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Australian property crash |
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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Australia’s 66 ‘danger’ suburbs where property prices are tipped to crash |
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Offline Points: 45321 |
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The value of Catholic Church properties listed for sale are predicted to fall through the floor when the embargo of particular Court proceedings is ultimately lifted.
Few properties are understood to have been negatively geared, but rather funded via the incessant tithe expected of parishioners.
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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http://www.businessinsider.com.au/australia-property-market-sydney-melbourne-price-forecast-capital-economics-2018-12
Sydney and Melbourne house prices are headed for the largest downturn in modern history
We use rental yields to estimate the sustainable house price to earnings (HPE) ratio,” says Thieliant and Udy. “In Sydney, current rental yields imply that house prices would need to fall a further 25% to be consistent with the estimated sustainable HPE ratio, though this is down from a peak of 29%. “In Melbourne, the gap remains wider than in any other city, implying a fall in house prices of 27% to return prices to a sustainable level.” Helping to explain why Capital Economics doesn’t see price falls of the magnitude estimated by rental yields, Thieliant and Udy expect some improvement in rental rates as supply of new housing stock slows. “A fall in prices isn’t required to bring the HPE ratio to its sustainable level as growth in earnings will help as well,” they say. “We think that some combination of price declines and growth in earnings will eventually bring the HPE ratio to a more sustainable level in each city.” |
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Isaac soloman
Champion Joined: 13 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 6085 |
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with the bottom falling out i wonder how long the chinese will hang around?
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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Imagine what a property crash would do to the economy . NOT LIKELY. Half the Country is still enjoying modest price rises. Their turn, in the predictable cycle . With hundreds of thousands added to our population each year , HOW can demand fall to the levels predicted in the above articles. Let them keep talking Real Estate down and go in and get a desperate sale with a reduced offer and " Bob's Yr Uncle ". |
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Isaac soloman
Champion Joined: 13 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 6085 |
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I'll be looking for the cheap ones sold by the catholic church.
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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You might get that one at a seduced price. |
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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Bill Shorten to use ALP national conference to unveil $6.6-billion plan to build 250,000 homes |
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Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
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So that will house the boat people, but where is he going to get the other $50 Billion to get them to lock up stage when the Unions hold him to ransom?
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
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So Afros, I know it 's not in your favourite pastel colour, but I did go to the effort of answering your questions, so what do you think? |
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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Welcome Doc.
Not many posts of late . Must be Labor - ites turning to the easy money of THE PUNT. lol... We do deserve what we get , If we can't see the Forest for the trees. |
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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Is this a veiled reference to Bigal ? Careful old timer you are on 2 warnings already
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Isaac soloman
Champion Joined: 13 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 6085 |
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you are smarter that that whale....i think....
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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The mods don't need your help Whale. I conform until I get chased up . Which is exactly what your doing now by naming Al. At least your smart enough to pick a winner occasionally, So one week on the sidelines is a fair assessment of what you should get for being so clever , in stirring further barbs on the subject. |
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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[
The mods don't need your help Whale. I conform until I get chased up . Which is exactly what your doing now by naming Al. At least your smart enough to pick a winner occasionally, So one week on the sidelines is a fair assessment of what you should get for being so clever , in stirring further barbs on the subject.[/QUOTE] Complete delusion, Macca thinks he has some influence on TBV Tell us again how you have never been suspended
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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One more reference to this & you can spell for 2wks Whale. |
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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[/QUOTE] One more reference to this & you can spell for 2wks Whale.[/QUOTE] Moderator Macca
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Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
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So to create more division, and drain more money, the Labor/Greens Collusion are going to spend tens of billions of dollars on "affordable" housing - when did the ALP ever build anything that was "affordable", without pissing money up against the wall?
Why have we been selling off "Government funded" housing for years? Oh, that's right ... because NEGATIVE GEARING HAS BEEN SO SUCCESSFUL in creating a stable affordable rental pool, and PUBLIC SERVANTS AND BUREAUCRATS ARE gelati AT BEING PRETEND LANDLORDS!!! On top of that, they are going to spend BILLIONS MORE on a "Re-Rudd" of a program THAT DIDN'T WORK last time! ... they are rebranding the NRAS program - which failed last time, was rorted, and the banks refused to fund. ALP, just offer more confused, uncosted, back of the coaster policy, or they "Re-Rudd" something that didn't work last time! Hey, if it resonates as virtue signaling three-word slogan, go for it. After all the "Useful Idiots" will never do any research!
