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Dusty Martin over the odds to win Norm Smith

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djebel View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 6:41pm
So that Martin fella won ? 


STRIKE WHILST THE IRON IS HOT

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Gay3 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 6:41pm
Originally posted by Redemption Redemption wrote:

Just do yourself a favour and bet the $5 on offer


Hmmmm Star Star Star hope you got plenty 'cos I doubt anyone here shortened the odds LOL
Experience is something you gain a few minutes after you could have used it!
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Redemption View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 6:48pm
Originally posted by Gay3 Gay3 wrote:

Originally posted by Redemption Redemption wrote:

Just do yourself a favour and bet the $5 on offer


Hmmmm Star Star Star hope you got plenty 'cos I doubt anyone here shortened the odds LOL

Thanks Village.

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Second Chance View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Second Chance Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 6:49pm
At least three would have been worthy winners, ie Rance, Houli and of course Martin, but hard to argue with the final decision.
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Magnolian Khan View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Magnolian Khan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 6:49pm
Pretty happy with the $5
Especially after Monday night
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Redemption View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 9:11pm
Best on ground in 50% of his games this year

The truth is, at 50% strike rate, he should have been paying $1.90 to win the Norm Smith

$5 was way overs, and one of the best bets in a long time. Hence, was worth its own thread.
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oneonesit View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote oneonesit Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 9:24pm
Originally posted by Redemption Redemption wrote:

Best on ground in 50% of his games this year

The truth is, at 50% strike rate, he should have been paying $1.90 to win the Norm Smith

$5 was way overs, and one of the best bets in a long time. Hence, was worth its own thread.
Well done Brooke. Not sure about the logic...but hey....hard to argue with outcome !
I've only backed one certainty in my life....& it lost !
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Dr E View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Dr E Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 9:38pm
Lining up to collect half way through the 2nd quarter!Clap
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saintly96 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote saintly96 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Sep 2017 at 10:11pm
Congrats. Got on at 7's today just before the bounce. Couldn't back a Crow even tjough I thought they would win.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 9:00am
Originally posted by oneonesit oneonesit wrote:

Originally posted by Redemption Redemption wrote:

Best on ground in 50% of his games this year

The truth is, at 50% strike rate, he should have been paying $1.90 to win the Norm Smith

$5 was way overs, and one of the best bets in a long time. Hence, was worth its own thread.

Well done Brooke. Not sure about the logic...but hey....hard to argue with outcome !




Yes was a fantastic result but embarrassing logic.

Good a laugh AND a collect I suppose.
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JudgeHolden View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JudgeHolden Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 11:25am
Poor decision. Should’ve had our first Muslim Norm Smith medallist.
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Redemption View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 11:48am
Its not poor logic.
If an AFL season was just 6 games at 50% strike rate best on ground, it would mean nothing.
But to get 11 best on grounds, during home and away, is an extremely substantial statistic, as its over a sustained period of time.

He should have been paying $1.90.
I even regarded $2.50 to be overs.
So for him to be paying $5, was a very very generous outcome.

The Norm Smith was Dustys to lose, not win, thats how good he is.
All he had to do was his usual dominant plays, and he wins it.
He did exactly that.
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max manewer View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 11:51am
Won with a score of.....13. One of Redemption's favourite numbers.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ThreeBears Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 12:12pm
Houli was better for mine but blew a few easy chances at goal so missed out. Rance was superb.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Tlazolteotl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Oct 2017 at 12:47pm
The sanest posts Redemption has ever posted - congratulations.
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