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2018 W.S Cox Plate 2040m |
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Shrunk in the Wash
Champion Joined: 25 Mar 2016 Status: Offline Points: 9890 |
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I. Going to shoot bambi
Go Rostropovich |
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Shawy38
Champion Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17415 |
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The list I saw had field of 9
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Red Rancher
Champion Joined: 28 Oct 2009 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 747 |
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Did anyone watch the barrier draw on racing.com today?
The spokesman for Godolphin said Winx needs to beat Benbatl by 20 lengths to deserve being the best horse in the world as he is no Enable or Cracksman. He said Winx is only beating very moderate opposition based on Best Solution's win the the CC and if the world handicapping panel is honest Cracksman should easily be re-rated the best horse in the world based on his last start win. Where do you begin? Cracksman is a world class middle distance mudlark who doesn't race on firm tracks because he cant win.
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Tlazolteotl
Champion Joined: 02 Oct 2012 Location: Elephant Butte Status: Offline Points: 31448 |
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I find it's best to make my boldest statements about things that will never be tested so can't be refuted.
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An honest politician is one who when he is bought will stay bought.
Simon Cameron |
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Speediskey
Champion Joined: 18 Feb 2014 Status: Offline Points: 4116 |
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Seems odd, Cracksman has lost a few races, just won some by a head and been dominant in a couple. I think his 3rd or 4th biggest winning margin in his life was beating Avilius by 3.5 lengths.
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Nick
Champion Joined: 21 Mar 2009 Status: Offline Points: 3455 |
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So field of 8? Winxy in 6.
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Afros
Champion Joined: 14 Jan 2009 Status: Offline Points: 15522 |
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Came across as a fair bit of tongue in cheek to me, he played the heel role well to the crowd. |
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ExceedAndExcel
Champion Joined: 20 Dec 2008 Status: Offline Points: 16246 |
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“Winxy”? |
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Red Rancher
Champion Joined: 28 Oct 2009 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 747 |
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[/QUOTE] Came across as a fair bit of tongue in cheek to me, he played the heel role well to the crowd.[/QUOTE] Cheeky yes, but I thought his comments were genuine. Some o/s don't rate Winx and they believe Benbatl has a real chance of winning. Godolphin have just won 3 big Melb Group 1's so they have some confidence.
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Heavy10
Champion Joined: 23 May 2015 Status: Offline Points: 2711 |
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I don't think Benbatl will even run 2nd, Avilius a moral to run 2nd or 3rd
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jacko1
Champion Joined: 26 Jun 2007 Status: Offline Points: 1801 |
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Good decision not to allow Trap For Fools to run
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Redemption
Champion Joined: 09 Apr 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 5387 |
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Avilius should push up along the rails to the first turn, make everyone go wide and do the donkey work, then let Avilius drift back, save energy.
I believe Avilius can cause a huge upset and win. Humidor got within half a length last year, saving about 7 to 9 metres if I recall correctly. If Avilius hugs the rails after making the field go wide at the first turn, its game on. Avilius has the turn of foot to switch off heels at the 200, and go BANG. $16 to $20 is value.
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Shawy38
Champion Joined: 13 Jun 2015 Status: Offline Points: 17415 |
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Avilius is not as good as Hartnell and he could never beat her
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scamanda
Champion Joined: 11 Oct 2008 Location: The Manor Status: Offline Points: 16246 |
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Well at least you get points for looking outside the box. 3 days ago you had Avilius tailed off 20 lengths from the 2nd last horse, now you have him pushing up along the rail to the first turn. IMO. Neither will eventuate. But points for trying. |
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I started with nothing and still have most of it left
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Donald Hiltonson
Champion Joined: 21 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 456 |
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She’s unbeatable at MV in my opinion. I mean, she’s unbeatable anywhere but particularly the way she corners like a Ferrari around that final bend, she’s even harder to beat there.
The only thing that’s gets her beat would be a real stinker of a ride or a concerted team effort from the other jocks to deny her clear running. |
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Redemption
Champion Joined: 09 Apr 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 5387 |
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I disagree.
Avilius is coming off a win at 2500m, the drop back to 2000 is now ideal. Has a strong fitness edge in my opinion. You combine stamina, plus turn of foot and plus a rails run, you have yourself a real chance. I keep thinking how Humidor got to within half a length last year. |
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Donald Hiltonson
Champion Joined: 21 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 456 |
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I like Avilius too in something a bit easier but narrow victories over the likes of Jaameh and Dagny arent probably quite the right formlines to be beating Winx.
