Go to Villagebet.com.au for free horse racing tips - Click here now
Forum Home Forum Home > Horse Racing - Public Forums > Racing Forum
  New Posts New Posts RSS Feed - 9,11,13,15,17,19
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Events   Register Register  Login Login


Thoroughbred Village Home Page. For village news, follow @TBVillage on Twitter. For horseracing tips, follow @Villagebet on Twitter. To contact the Mayor by email: Click Here.
Punters, click here for everything about betting: Villagebet - Community of punters.

9,11,13,15,17,19

 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <123>
Author
Message
Sneck View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 16 Feb 2013
Location: Payout Queue
Status: Offline
Points: 7560
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Sneck Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 11:12am
If you remove the takeout is there an edge to these numbers? I'm familiar with the idea that horses down in the numbers outside the fancies should be looked at. You could imagine these numbers being underbet in a totalizator system but the market is just too dynamic today. Even on the tote I assume the big rebate teams will correct simple market inefficiencies. 
Back to Top
Sponsored Links


Back to Top
Gay3 View Drop Down
Moderator Group
Moderator Group


Joined: 19 Feb 2007
Location: Ballarat
Status: Offline
Points: 34775
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 11:50am
I watch them daily & they do definitely come in runs, usually one meeting more than another.
Obviously they fire in both sex maidens with the fillies coming into play.
I pick & choose, taking Divine Quality in a quinella yesterday on the strength of her 'appearing' to have been set for the race but rarely managing to win & the odd numbers flowing.
Sadly & stupidly my 4 horses with her didn't include Booker nor did I have the simple sense to back her Ouch
Experience is something you gain a few minutes after you could have used it!
Back to Top
Whale View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Location: St Kilda Beach
Status: Offline
Points: 37080
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 11:59am
Originally posted by Sneck Sneck wrote:

If you remove the takeout is there an edge to these numbers? I'm familiar with the idea that horses down in the numbers outside the fancies should be looked at. You could imagine these numbers being underbet in a totalizator system but the market is just too dynamic today. Even on the tote I assume the big rebate teams will correct simple market inefficiencies. 

All the stats are there in the previous thread to which I will post a link again.  Bigal who has an extensive database posted the losing statistics, yes Brooke would say you start off betting small then increase bets after 3pm. Why then has she lost EVERY  "live " betting try she has made on TBV ? It is a crock of rubbish.

Gay,
 
you believe everything that broke claims on here???
 
april was no better than any other month!!! (numbers are below).
 
and no the big priced winners did not come up in the latter part of the day in april, but Broke would like you to believe it!!!  i ran the numbers in april and the average dividend in the first part of the program was actually higher than the second half!!!
 
 
 
 
January          2778 174     277800 160650-117150   6  -42.2
February         2523 172     252300 164610 -87690   6  -34.8
March            2537 136     253700 115460-138240   5  -54.5
April            2561 168     256100 172120 -83980   6  -32.8
May              1101  70     110100  75370 -34730   6  -31.5
 
 
BIG al

and Gay just so that you can see....below is 2011 by weekday for you. Sunday is no better or worse than any other day!!
 
 
 
Sunday           2282 144     228200 147890 -80310   6  -35.2
Monday            916  53      91600  44860 -46740   5  -51.0
Tuesday           826  63      82600  63710 -18890   7  -22.9
Wednesday        1618 108     161800 105720 -56080   6  -34.7
Thursday         1316  78     131600  60960 -70640   5  -53.7
Friday           1446  82     144600  70790 -73810   5  -51.0
Saturday         3096 192     309600 194280-115320   6  -37.2
 
 
BIG al


More stats are available in that old thread.


Back to Top
Gay3 View Drop Down
Moderator Group
Moderator Group


Joined: 19 Feb 2007
Location: Ballarat
Status: Offline
Points: 34775
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 12:08pm
Not even Brooke or Redemption bets every one of those numbers, every day in every race, for heavens sake, grow up & stop nit picking Unhappy it's a bit of fun, not a fail safe betting system.

Experience is something you gain a few minutes after you could have used it!
Back to Top
Whale View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Location: St Kilda Beach
Status: Offline
Points: 37080
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 12:38pm
Originally posted by Gay3 Gay3 wrote:

Not even Brooke or Redemption bets every one of those numbers, every day in every race, for heavens sake, grow up & stop nit picking Unhappy it's a bit of fun, not a fail safe betting system.


not the impression she gives, By the way it seems you bet it a bit, have you EVER won using it Confused
Back to Top
Passing Through View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 09 Jan 2013
Location: Australia
Status: Offline
Points: 34405
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Passing Through Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 12:39pm
#11 won the first race at Mornington today Big smile
Only the best people.
Back to Top
Whale View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Location: St Kilda Beach
Status: Offline
Points: 37080
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 12:41pm
Originally posted by Passing Through Passing Through wrote:

#11 won the first race at Mornington today Big smile

one of yours I believe Thumbs Up
Back to Top
Whale View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Location: St Kilda Beach
Status: Offline
Points: 37080
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 1:07pm
One thing I will concede it May work better in bigger fields, hence some good results at the Carnival.

