unless it had just a seat peg? You're kidding surely.
|
|||
3blindmice
Champion Joined: 22 Oct 2012 Status: Offline Points: 18105 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Add to that "I wouldn't back him up normally but he galloped well during the week". Siunded to me like they were just hoping for a repeat of the Stradbroke run and underestimated how shyte the track would actually be.
|
|||
Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Offline Points: 51994 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Sounded to me as if it wasn't his decision to run, as he stated the week prior when saying he'd go out 'till the Spring depending on connections & that he'd not go North due to a dislike of wet tracks.
|
|||
Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
|
|||
djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Just a really poor training effort. Threw a dart and missed the board. |
|||
reductio ad absurdum
|
|||
jacko1
Champion Joined: 26 Jun 2007 Status: Offline Points: 1801 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Don't think he's the same horse since that Cox Plate.
|
|||
djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
If this is fact than I take the above back. Only just though. |
|||
reductio ad absurdum
|
|||
3blindmice
Champion Joined: 22 Oct 2012 Status: Offline Points: 18105 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Agree jacko, he's older. Won two G1s and second in a G2 since so age must agree with him.
|
|||
jacko1
Champion Joined: 26 Jun 2007 Status: Offline Points: 1801 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Yes. He's still competitive in these races. Just not at the level he was.
|
|||
Balciano
Champion Joined: 09 Nov 2016 Status: Offline Points: 863 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
Up until a week ago his last 2 starts were both Group 1 WFA wins in Melbourne. First time he'd won back to back Group 1's, first time he won back to back races since joining Weir. Now on the basis of 2 runs in a week, one on a track that resembled quicksand, he's not at the level he once was. Think that's jumping the gun a bit. Very premature to say he's not the horse he was IMO. |
|||
Delta Deel
Champion Joined: 25 Aug 2015 Status: Offline Points: 8896 |
Post Options
Thanks(0)
|
||
What and forgive his very average effort in a very weak G1 1st up as well. That run today rated on par with his Goodwood run. |
|||
https://group1selections.wordpress.com/
|
|||
Post Reply | Page <1 910111213 21> |
Tweet |
Forum Jump | Forum Permissions You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot create polls in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum |