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Azkadellia |
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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Posted: 16 Oct 2014 at 3:28pm |
This is my long range bolter Oaks tip. I called Zanbagh last year around this time, and she ran a great 2nd in the race.
They don't trial any better than this horse did at Cranbourne a few weeks ago. I think Ciaron Maher has something pretty good on his hands. Caulfield is not going to be her track, she will love Flemington, but I look forward to her racing on Saturday. |
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robbo
Champion Joined: 27 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 1573 |
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Seriously, this was one of the best trials I have ever seen. Is she a moral Saturday?
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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She's terribly weighted for a horse that's only won a maiden and a 64, but it's not a strong race, and if she lives up to the trial, then she wins. |
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Tassam
Champion Joined: 27 Aug 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 2757 |
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She looks very good, but Oaks in 2.5 weeks??
This is only a 1400m race, she'd need 2 more runs before the Oaks. Surely she's not heading there... |
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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I took $51 as a speculator. Agree she will be cutting it very fine to even get there.
I think Bella Capri is no slouch and can also win tomorrow. |
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Sunline...simply supreme
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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So can the Sunflower. Big run last start
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Gay3
Moderator Group Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Location: Miners Rest Status: Offline Points: 52012 |
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BB from Deane Lester this morning + Leebaz & Anatina, fwiw
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Wisdom has been chasing me but I've always outrun it!
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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[QUOTE=Tassam] She looks very good, but Oaks in 2.5 weeks??
This is only a 1400m race, she'd need 2 more runs before the Oaks. Surely she's not heading there...[/QUOTEDo Yeh, fair point. |
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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That will do me.....
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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subby......black cat?
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SYT
Champion Joined: 10 Oct 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8337 |
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Soo close sub, moral beaten!
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James Bond Esq
Champion Joined: 20 Sep 2013 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 13905 |
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Michelle the butcher.
Darling, learn to ride your horse out of the barriers. |
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Vincent
Champion Joined: 17 Feb 2014 Status: Offline Points: 1414 |
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If you'd done the form, which you clearly haven't, you would have known that the filly has always been a shocking barrier rogue which inevitably comes out last or near last. Horses like that are frequently going to be dicey prospects and "good things beaten".
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honi soit qui mal y pense
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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I have yet to watch the race but everybody else seems to think she should have come down the outside instead of riding for luck. Naturally I will reserve judgement until I have seen the footage.
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reductio ad absurdum
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James Bond Esq
Champion Joined: 20 Sep 2013 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 13905 |
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You know nothing Vincent,
Michelle Payne is in with the stewards atm. They are simply asking her how she got her jockeys licence? |
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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Vincent you've got no clue, son. No matter what, a half decent ride wins the race in a canter. She gave it the worst possible ride, and the only ride that could get it beat.
She's in the stewards room and I hope leaves without her f*c*ing licence! She's no bloody good.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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hatch
Champion Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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Great ride for the future of the horse , settled well held up by slow horses early , got a great run through ,finished brilliantly , stick with her , great run from a 4 horse country maiden win to lead it into The Oaks.
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Browndog
Moderator Group Joined: 30 Oct 2009 Location: Brunswick Hds N Status: Offline Points: 35559 |
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On her ride Azkadellia |
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djebel
Premium Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Status: Offline Points: 53960 |
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.@mj_payne tells @RVStewards she elected to go inside in straight as it would have been too much for Azkadellia to go around with them 59.5 |
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reductio ad absurdum
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James Bond Esq
Champion Joined: 20 Sep 2013 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 13905 |
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Thanks Michelle and Cerion Maher, by the way, can you tell the punters before the race that you are actually not trying to ride the horse to win the race.
That would be nice. This is the problem with racing. Half the horses in a particular race aren't actually being ridden on their merits to win the race. |
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James Bond Esq
Champion Joined: 20 Sep 2013 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 13905 |
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Hi Michelle, if you get a chance study how Brad Rawilier rode Straum Star in the second race, this will give you a clue. Cheers.
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hatch
Champion Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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Great educational run for an inexperienced horse , narrowly beaten by a plunge horse , keep her on it, she will win the much more valuable Oaks , giving her great stud value.
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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This is why you can't give horse to small stables or back them with confidence. They do things like put on Michelle Payne.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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Vincent
Champion Joined: 17 Feb 2014 Status: Offline Points: 1414 |
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So I guess you didn't back Set Square in the 3rd.
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honi soit qui mal y pense
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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Funny what happens when you put a jockey with two hands and a brain on.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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Vincent
Champion Joined: 17 Feb 2014 Status: Offline Points: 1414 |
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I'll take that as a no. But can't argue it wasn't a lot better ride than Payne's.
ps did you know Hall was crook all week, wasn't able to waste, and was about 8/1 about even riding on Wednesday? Half the jockey room will probably be down with the flu come Monday.
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honi soit qui mal y pense
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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That was a no. I'm miles behind after missing with a few big go's.
Didn't know that about Hall. Would have needed to be dead to miss this day after his day last year. Taking a risk though, wouldn't want to be still trying to shake it come next week.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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hatch
Champion Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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I think they have a great strike rate , trainer and jockey combinations would like to have it . Results is what counts ,the facts . Not some goofs ideas. But I did see Sunline put in a very good post about the group 1 trainers. |
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hatch
Champion Joined: 14 Oct 2008 Status: Offline Points: 6360 |
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Good to see the stewards did not agree with some of the goofs on here , after looking at the replay they said " THEY HAD NO CRITICISM OF HER RIDE " Why would you want to hunt a young horse out of the barrier and risk teaching to overace . |
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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Hatch please, stick to the facts. She escaped suspension for sheer incompetence, doesn't mean it wasn't a bad ride.
It was a shocker, Michelle would admit it. You would gain more cred when you admit that not every ride is a good one, Hatchy Boy. |
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