Would need bigals statistics on that but he has given up Smile

Just on pure numbers, assuming each horse has an even chance in a field of 11 ,2 selections, probability `18.18%

17 horse field 5 selections , probability 29.41%

Does not factor in odds,scratchings, short priced horses not bet on and other factors.
Back to Top
ExceedAndExcel View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 20 Dec 2008
Status: Offline
Points: 11527
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ExceedAndExcel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018 at 5:55pm
Originally posted by Whale Whale wrote:

One thing I will concede it May work better in bigger fields, hence some good results at the Carnival.

Would need bigals statistics on that but he has given up Smile

Just on pure numbers, assuming each horse has an even chance in a field of 11 ,2 selections, probability `18.18%

17 horse field 5 selections , probability 29.41%

Does not factor in odds,scratchings, short priced horses not bet on and other factors.




Big field, small field makes no difference. Like all scattergun systems it will lose at the rate of the tote takeout.
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 1:09pm
Melbourne Cup

Confused
Back to Top
Gay3 View Drop Down
Moderator Group
Moderator Group


Joined: 19 Feb 2007
Location: Ballarat
Status: Offline
Points: 34775
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gay3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 1:12pm
8 selections = massive 1st 4 of @ $33k if you could get on Ouch
Experience is something you gain a few minutes after you could have used it!
Back to Top
Whale View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Location: St Kilda Beach
Status: Offline
Points: 37080
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 1:20pm
Originally posted by Gay3 Gay3 wrote:

8 selections = massive 1st 4 of @ $33k if you could get on Ouch

I did Wink
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 1:27pm
Geewhiz, even Im in shock at this one, the entire first 4.

spent a month studying the race, and this happens, and Im not on it. LOL
Back to Top
stayer View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 10 Aug 2010
Status: Offline
Points: 9009
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stayer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 1:40pm
That's gotta hurt
"She's going through a growth phase." - GW
Back to Top
theshu25 View Drop Down
Yearling
Yearling
Avatar

Joined: 25 May 2015
Location: Brisbane
Status: Offline
Points: 120
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote theshu25 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 1:49pm
only hurts because you probaly dont bet,only pass on silly advice.
theshu
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:01pm
What do we do now? LOL
Back to Top
Whale View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Location: St Kilda Beach
Status: Offline
Points: 37080
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:04pm
Originally posted by Redemption Redemption wrote:

What do we do now? LOL

back 10,12,14,16 in the last 3 races Smile
Back to Top
Carioca View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 13 Nov 2015
Status: Offline
Points: 8704
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Carioca Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:04pm
She's cool imo.
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:08pm
13 wins. LOL


Back to Top
Gee Gee View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 31 Aug 2009
Status: Offline
Points: 8276
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gee Gee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:10pm
23
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:14pm
Originally posted by Gee Gee Gee Gee wrote:

23

Its in it, too many other threads with the whole thing.
its 9,11,13,15,17,19,21,23.



Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:15pm
Races 6,7,8, at Flemington today. LOL


Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:52pm
Make that, Flemington races 6,7,8,9

LOL
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:57pm
Flemington race 6

13,10,9
1st $10,  3rd $12

Flemington race 7

23,9,17,13
1st $10, 2nd $12, 3rd $21

Flemington race 8

13,3,8
1st $10

Flemington race 9

17,11,16
1st $26, 2nd $11

LOL
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 2:57pm
Flemington race 6

13,10,9
1st $10,  3rd $12

Flemington race 7

23,9,17,13
1st $10, 2nd $12, 3rd $21

Flemington race 8

13,3,8
1st $10

Flemington race 9

17,11,16
1st $26, 2nd $31

LOL
Back to Top
Whale View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Location: St Kilda Beach
Status: Offline
Points: 37080
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Whale Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 Nov 2018 at 3:07pm
It is funny, you have such confidence in your system that you never bet on it 

Except of course "live " betting on TBV which fails every time Thumbs Up
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Nov 2018 at 9:51am
Have yourself a good Thursday.
Little nibbles early.
If quiet, launch into them.

You will either make a tidy little early profit, or a huge profit late afternoon.
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Nov 2018 at 2:29pm
Nice and quiet at Kyneton if anyone keen

2 races to go


Back to Top
Shawy38 View Drop Down
Champion
Champion
Avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2015
Status: Offline
Points: 7460
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Shawy38 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 Nov 2018 at 2:39pm
Minus 1000
Back to Top
Redemption View Drop Down
Champion
Champion


Joined: 09 Apr 2017
Location: Melbourne
Status: Offline
Points: 2190
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Redemption Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08 Nov 2018 at 10:44am
9 wins the 1st at Flemington.

Thumbs Up
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply Page  <123>
  Share Topic   

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down

Forum Software by Web Wiz Forums® version 11.10
Copyright ©2001-2017 Web Wiz Ltd.

This page was generated in 0.094 seconds.





Click here to view current promotions at Bet Easy.