Inbreeding to Danehill

First we have to look at the grandsons 

Stratum has stakes winners Southern Lord and Battle Hero

Choisir has The Mission and Psychologist

Sebring has Scratchy Bottom, Kiss a Rose, Broadband, Ulmann, Seannie

Not a Single Doubt has Selenia, Single Bullet, Gunnison

Snitzel has Sweet Redemption

Smart Missile  has Debellatio

Star Witness has Mella Maria G2 in South Africa and Pearl Star

Teofilo has Brazuca G2 in South Africa, Paene Magnus, Loritania etc.

Sepoy has the best with Alizee 

While Danehill's son Exceed and Excel had the great filly Guelph interestingly from the same female line as Sepoy sire of the other best on in Alizee.

Now is that close cross working because of some affinity of the female line to Danehill?  Or do we blame Danehill for the class.  There is no way of being sure.

The above figure of inbreeding to Danehil of 1.4% would be over many lines including ones where close inbreeding wouldn't work.  So we are only with the grandsons even getting to the third generation of for inbreeding so some of the above were very closely possibly 2 x 2.  Something which is obviously not working.  For every Guelph 2 x 3 to Danehill you will get 100 that wouldn't work.  3 x 3 is more reasonable. 4 x 4 is better.

Posted June 26, 2016

Second highest rated two year old in Europe

Tara Madgwick - Thursday, 20 April 2017

When Guelph won the Group I ATC Champagne Stakes in 2013, horses bred with a double cross of legendary sire Danehill had found their pin-up girl, but it's taken four more years for a pin-up boy to emerge.

That horse is Paul Perry's headstrong colt The Mission, who led and dominated from the front to win the Group I ATC Champagne Stakes at Randwick last Saturday.

By Choisir from a daughter of Redoute's Choice, The Mission is the fourth Group I winner to carry the double cross and is only the second in Australia after Guelph.

Current statistics for the double Danehill courtesy of Arion show 46.7% winners to runners (1221 winners from 2614 starters) with 57 stakes-winners.

Among those stakes-winners are current season two year-olds Gunnison, Single Bullet, Debellatio, Ducimus, Pateena Arena, Seannie and of course The Mission.

The Mission is an interesting pin-up boy for a number of reasons starting with his pedigree.

The double Danehill configuration comes in many different patterns, but 3 x 3 in the male line pattern like The Mission has until now thought to be one of the least successful.

In his favour may well be Choisir.

When you run a report for the double Danehill cross, but look at only those involving Choisir the statistics improve markedly.

We find 51.3 % winners to runners with eight stakes-winners making for 4% stakes-winners to runners which is double what we find when just looking at the straight double Danehill.

Another factor making The Mission a somewhat unexpected star is his purchase price and yearling picture, neither would suggest star in the making!

Consigned to the Magic Millions by Edinglassie Stud, The Mission was only good enough for Book Two and was picked up by Paul Perry for just $32,500 making him the cheapest colt by Choisir sold at the Gold Coast in 2016.

As you can see in his yearling picture, The Mission was a work in progress and it's a credit to Paul Perry that he saw the diamond in the rough.

Young thoroughbreds go through growth spurts at various stages of their development and it's fair to day The Mission was not seen at his best last January.

Given his pedigree (the iffy double Danehill) and his type (work in progress), it's no wonder that this Group I winner was picked up cheaply and has now won over $400,000.

A very nice looking horse,  they can be worth a lot of money,

I know its only 'in the bush' but is this the first winner by All Too Hard

Summer Passage, carries Danehill and Machiavelian (Sire of his third dam), both Sires are related,

Coup de Folie is 3x3 Almahmoud, who is the dam of Natalma, too. Btw, from the same damline as "Northwest Passage".

 

The dam sire Encosta de Lago, his damsire Star Way traces via Star Appeal, surprise, surprise to Dark Ronald, via Son-in-Law. The only other male Strain of Dark Ronald extended I know so far outside Germany. Btw, Magpie was a Dark Ronald son exported to Australia.

 

Maybe you give a try to the Bahram male stirp of Blandford in Fiorente (by Monsun). In Europe he and his sons are still very sought after as outcross of all the ND male lines.

 

Best regards, Ticino

 

 

Almost a zero chance from any other tribe.

#SYT