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Group 1 Selections
Champion Joined: 11 Sep 2012 Status: Offline Points: 13740 |
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Posted: 05 Sep 2014 at 8:52pm |
Smart filly returning for the Waller yard R3 tomorrow and direct stable word for her 2nd ever start "improved and looking for this trip, wary of Gerald's but we think ours is Group class..." she duly came out and won by 1.5L although that field seemed a bit light on class.
Thrown in the deep end tomorrow against a top quality filly ion Earthquake but have a sneaky bet on her to beat the good un' as have seen how keen they have been to avoid wet tracks with Earthquake. Also farmed around for prices for the Thousand Guineas which is the immediate Spring goal and if she runs well tomorrow the 31's- 26's wont be around.
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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There is another 3YO filly in Wallers yard that they rate just as well. Missed kick at first start & that was it. Interesting to see how she shapes up. Will also race in the next few weeks
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SYT
Champion Joined: 10 Oct 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8337 |
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Well done! Just remembered about this post after it won
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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Now 7's for Thou G. She is a good filly.
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Group 1 Selections
Champion Joined: 11 Sep 2012 Status: Offline Points: 13740 |
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Wow that could not have turned out better, gee she is still pretty new so she will be better for the race experience.
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Ecair Issoire
Champion Joined: 10 Nov 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 16586 |
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good luck with your early odds for the thousand guineas..
+ well done today, G1. |
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SYT
Champion Joined: 10 Oct 2011 Status: Offline Points: 8337 |
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Is the Thousand Guineas her spring goal G1? I noticed TAB had her listed as doubtful yesterday, that has been changed today.
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JudgeHolden
Champion Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11729 |
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I'm assuming they'll go to the Flight. Guelph did it last year but it's very rare a horse wins the Guineas after contesting the Flight. In addition to this, the Thousand Guineas is only a week after the Flight this year (as opposed to 11 days previously). Another example of poor programming. Will Waller want to swap states on a seven day back-up for a young, lightly raced horse? Unless I had mail that she was targeting the Guineas I'd be leaving her well alone. |
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Group 1 Selections
Champion Joined: 11 Sep 2012 Status: Offline Points: 13740 |
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Original and only goal was thousand Guineas, however the Waller camp was pretty impressed with 1st up win the Caulf Guineas has been thought of as the perception is the Melb colts are weak. At this stage 1000 Guineas is the target still.
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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Very nice filly to state the bleeding obvious.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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JudgeHolden
Champion Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11729 |
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This is from 2 days ago:
Waller believes Winx will be even better suited once she gets to 1600m for the Flight Stakes and he will run the filly next in the Group 2 Tea Rose Stakes (1400m) at Rosehill Gardens in two weeks. The Furious Stakes is usually a reliable guide to the Flight Stakes. In the last two decades, seven fillies have completed the double - Danarani (1994), Dashing Eagle (1996), Sunline (1998), Danglissa (1999), Unwordly (2000), Samantha Miss (2008) and Streama (2011. “She’ll run in two weeks time over 1400m and then on to the [Group 1] Flight Stakes. At this stage it’s the Grand Final but it’s one run at a time,’’ Prior said. “She had a brief freshen-up coming into this one and ultimately a mile will be her best trip judging on her first prep. On the back of this things can only look up at her next two runs and from there it will be up to the boss.” |
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Group 1 Selections
Champion Joined: 11 Sep 2012 Status: Offline Points: 13740 |
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Like I said they belief is now that the 3yo form in Melbourne is the weaker formline and the filly will improve with racing, expect a Guelph prep if all stays on track. I can only go on what I have over time I have established as a reliable source of information. |
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ExceedAndExcel
Champion Joined: 20 Dec 2008 Status: Offline Points: 16245 |
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Tattsbet have her listed as doubtful for the Thousand Guineas and have her at $17. Should I snap some up G1?
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ExceedAndExcel
Champion Joined: 20 Dec 2008 Status: Offline Points: 16245 |
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$17 gone now. Sorry
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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I think it's her day today. I like Supara and the form around her is good, but Winx has virtually the same form and will be better suited today in terms of track conditions and the way she maps into the straight.
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Sunline...simply supreme
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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I have sacked her. Not going as well as she should be.
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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Yeh sacked. Seems to be lacking something this prep......like a lot of the stable....but am sure that's pure coincidence.....
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Group 1 Selections
Champion Joined: 11 Sep 2012 Status: Offline Points: 13740 |
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She did not develop over her summer break and as a result is now a very small filly. I would say it would have more to not being able give spelling horses steroids rather then Colbalt or other drugs. Probably why Black Caviar looked like gelati and raced poorly before she went to the UK as the practise is not legal there like it is in Australia.
But hey don't let the truth get in the way of a good rumour...
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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She has not come on since her early days. end of story.
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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Wont be a rumour for much longer, but hey, you keep on believing in your twice caught already friend.... |
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subastral
Champion Joined: 28 Jul 2011 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 34887 |
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The other funny part of this, is you try and claim here you are above rumour and innuendo.......and justify your point by trotting out more rumour and innuendo......cant have it both ways mate.... |
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3blindmice
Champion Joined: 22 Oct 2012 Status: Offline Points: 18105 |
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Was ridden negatively in both starts, one because of a slow getaway iirc. Was either a junk ride or junk instructions last run but with Waller you know they can improve sharply.
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whitt0
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2014 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 10911 |
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Good call & glad to see her back. Just cannot catch this girl. Backer her 4 times & never first past the post.
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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Never in doubt! |
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Sunline...simply supreme
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Docker
Champion Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 842 |
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She looked back to her best today well and truly cant help thinking on that win she would have been a light weight chance in the Doncaster.
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JudgeHolden
Champion Joined: 16 Apr 2011 Status: Offline Points: 11729 |
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Not sure about this one. The Melbourne 3yos aren't much chop but they smashed Hauraki. Looks a weak race.
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Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
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Agree with that - the only one I want to follow out of the race is the winner - even if she hasn't come on, her form around Fist Seal last preparation stands her in good stead for races like this.
I was on Diamond Valores, and he had every chance. Hauraki was solid enough, and Supara was 3rd up for Gai, so that's it for her preparation. The rest of them are average and really the 3rd tier of the boys, which might be generous! I have already stated elsewhere that Hampton Court will never win another race, and the signs for that are looking good!
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Sunline
Champion Joined: 01 Jul 2008 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 22302 |
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I thought it was her day in the Phar Lap and I think it's her day again tomorrow.
It's a really competitive Oaks but no one else brings Hauraki form into this race. That form is exceptional for the Oaks She has the right mix of speed, class and stamina, and will eat up the give in the ground and the roomy Randwick track. She was given a sore back last start. All it did was allow people to get on at nearly each way odds. Had she been given a better ride she'd have gone close to winning and starts $3 favourite in the Oaks. |
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Sunline...simply supreme
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3blindmice
Champion Joined: 22 Oct 2012 Status: Offline Points: 18105 |
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She's a chance but is too one dimensional to be confident about, a little like LV last year. I'll take the proven 2400m horse at double the odds which can race anywhere in the field.
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VPI
Champion Joined: 30 Dec 2009 Status: Offline Points: 4466 |
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@value_punter
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