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The Rough as Gutz thread |
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Dr E 
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 Posted: 25 Jun 2015 at 6:27pm |
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There are a few that I like in the "mid" rough range, but basically the same as last fortnight - nothing really jumps out at me.
I will give Decirles one more chance from a nice barrier ...
MR8 #7 Decircles $34 |
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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ozberry
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Joined: 07 Jan 2015 Location: victoria Status: Offline Points: 177 |
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Posted: 25 Jun 2015 at 11:13pm |
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Think there could be a couple of e/way midrange at Sydney race 7 Miss Hufflepuff/Race 8 Magic Dallas, then Brisbane race 4 Moshulu just the placement of these makes me interested
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Kingy
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Posted: 26 Jun 2015 at 11:30am |
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Great to see this thread still giving some winners!
I thought the best roughie bet was Weiry's horse Tilla Bell Rings at $26 & $8! in the 3rd at Flemington. That $8 was a shocker, couldn't believe they'd put that up??? Horse is looking for the mile, barrier sux balls, but new and in form jockey and most importantly gets firmer footing. This boy will be motoring home, look for him late. Flemington R6. Did anyone else notice that the 100 rater is Jo Jo Girl??? Currently at $34 fixed odds, threw a pineapple on each way. Don't think I've ever seen a 100 rater at such big odds. Bit of rain would help her chances plus she can run the trip with 2 starts for a win and a 2nd... Probably the best value runner in the race? $21 is available for Jarrod McLean's runner Let's Be A Star who goes round in the 7th. Jarrod took over the ex. John Sargent runner late last year. The 3 runs since from taking over have been very good with a 3rd, 2nd and another 2nd... She might just be able to crack a win for the new stable tomorrow, keep very safe as a few I know down her have jumped on. Looking elsewhere, the last at Rosehill I'm on Kerrin's ride Aghamore. I understand that he's been trialing on a few heavy tracks and going super! Does like the wet and although not the best 1st up form, it will pay to follow this prep.
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WarriSymbol
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 11:21am |
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Pickabee in the last at Rosehill.
Having second run for John Thompson today. Stats off inside draws look good. 4 wins from 7 when drawn five or closer. Hasn't won in a while but was running in stakes races this time last year. Has won a respectable five from thirteen in non black type events. Some chance in an open race today. |
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Sneck
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 12:11pm |
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SR4 7 Rapa Nui
500/1 now with the power prices
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grumpyoldman
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 1:17pm |
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Wow Sneck. Hope it salutes....
Self Sense 21/6, Cooldini 26/7 and not so rough Phelan Ready 14/4.5 |
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goldey
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 2:20pm |
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Pin your hopes , in Melbourne today for me each way.
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Freefall
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 2:55pm |
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Tom Raks to run a bit of a race in the Takeover Target at Flemington. 50/1 available and only carries 51kg. If front runners are doing OK today will be there for a while.
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Kingy
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 3:01pm |
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Gee forget Tilla Bell Rings went round, pathetic ride. Should have won IMO.
Let's be a Star scratched unfortunately. I know it's not rough but I did get $16 for Most Husbands in the last at Morphettville. Also keen on Sparkling to Win $34 & $9 in the 7th at Flem and Judicial Rock at $21 in the last.
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Dr E
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 9:31pm |
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Horses - Aus/NZFlemington R8 Vrc-crv Winter C'ship Heat 6Win or Place 7. Decircles @ $9.50 (Place)  + quinella with Waller's runner  |
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Ecair Issoire
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Posted: 27 Jun 2015 at 10:21pm |
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well done dr e.
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Dr E
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Posted: 04 Jul 2015 at 5:00am |
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Cheers EI ... it's all about perseverance (ie not knowing when to give up!)
That being the case, it's one more time for this old bloke! Sydney Race 7 # 3 Decision Time - $26 ... and it is definitely that, for this grand old campaigner! ... if he doesn't show us his true colours, it must be time to pull the pin on what has been a stellar career!  Amazingly, this is the first time he has not lined up in a Group or Listed event since he was a 2 yo! Won his first 3 races, and since then he has only ever shown up against the elite on race day. 9 wins (6 and 6 placings in black type), 2nd in a Golden Slipper, $1.5 million in stakes, his "scalps" include Hay List, Sea Siren, Tiger Tees, Temple of Boom to name a few, so hardly a plodder! Just hasn't fired this time in, and now finds himself amongst the supporting cast in the BM90 on Saturday. Barrier 1, gets in 3.5 kg above the limit with the claim and a wet track ... he wont know himself!!! Yep, it's definitely "D.T." Day!!!  PS: One interesting thing I noticed in researching his form, he can win a barrier trial!  In spite of the fact that he has not finished better than 9th since resuming in March, he is 4 for 4 in barrier trials this time in, including his latest by 4 lengths at WFarm on Monday. In fact his record in BT's is 14:9-3-1 (and a 4th!) ... if he fails again, just give him to Gai! ... she'll keep him ticking over in barrier trials till he's 20 if he keeps winning them like that!
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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grumpyoldman
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Posted: 04 Jul 2015 at 4:26pm |
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Decision Time is an enigma... Clarry trying to nurture him back to form. Hope today is the day in this lower class race.
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marble
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Posted: 04 Jul 2015 at 5:11pm |
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torcello in the last at sunny coast - goes well at the track an distance, drops in class and loves the sting out. rough as gutz!
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Kingy
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Posted: 04 Jul 2015 at 5:28pm |
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i guess BUT PERFECT can be classed as a roughie at 20-1. Cauflield R7.
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Dr E
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Posted: 04 Jul 2015 at 9:59pm |
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Wonder what the decision will be this time ...?