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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rusty nails
Champion Joined: 20 Mar 2013 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 11302 |
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Oh dearie me....... If you can’t cut and paste someonel else’s thoughts you just mess it up every time..... Remember you were squealing about the decimation of the construction industry? And now there is a plan to invest in this very industry, you’re squealing again.... Not about the plan,but about the concept. Pick which one you don’t like and stick with it. Picking both just demonstrates that you don’t understand the subject matter. Poor old Doc has the attention span of nemo..... Remember we gave you the lesson about negative gearing. It’s not designed to provide rental property to the poor, otherwise you wouldn’t get it when you buy a band of brood mares to breed from commercially. You wouldn’t get it to buy Shares on the stock market. You wouldn’t get it to buy fine art for 100s of thousands. Can you please try and remember it this time? No wonder 4th grade were the best 3 years of you’re life! And poor old Doc messes it up again with “we’ve been selling off public housing for years” You clearly dont understand the difference between Federal & State Governments..... Poor old Doc is out of his depth in a puddle I might come back and correct the rest of your homework later. You should really consider doing another stint in the 4th grade. It can only help. |
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Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
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I prayed for you at Christmas Mass ... but then I pray for all of those less fortunate, every year.
... I guess it's true, God does work in mysterious ways.
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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acacia alba
Champion Joined: 31 Oct 2010 Location: Hunter Valley Status: Offline Points: 41249 |
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You are so smart Rusty. We all enjoy all your posts that go out of their way to make everyone else here look like idiots , and you look like some clever dick. Why do you lower yourself to come here and bother with us ? Oh yes. Thats right. So you can put us all down and make yourself look smart. Go join Mensa FF$ and see how you fare. You crack me up !
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animals before people.
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Dr E
Champion Joined: 05 Feb 2013 Location: Australia Status: Offline Points: 28563 |
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Hey aa, have you noticed that whilst the Mensa wannabe argues with everything I have to say - but never actually argues the points that I make or the maths or comes up with any alternative outcomes or costs of the labor policies - he NEVER disputes ANYTHING that a self-confessed liar like CNNPT has to say on a range of subjects ... it's like he is auditioning to be Whale's very own mini-me!
The problem is, that I think he has actually convinced himself that his irrational babbling means something that is remotely relevant when it is just blithering nonsense ...
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In reference to every post in the Trump thread ... "There may have been a tiny bit of license taken there" ... Ok, Thanks for the "heads up" PT!
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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Negative gearing is quite clear , being a tax relief on borrowed money , when the returns from the investment don't cover the overheads of the loan.
That relief usually pays for itself when the investment matures over time and capital gains tax kicks in . Stimulating the economy , providing Rental property etc etc. Aren't I a clever Dick. |
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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Well no actually, just Doc who he makes look foolish Taken over from 3BM who got bored with doing the same, was no challenge for him And by the way Doc is the one who calls everyone idiots, low Iq and countless other insults, not Rusty. Take off those rose coloured glasses
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Whale
Champion Joined: 01 Jun 2009 Location: St Kilda Beach Status: Offline Points: 38719 |
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You went to Christmas Mass , come on nobody believes that. Or if you did it would be to abuse the priest. Less fortunate ,you really are the PERSONIFICATION of repugnant nastiness, does anyone actually like you ?
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Isaac soloman
Champion Joined: 13 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 6085 |
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rust what is going to the happen to the high rise apartment living now that one in Sydney is near collapse?
will be able to buy dirt cheap. problem will be, who will live in it, let alone rent it
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rusty nails
Champion Joined: 20 Mar 2013 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 11302 |
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Hey big guy, don’t get so down on yourself, I totally agree with your estimate that property values will still double over a 10 year period, under ALP policies. An increase in values nationwide of $7 TRILLION !!! Tell you what Doc, as soon as PT starts to quote musings from nobodies like your mate “Bushy” and promotes them as credible, then I’ll hook him to him as well..... |
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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The skilled ( imported ) workers would fit in there somewhere. Has been said recent that tradie's would soon join those other thieves ( Lawyers , Doctors etc ) as unaffordable. NEVER BUY OFF THE PLAN, AYE |
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