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AAA Almos Ambitious Ambush

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 3:35pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

OK, so how many bets a day, all up ? ( Excuse the inquisitorial tone, if you can )
 
again as the baby bets are only new I have run just November and December to get you the numbers that you are asking for.................
a combination of ALL MY BETS......
 
most number of bets are the Babies followed by the Small bets followed by my Large bets
 
1/11/2017 to 31/12/2017
 Race Month      Bets Win Plc   WOut   WRet   WPrf  W%   WPOT
-------------------------------------------------------------
November          313 144      31300  38490   7190  46   23.0
December          340 164      34000  40050   6050  48   17.8
Totals >>>       653 308      65300  78540  13240  47   20.3
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 3:41pm
Interesting to hear bigal, about 10 bets or so a day. Thanks for your answer. More or less confirms my own observations, value can be found, but selectivity is required.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 3:51pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Interesting to hear bigal, about 10 bets or so a day. Thanks for your answer. More or less confirms my own observations, value can be found, but selectivity is required.
 
this is how day of the week looks!!!.
of course the more meeting the more the bets.......
 
BUT sometimes I might have 20 bets in a day but only back "12 horses".
 
1/11/2017 to 31/12/2017
 Race Weekday    Bets Win Plc   WOut   WRet   WPrf  W%   WPOT
-------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday             91  46       9100  12490   3390  50   37.3
Monday             38  18       3800   4940   1140  47   30.0
Tuesday            74  40       7400  10420   3020  54   40.8
Wednesday          68  38       6800   8690   1890  55   27.8
Thursday           78  24       7800   5550  -2250  30  -28.8
Friday            101  40      10100   9350   -750  39   -7.4
Saturday          203 102      20300  27100   6800  50   33.5
Totals >>>     653 308      65300  78540  13240  47   20.3
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 3:54pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Interesting to hear bigal, about 10 bets or so a day. Thanks for your answer. More or less confirms my own observations, value can be found, but selectivity is required.
 
selectivity yes..... but I am not looking at "value bets"..... I could have a horse rated at $5-00 but it is an even money favourite. I back it because it Simply meets my system rules, I am not betting to rated prices like a lot of others using ratings would.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 3:55pm
I expect you are talking about horses being selected more than once, by multiple systems. I was just interested in the number of unique selections, and I can see you have arrived at around the same scale of numbers as myself, but your average odds would be a lot shorter.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 4:10pm
Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Interesting to hear bigal, about 10 bets or so a day. Thanks for your answer. More or less confirms my own observations, value can be found, but selectivity is required.
 
selectivity yes..... but I am not looking at "value bets"..... I could have a horse rated at $5-00 but it is an even money favourite. I back it because it Simply meets my system rules, I am not betting to rated prices like a lot of others using ratings would.
 
BIGal

Ditto that, Bigal, that idea ( framing a market) is silly-bugger business, by my calculations, in fact I would be more inclined to back a horse that is unexpectedly shorter.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 4:16pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

I expect you are talking about horses being selected more than once, by multiple systems. I was just interested in the number of unique selections, and I can see you have arrived at around the same scale of numbers as myself, but your average odds would be a lot shorter.
 
I guess its all relevant.....40 to 50% win s/r (as I have) and you would surely be betting into the sharp end of the market.  
I could easily get way better average dividends by going way wider than what I do, but to the detriment of strike rate which in turn leads to larger runs of outs and much larger drawdown.
Although I take emotion out of my betting, it can still get you down when you hit the run of outs/ larger drawdowns.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 Jan 2018 at 4:26pm
I'm a little surprised you'd be unsettled by the inevitable losing runs, though one has to guard against changed circumstances that may have rendered a method less effective, or even ineffective. The best system in the world probably would not save some punters, who when the losing streak strikes, will, like a cur to its vomit, go back to "studying form" or whatever they did previously, that did not work.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Jan 2018 at 8:41am
4/01/2018  1:35: Albury          1   3 Event           $1-60                      
4/01/2018  3:12: Townsville      2   2 I Wanna Break Free   $3-00                    
4/01/2018  7:45: Narrogin        6   6 Copper Fury        $8-50                     
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Jan 2018 at 5:55pm
Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

4/01/2018  1:35: Albury          1   3 Event         Ouch
4/01/2018  3:12: Townsville      2   2 I Wanna Break Free   1st $3-00   Wink                 
4/01/2018  7:45: Narrogin        6   6 Copper Fury        Ouch                  
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5/01/2018  4:27: Caloundra       1   2 Malvern Estate    best tab/SP                     
5/01/2018  4:40: Canberra        6   3 Flash In The Dark   $3-60                    
5/01/2018  6:15: Canterbury(N)   1   3 Wooshka           $2-20  
Al and Mo                
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Another winning day here, I backed the last of them, forgot about them before that.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Jan 2018 at 6:29pm
Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

5/01/2018  4:27: Caloundra       1   2 Malvern Estate    Wink  $2-30                    
5/01/2018  4:40: Canberra        6   3 Flash In The Dark   Ouch                    
5/01/2018  6:15: Canterbury(N)   1   3 Wooshka       Wink    $2-20  
Al and Mo                
 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Jan 2018 at 6:33pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Another winning day here, I backed the last of them, forgot about them before that.
 
you are probably having more on them than we areConfused.... but like normal.... we let the selections work and when the bank improves then we will do an Increase in bet sizeBig smile.
 
normally when the Baby bet is also a large bet they do extremely well...so I am keeping an eye on that.
 