Had every chance today, he's either hurting or past it ... yet it doesn't stop him braining them in barrier trials!
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Fremz
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Posted: 05 Jul 2015 at 1:13am |
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For a horse who built a reputation of never running a bad race it just makes it so obvious that there's something seriously wrong with Decision Time, looks like he is struggling to run out 1000m.
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for those about to punt, we salute you...
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Kingy
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Posted: 05 Jul 2015 at 5:20pm |
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Gee he was given a gem of a ride DR E and was thinking on the bend that he was going to give it a shake... might be time for a decent spell then 1 last campaign?
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Bonfield
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Posted: 11 Jul 2015 at 12:56pm |
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Gosh I think he has a great chance in Melbourne race 9 @$26 Power Odds.
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Kingy
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Posted: 11 Jul 2015 at 1:46pm |
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Couple of roughies I like today
Flem R8. DESERT JEURNEY and SMACKDOWN Flem R9. TIMIKAR Gawler R7. MOST HUSBANDS Belmont R4. CADENZA
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Kingy
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Posted: 11 Jul 2015 at 6:58pm |
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had a couple of good 2 and 3 leg place multi's on today Smackdown scratched. Timikar 2nd $6.80 Most Husbands 2nd $4.80, almost won! Cadenza 3rd $7
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pmthiru
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Posted: 11 Jul 2015 at 8:30pm |
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Good picks kingy. I backed Brimmings for a place.... stopped my punting after that.... |
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Dr E
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Posted: 11 Jul 2015 at 9:02pm |
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Gee, he rode DLE like an odds on pop, and he won accordingly! Timikar's run was full of merit, could have some upside too ...
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Dr E
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Posted: 16 Jul 2015 at 8:33am |
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Plenty of value around this week ... but they reckon you can't eat value!
Flemington R2 Garden View Pavilion (bm84) 5. Arena Rock @ $26.00 (Win) Consistent type who comes to hand quickly, may need further but should be running on when some of these are gasping. Flemington R8 Flemington Event Staff (bm90) 9. Clanga's Glory @ $13.00 (Win) Looked back to his best flashing home here latest over 1400, 4:1-1-1 t/d, won 5 on soft - ready now. Flemington R9 Briseis Hcp 6. Secessio @ $21.00 (Win) - run of the race from near last in arguably the worst going and nearly pinched it. Beat Bagman fair and square and has put consecutive runs together in the past, handles any going - 20/1!!!  Rosehill R2 Benchmark 74 1. Duccio @ $26.00 (Win) Huge run 1st up when widest without cover all the way - every right to "give up meekly" but battled strongly - 2nd up for Her Royal Hollowness is a good formula. Rosehill R6 Hungry Jacks (bm75) 4. Scratch Me Lucky @ $67.00 (Win) - r/up Sires Produce last year and looked likely to challenge the good 3 yos. Hasn't really fired since, but if he happened to recapture that form he would lap these, best runs on wet tracks, last chance. Doomben R8 Global Transport Insurance Hcp
2. Cornrow @ $21.00 (Win) - another 2014 Sires produce placegetter that has failed to live up to the early fanfare (maybe it was a dud race?). Changed trainers, gone north, showed something 2nd in open class latest - 20/1 is acceptable against own age off season |
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Bonfield
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Posted: 18 Jul 2015 at 12:46pm |
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Not that rough, but I got $17 (Power Price) Kareeming in Mel R8. I give him a real chance.
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Kingy
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Posted: 18 Jul 2015 at 12:49pm |
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domino vitale
pass the post silent ice all about rhythm el prado gold
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Group 1 Selections
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Posted: 18 Jul 2015 at 1:14pm |
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MR6: 14 Bian Hard @ 61.00
MR7: 1 Instrumentalist @ 101.00
SR3: 3 Zoutenant ew @ 21.00 **ew special**
SR7: 1 Spurtonic @ 26.00
BR1: 9 Jacks Point @ 41.00
DR6: 9 Air Coment @ 51.00
DR7: 2 Billy Vee @ 26.00 **ew Special**
IR7: 9 De La Dilo @ 21.00
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Bonfield
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Posted: 18 Jul 2015 at 2:33pm |
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I'm in Instrumentalist at $101 and Spurtonic at $41.
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subastral
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Posted: 18 Jul 2015 at 2:44pm |
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Patch Hero Morphy
King Buddy, Lord of Brazil Flem Written Above All Doomben |
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Dr E
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Posted: 24 Jul 2015 at 6:25am |
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Lets start with a couple of synthetic specialists at good odds at Geelong to fill our pockets for the weekend!
R7#7. Wairoa $31 ... he's a 7 yo's too! ... hope he can't read R8#10. Big Buddie $21 ... forgive his last shocker here and he was 2 for 2 at the track. Take them into; MR7#6 Wales $67 - still goes around as an entire, who can blame them! Bred to win a Golden Slipper or a Melb Cup, and does have ability. Has bobbed up fresh in the past in his injury curtailed career. These are not the sprinting cream. SCR7#3 Malavio $21 - was running around just behind the place getters in the Sydney Autumn group races, has to beat a provincial field here ... could lap them! Then head down the highway to Newcastle to find a couple who are looking for some confidence in the right grades; R6#6 Strike Me Lucky $51 - yet to find form after a year off. 4th up should be fit enough for this, should be in the first few in running and hope he can finish it off. Previously was showing staying promise, mixing it with Black Jag, Grand Marshall etc. over 2000m + R8#7 Catseye Surprise $21 - has been up to mixing it in F&M Quality fields in and around town, now finds herself nicely in against a fairly non-descript bunch of honest battlers in this BM70. Winning jockey back on, she would be swamping these in the last 100m at her best. Good Luck!
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Dr E wrote:|
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