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A Closer Look at Our Leading Sires

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djebel View Drop Down
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    Posted: 12 Aug 2007 at 9:56pm
An email received at Breednet during the week from one of our readers Bruce Gray made mention of an Arrowfield Stud media release issued last week highlighting the top ten sires by earnings and their performance when judged in terms of average earnings per runner, winner to runner as a percentage and stakes-winner to runner as a percentage.

Mr Gray made the point that it would be interesting to see a broader list of the top stallions based on that criteria and after consideration, so did we…. So here they are!

In compiling our lists we used the top 100 stallions on overall earnings for the past season according to New Zealand based pedigree company Arion and added in those horses that figured in the Top Ten First Season Sires by earnings with all stallions requiring a minimum of 20 runners or more.

In setting the minimum of 20 runners it removes sires like Kingmambo and Dance in the Dark, who had major wins with Tawqeet and Delta Blues.

The results are interesting to say the least and provide food for thought.

Leading Australian Sires (2006/2007) by Average Earnings Per Runner
Redoute's Choice, the leading Australian sire by average earnings per runner.

Stallion

Earnings

Redoute's Choice

$49,650

Ihtiram

$47,347

Encounter

$44,440

Zabeel

$42,406

Flying Spur

$42,191

Fusaichi Pegasus

$41,712

Danehill

$38,415

Distorted Humor

$36,870

Pins

$36,261

Montjeu

$36,213

O'Reilly

$33,772

Genuine

$33,274

Hussonet

$32,081

Singspiel

$31,690

Elusive Quality

$30,222

Danewin

$30,172

Bite the Bullet

$29,076

Show a Heart

$28,361

Danetime

$28,175

Encosta de Lago

$27,214

Arrowfield Stud’s Redoute’s Choice is the top performer in this category and rightly so with a large spread of superior runners giving a true indication of his overall quality as a sire.

He is the best active stallion in this country at this point in time, no question whatsoever.

The flaw in judging stallions by average earnings per runner is exposed by the second and third horses Encounter and Ihtiram (IRE), both of which appear because they have a relatively small number of runners that include one superstar – Blutigeroo and Miss Andretti respectively.

Their high placement does not make them good commercial stallions, it means they were able to get one outstanding horse.

Average earnings per runner can be a misleading way of looking at things and a table such as this one, needs to be evaluated on the understanding that there are some horses on it under false pretences.

Leading Australian Sires (2006/2007) by Winner to Runner as a Percentage
More Than Ready (USA), the leading active sire by winner to runner as a percentage.

Stallion

Percentage

Lion Cavern

59.8

More Than Ready

59.6

Singspiel

57.4

O'Reilly

56.6

Redoute's Choice

56.4

Shovhog

54.9

Testa Rossa

54.9

Fuji Kiseki

53.6

Distorted Humor

53.5

Danzero

53.4

Show a Heart

53.2

Strategic

52.8

Metal Storm

52.4

Flying Spur

52

Belong to Me

51.9

Monashee Mountain

51.5

Anabaa

51.1

Snippets

50.9

Commands

50.8

Shinko Forest

50

A mild surprise here to find the stallion with the highest winner to runner ratio as a percentage is an unfashionable shuttle sire in Lion Cavern (USA) (deceased), who was banished from our shores in 2002 after spending three seasons at stud in Victoria.

Perceived as a one hit wonder, whose only Australian stakes-winner is the brilliant performer Apache Cat, Lion Cavern (USA) had 58 winners from 97 runners.

His youngest Australian progeny have just turned four, which has probably contributed to his good result as we are looking at a sire whose runners are all mature horses.

The performance of Vinery Stud based More Than Ready (USA) is an encouraging result for a young sire whose oldest progeny last season were just four year-olds.

He had 68 winners from 114 runners and finished 21st on the list by overall earnings.

The Champion First Season Sire in 2004/2005 when he produced an amazing six individual stakes-winners, More Than Ready (USA) had some pretty common books of mares to follow through with and his effort to remain consistent in churning out winners is remarkable.

When his better quality stock start coming online this year and the next it will be no surprise to see More Than Ready (USA) go ahead in leaps and bounds.

Singspiel (IRE) is the one that got away for Darley, the former champion racehorse shuttling to Australia for one season in 2001 and leaving 69 live foals.

Singspiel had 27 winners from 47 runners, but his performance under this criteria is flattered by the fact that he had just the one crop and as four year-olds the useless ones would largely have been weeded out or broken down, leaving largely the viable racehorses to compete.

Leading Sires (2006/2007) by Stakes-Winner to Runner as a Percentage
Rock of Gibraltar (IRE), the leading sire by stakes-winner to runner as a percentage.

Stallion

Percentage

Rock Of Gibraltar

13.9

Elusive Quality

9.5

Danehill

8.8

Singspiel

8.5

O'Reilly

7.9

Redoute's Choice

7.8

Flying Spur

6.9

Stravinsky

5.5

Scenic

5.4

Zabeel

5.1

Metal Storm

4.9

Distorted Humor

4.7

Fusaichi Pegasus

4.6

Montjeu

4.5

Choisir

4.5

Dash For Cash

4.5

Hussonet

4.2

Pins

4.1

Encounter

4.1

Encosta de Lago

4

Coolmore’s young sire Rock of Gibraltar (IRE) is the top performer here and by quite a margin with five stakes-winners from 36 runners.

This list does tend to flatter the top first season sires with Elusive Quality (USA) coming in at number two and Choisir, Dash for Cash and Hussonet (USA) also making an appearance in the Top 20.

Being their first crop they naturally have far fewer runners than established sires so if they’ve managed to produce a stakes-winner, they are almost certainties to feature prominently on this list.

Whether they can keep up the good work remains to be seen, although Rock of Gibraltar (IRE) does seem a stallion with the potential to be very good indeed.

One stallion that appears prominently on every list is the New Zealand based sire O’Reilly, who is arguably the most under-rated sire in Australasia.

A Group One winning son of Last Tycoon (IRE) that stands at Waikato Stud in New Zealand, O’Reilly had six individual Australian stakes-winners last year plus a further seven in New Zealand.

O’Reilly’s stock sold for up to $510,000 and averaged $103,568 at the Majors in 2007 and he is booked out this year at a modest fee of $22,000.
 
 


STRIKE WHILST THE IRON IS HOT

reductio ad absurdum

The richest man is not he who has the most, but he who needs the least.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13 Aug 2007 at 12:20am
Padded cells await those who dedicate too much time to all the sire stats, pedigree buffs will disagree of course.
 
Redoutes won the leading sire by average earnings per runner, but was it good value and how many got returns on their investment.....there are plenty of examples like him of course. The fact he had 56% winner to runner is awesome considering how many run, and so many run in the top flight races, but 330k service hhhhhmmmm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote djebel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13 Aug 2007 at 2:21am


STRIKE WHILST THE IRON IS HOT

reductio ad absurdum

The richest man is not he who has the most, but he who needs the least.

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