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6/01/2018  1:40: Wyong           1   1 Auerbach        $1-80                     
6/01/2018  1:44: Ipswich         1   1 Trommelschlagen    $1-75                       
6/01/2018  2:02: Gold Coast      2   2 Sunlight         T/F                   
6/01/2018  5:30: Ipswich         7   6 Piper Boy          WPCON   $3-00                    
6/01/2018  5:51: Esperance       3   6 Penalty Point      T/F                    
6/01/2018  7:30: Pinjarra        8   7 Missile Launch      T/F                       
6/01/2018  8:10: Pinjarra        9   4 Gee Boss              T/F                    
6/01/2018  8:10: Pinjarra        9   4 Gee Boss              T/F
Al and Mo                  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jan 2018 at 8:40am
Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

to date:
 
33 winners from 66 bets =50% win strikerate
66 units out - 86.93 back.
 
$3,300 out - $4,346-50 back
 
current bank = $6,045-50
 
Al and Mo
 
Totals     66  33       6600   7910   1310  50   19.8
This is the result off the computer for $100 bets (best of 3 tabs/SP) for 23-12 to 3-1-18.... it goes to show, you got to shop around, make some wise choices, and you can increase your profits dramatically.....
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jan 2018 at 8:44am
Fantastic ClapClap

possibly the only profitable thread ever on TBV ?
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Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Another winning day here, I backed the last of them, forgot about them before that.

 
you are probably having more on them than we areConfused.... but like normal.... we let the selections work and when the bank improves then we will do an Increase in bet sizeBig smile.
 
normally when the Baby bet is also a large bet they do extremely well...so I am keeping an eye on that.
 
Allan

Only had a hundred on it, bigal. I respect the integrity of your methods, and I expect a few silent lurkers do too, and are following with a few bets.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jan 2018 at 7:54pm
Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

6/01/2018  1:40: Wyong           1   1 Auerbach      1ST  $1-80   Wink                  
6/01/2018  1:44: Ipswich         1   1 Trommelschlagen   1ST  $1-75     Wink                  
6/01/2018  2:02: Gold Coast      2   2 Sunlight         1ST  $1-55   Wink            
6/01/2018  5:30: Ipswich         7   6 Piper Boy           LOST  Ouch                  
6/01/2018  5:51: Esperance       3   6 Penalty Point      1ST   $4-20     LOL             
6/01/2018  7:30: Pinjarra        8   7 Missile Launch     1ST $2-30 Wink                      
6/01/2018  8:10: Pinjarra        9   4 Gee Boss             2ND    Angry              
6/01/2018  8:10: Pinjarra        9   4 Gee Boss              2ND  Angry
Al and Mo                  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jan 2018 at 7:56pm
Originally posted by Whale Whale wrote:

Fantastic ClapClap

possibly the only profitable thread ever on TBV ?
 
I think that's a bit harsh on some of the great threads that members have posted on here over time. I am sure I have posted a couple of other threads that have generated good profits as well.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jan 2018 at 7:58pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Another winning day here, I backed the last of them, forgot about them before that.

 
you are probably having more on them than we areConfused.... but like normal.... we let the selections work and when the bank improves then we will do an Increase in bet sizeBig smile.
 
normally when the Baby bet is also a large bet they do extremely well...so I am keeping an eye on that.
 
Allan

Only had a hundred on it, bigal. I respect the integrity of your methods, and I expect a few silent lurkers do too, and are following with a few bets.
 
I am quite happy that if this thread continues on its merry way that some members on here also make a buck or twoTongueTongue
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote max manewer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jan 2018 at 8:31pm
Gee Boss got into more snookers than might be thought possible in a 1000m race, certainty beaten.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Jan 2018 at 8:55pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Gee Boss got into more snookers than might be thought possible in a 1000m race, certainty beaten.
 
we were with relatives for dinner tonight so I did not hear see or anything after 5PM. That's where a double bet hurts...when its so unlucky.
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jan 2018 at 8:00am
7/01/2018  11:15 Gilgandra       1   4 Nightspun          $4-00                       
7/01/2018  1:02: Gilgandra       4   2 Danish Lace       T/F                       
7/01/2018  1:33: Warrnambool     2   9 Hardly Surprising   T/F                     
7/01/2018  3:25: Gilgandra       8   4 Legerity          $3-50                      
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jan 2018 at 9:52am
Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

7/01/2018  11:15 Gilgandra  1   4 Nightspun  1ST  $4-40 SP GUARANTEE                     
7/01/2018  1:02: Gilgandra       4   2 Danish Lace       T/F                       
7/01/2018  1:33: Warrnambool     2   9 Hardly Surprising   T/F                     
7/01/2018  3:25: Gilgandra       8   4 Legerity          $3-50                      
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Too bad the early start caught me napping ! Good luck with the remainder, bigal.
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Genius on display here, imo. Thumbs Up
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jan 2018 at 1:31pm
Originally posted by max manewer max manewer wrote:

Genius on display here, imo. Thumbs Up


really, great results but genius ?
maybe that should be applied to more worthwhile pursuits than betting, and Donald Trump of course
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jan 2018 at 4:12pm
Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

Originally posted by bigal bigal wrote:

7/01/2018  11:15 Gilgandra  1   4 Nightspun  1ST  $4-40 SP GUARANTEE    Wink                 
7/01/2018  1:02: Gilgandra       4   2 Danish Lace       1ST  $1-95   Wink                 
7/01/2018  1:33: Warrnambool     2   9 Hardly Surprising   Ouch                     
7/01/2018  3:25: Gilgandra       8   4 Legerity      1ST    $3-50    Wink                  
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bigal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Jan 2018 at 5:14pm
UPDATE:
 
84 BETS FOR 44 WINNERS = 52.5% WIN S/RATE
 
84 UNITS OUT AND RETURN 115-88 UNITS = PLUS 38%
 
$4,200 OUT - $5,794 RETURN
 
NEW BANK- $6,594
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