You keep on going on about this rails run as if the other horses are just going to step aside and let it scoot up the rails but it’s unlikely, it’ll will probably settle well back like it normally does and have to come ride around the bend which will make it impossible to beat her. Realistically it’s just racing for a place like all the others. |
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saintly96
Champion Joined: 12 Jun 2008 Location: Nunya biz Status: Offline Points: 12926 |
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Despite all of her wins in succession, this is the most important race of her career. If these internationals beat her, her legacy will be forever tarnished by anyone overseas and by many here. She just simply has to win and win well.
Go Winx. |
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Redemption
Champion Joined: 09 Apr 2017 Location: Melbourne Status: Offline Points: 5387 |
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Good post. Very true Benbatl has a decent enough reputation. If she rounds him up and Bowman pushes her right out and demolishes the field, that does add credence. This is ultimately sport, and anything can happen. Look at what happened to Kings Will Dream in Caulfield Cup. Who knows what Winx may have to endure. If she gets inconvenienced and gets up to win by a nose in a thrilling photo finish, in many ways, I think that would be the fairytale finish, as she would have to overcome the odds and guts it right out with courage. That would be just as admired as a huge margin.
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Donald Hiltonson
Champion Joined: 21 Oct 2015 Status: Offline Points: 456 |
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I don’t agree at all. I think her legacy is pretty well set in stone by now. 21 group ones and 3 cox plates, they can’t take em off her. There’ll be plenty of shock initially if she gets beat but in the long run it’s hardly going to make much difference to her legacy if she happens to drop one as a 7 year old. |
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 18 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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2 of her 3 wins have been in Course record time in the Cox Plate and still people talk fitness edge about others .
O/S never say a good word about other horses and we do have the Worlds best to 2000m . Last Saturdays C.C was the biggest farce I've seen on a Racetrack in a lot of years. Winx raced 4 wide the entire trip last year and ran new Course figures . She wins this untouched. Ideally drawn with nothing in there capable of matching her final 800m. Get on the queue at any price. |
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Baguette
Champion Joined: 18 Dec 2012 Status: Offline Points: 3651 |
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maccamax
Champion Joined: 18 Jun 2010 Status: Offline Points: 41473 |
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Your a Gem Baguette . Feel honoured in being the first to agree with me in 7 years. I NEVER agree with anyone , as that would only make both of us wrong ... |
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saintly96
Champion Joined: 12 Jun 2008 Location: Nunya biz Status: Offline Points: 12926 |
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Did you hear Matt Chapman this morning? If Benbatl or Avilius beat her, everyone in Europe will say she wasn't any good. They are saying that now. She needs to win this one to silence dipsh!ts like Matt Chapman. If she loses they will say that a third rate UK horse beat her (which I don't agree with, as he started fave in the Queen Anne), if she wins they will say she beat their third raters. Euro's are a hiding to nothing. Mark my words, her worldwide legacy is on the line, us Aussies know how good she is, but overseas they don't rate her that highly. |
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saintly96
Champion Joined: 12 Jun 2008 Location: Nunya biz Status: Offline Points: 12926 |
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The Euro's have us on a hiding to nothing.
There is no successful outcome for Winx here except to win and win well. |
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45819 |
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Should she get beaten, unlikely as that is, I for one couldn't give a fig about how some in the NH might seek downgrade her.
And I also don't believe the vast majority of Australian opinions of her will alter if she gets beaten.
She's won nearly 30 on the trot for f-sake.
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Heavy10
Champion Joined: 23 May 2015 Status: Offline Points: 2711 |
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Was gonna say just that..if she loses then she isn't as good as we all thought, if she wins then the opposition wasn't top class |
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Second Chance
Champion Joined: 02 Dec 2007 Status: Online Points: 45819 |
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So if she get beaten we should rate her on one below par performance rather than the 28 successful wins before-hand?
Mohammad Ali for example was a true champion, but inevitably got beaten. Tell me how his legacy is tainted by defeat.
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Stainvita
Champion Joined: 10 Dec 2014 Location: Sydney Status: Offline Points: 1047 |
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How many of the Euros have previously raced on a Greyhound Track?
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If your hands aren't shaking you haven't put enough on.
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Softy
Champion Joined: 24 Sep 2017 Location: Tas Status: Offline Points: 1248 |
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They don't want to get too carried away. Luke stopped riding a 3/4 fit Black Caviar half way through the race and still beat their best sprinter. |
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